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kenilworth
06 Sep 12 00:20
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Date Joined: 04 Nov 05
| Topic/replies: 15,627 | Blogger: kenilworth's blog
1) Seriously learn how to price up.

2) When you have cracked that,
compare your prices with the pros.

3) When there is a big difference
between their's yours, have a look
to see why.

4) If you are happy that you are right
and they are wrong, bet against them.

5) Only bet if you have at least a 20%
in your favour, that is for example 6/5
about an 1/1 chance.

6) 95% of the time there will be little
or no diff between them and you, which
means you are on the right track.

7) Be sure you know how to compile prices

8) Good luck.

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Replies: 127
By:
MONEY TREE
When: 06 Sep 12 00:24
You don't need luck IMO.
By:
kenilworth
When: 06 Sep 12 00:25
Being polite.
By:
kenilworth
When: 06 Sep 12 00:27
One more rule.

9) Ignore gut feelings, fancies etc. Bet strictly
to numbers. It's the only way.
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:30
"2) When you have cracked that,
compare your prices with the pros."

at what point have you decided you have cracked that?
By:
teo813
When: 06 Sep 12 00:30
10) hack kenilworths account and follow his bets
By:
Pootle
When: 06 Sep 12 00:33
question

- best sites / articles / books on how to go about pricing up
By:
dellman41
When: 06 Sep 12 00:33
how do you price up?
By:
dellman41
When: 06 Sep 12 00:34
Is this CASH OUT a good thing to use?
By:
Marxist-Leninist
When: 06 Sep 12 00:34
1) Seriously learn how to price up.

2) When you have cracked that,
compare your prices with the pros.


Reminds me of a variation on the old roulette cable. "Learned how to price up, please send more money!"
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:37

Sep 6, 2012 -- 12:33AM, dellman41 wrote:


how do you price up?


try this one dellman. I don't think there are currently prices available for the match, or there wasn't when I looked the other day :

Manchester City v Real Madrid - Champions League

(just have a stab)

By:
dellman41
When: 06 Sep 12 00:38
I am not taking the piss for once... Just interested.... and when is it best to use the cash out option?
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:40
I've never used cash-out option, always done it manually in the normal markets if I'm trading
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:42
how about Man City 9/4 Draw 9/4 Real Madrid 5/4

sound about right?
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 06 Sep 12 00:42
I'd go:

City 6/4
Draw 9/4
Real 13/8
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 06 Sep 12 00:43
At the Etihad?
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:43
yeah
By:
dellman41
When: 06 Sep 12 00:43
Mover,

No idea, I am a complete novice sir.
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:43
I know dellman but the only way to start is to make a guess at it
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:45
then when the bookmakers put out their prices you can compare yours to theirs. DONT bet on it early doors, just practice your pricing and check the results against your prices
By:
dellman41
When: 06 Sep 12 00:45
Ahhhhhhhh, will get there... 1 step at a time. Just messing with the unders / overs on football at mo.
By:
Marxist-Leninist
When: 06 Sep 12 00:45
the real value on football is found away from the match betting.
By:
dellman41
When: 06 Sep 12 00:48
I have generally kept away from gambling on football, but will take advice from a few on here. Probably read on the side lines.
By:
DaveEdwards
When: 06 Sep 12 00:50
Dell, you have a message
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:51
so you see for example the difference between mine and biscuits stab at the City match. At this stage he would be backing City at my price of 9/4 and I would be backing Madrid at his price of 13/8 because they are the prices that we each would see as being value at those market prices (irrespective of who we think is going to win the match).
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:53
I've now dropped my City price to 6/4 because I was probably a bit generous and have had too many people lumping on at 9/4 Laugh
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 06 Sep 12 00:54
Kenilworth - how would you price up City v Real.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 06 Sep 12 00:55
Smithy91 would be wetting himself at your 9/4 and would be arbing the hell out of our prices!
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 00:56
hehe
By:
dellman41
When: 06 Sep 12 00:58
I seeeeeeeee...... I keep forgetting it is an exchange and not the bookies....

P.S

Cheers DAVE.
By:
Max and Paddy
When: 06 Sep 12 01:09
Manchester City v Real Madrid has 0-1 or 1-1 written all over it. Hope this helps.
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 01:14
prices please Max and Paddy? Silly
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 01:15
can I have 3/1 City, got some 9/4 to get shot of Laugh
By:
Max and Paddy
When: 06 Sep 12 01:19
Laugh

You can have 11/2 on 0-1 and 9/2 on 1-1. Maximum stakes £5. I went to school with Fred Done's son, you know...
By:
themover
When: 06 Sep 12 01:22
Laugh
By:
meltdown
When: 06 Sep 12 03:18
I think i disagree with every point here.
By:
MrBaboon
When: 06 Sep 12 07:45
Exactly. Point 8 is the important one. Its all subjective u can analyse stats all day long. there is no logic.
By:
kenilworth
When: 06 Sep 12 08:32
Real v ManC ?
1.7 Real etc, etc looks about right, though I find
comparing clubs sides from different countries quite
difficult although La Liga and PL champions among
the easier pairings. Both sides have had a stuttering
starts, but a tentative rating would have Real about
a half a goal superior on a neutral venue.
English leagues are more interesting.
By:
MrBaboon
When: 06 Sep 12 09:09
So how do you arrive at 1.7 for Real ...it is  basically a guess ?
By:
kenilworth
When: 06 Sep 12 09:12
An educated guess I suppose trying to evaluate Spanish
and English form. Would you be a backer or a layer of Real
at 1.7 ?
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