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How to win betting on football.

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By:
high_lander
When: 07 Sep 12 10:37
"How to win betting on football."

Read the advice from Betfair forumite's - then do the exact opposite.
By:
MrBaboon
When: 07 Sep 12 12:32
Ken at what price do you think the Faroe Islands are value against Germany tonight ?

I think they are currently 200/1.....so are you saying it is a value bet if you can get 250/1 ? (Ignoring trading opportunities).
By:
stu
When: 07 Sep 12 12:48
A couple of points to add in to the discussion:

1/ Specialisation - I've often found in the past, pick a market and study it to death, stay with it, is the best strategy. Ignore all other markets. Only drawback with this is largely psychological, hard not to get very bored (even when winning!), and be tempted by other markets (especially when it looks like value).

2/ A lot of heavily backed selections in horse racing get beaten - I know because I used to use this market as a guide for other activity. Not sure whether that's changed more recently, but I gave up using heavy gambles as a good measure. Too many stuffed after getting backed off the boards.
By:
stu
When: 07 Sep 12 12:50
To add, I know that latter point wasn't about football, but just trading generally.
By:
stu
When: 07 Sep 12 13:04
An interesting question for you footy analysts:

Which is more crucial in determining results on football markets

a) The average previous results across a large sample of different teams.
b) The averages that relate solely to that team/manager.

A tricky, but crucial, question. I think a lot assume a) but is it true?
By:
stu
When: 07 Sep 12 13:05
Note: when I say 'averages' that could of course mean 'statistics/analysis' in the wider sense...
By:
smithy91
When: 07 Sep 12 13:06
biscuit-Smithy91 would be wetting himself at your 9/4 and would be arbing the hell out of our prices!

nice thread.

i didn't realise until last season that you can be a full time trader by betting on liverpool football club alone.

check the graph on wales vs belgium match odds thats one way of going about itGrin
By:
smithy91
When: 07 Sep 12 22:51
belgiumCool
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