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The reason most of us do not make long term profit is because.

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Replies: 173
By:
Real Deal
When: 25 Apr 12 23:22
Quiny byou could be one of the EASTWOOD brigade m8 i hope you are.Duffy you sound like you could be  a buzz merchant like myself.Fair play to you m8.I have always enjoyed my up & down lifestyle.Wouldn't change it for the World.
All my mindless gambling til I stopped the crazy stuff when I had children.They were the greatest calming effect that I have ever had.Also my soon to wife has no problems with me having a bet or 2.That actually makes me more responsable as wouldn't abuse that trust.
So I my interest now with different attitudes to gaining a mental edge is really because being more responsible in life gets you steps closer & anything else you can glean from others cannot hinder.
By the way I'm totally cool with the covering the sreen behaviour now.the one word at a time got me smiling m8,got to admit a bit to that myself as well. Nobodys mentioned the way teletext used to sort of sramble & freeze,abit like dvd's go at times.That only happened when you were waiting for a biggy.
By:
Winner_Winner_Chicken_Diner
When: 25 Apr 12 23:25
So to sum up the op,

you had a strange feelings for your mate, you freaked him out so much that he left
Years later you still miss him

Is this correct?
By:
AraziTheGreatest
When: 25 Apr 12 23:29
RealDeal, can I just say this has been a wonderful read from start until now and I hope it goes on until I die. I'm just under 40 but been an "on the nose" gambler for years after my dear old Dad got me into the horses when I was 5 years old.

He passed away 10 years ago, aged 51 (not that I'm saying youre about to die or anything!) and reading your stuff reminded me of him so much that I'm not ashamed to say the old tear ducts have been welling up. I loved to hear him talk of the "olden days", with the tales of the betting shop and dreamy images of the greats. His were tales of seeing the likes of Arkle no less and betting in shillings FFS! I remember him putting my first few bets on - Zongalero in the '79 National, Henbit in the Derby the year after, and I was hooked. I remember horses like Kris and Shergar and Dancing Brave as being God-like and my passion has never died. I suppose there was never much hope for me having discipline given my "breeding" and basically being a gambler since the age of 5.

My bets got bigger when I started working and was still single - they were verging of 30% of my yearly salary at one point which looking back (and obviously for most sane people) was just plain dangerous. It took meeting the right girl having a kid and getting married to settle me and my gambling down. I now bet very small stakes but still have problems with "oh I'll just throw a couple of quid on this next race", while waiting for my main bet of the day/evening. So stupid.

However, and getting to my point (seems like we may have at least rambling in common!), after reading some of the stuff on this thread today I greened out on my "Real Madrid to qualify" bet tonight and guaranteed a profit which 100 times out of 100 before today I would never have dreamed about doing.

Thank you for quite possibly the best thread ever seen - certainly on the footy forum and maybe on any forum
By:
AraziTheGreatest
When: 25 Apr 12 23:36
also meant to say I did the "hide the screen" thing on teletext but could only do that at my Grandads house - we were poor when I was young and our telly didnt have teletext!!

Used to get the racing results on the radio around 7pm each night I think?
By:
Real Deal
When: 25 Apr 12 23:45
Hey up WWCD,Think we have chatted before m8,didn't you give me some advise on that 520x£5 bet I got up a couple of weeks ago.The Chelsea/Benfica match.Sure it was you anyway Really scary your analegy of my tale m8.I'm kinda hoping it's a joke m8,cause I promise you m8 I am 100% Adam & Eve not Adam & Steve.He was a good m8.Thought he was a cool character.But so's 007 but I never wanted to what ever it is they do,Bless em.
Slightly on that subject 2 actually really quick jokes.

1st/The Gay Gardener.
2nd/The Gay Racehorse.

Answers below.






















1/Came out of the shed with pete on his back.

2/Kept tossing off his Jockeys.
By:
busterdouglas
When: 26 Apr 12 00:15
great thread realdeal,
reading your op about that guy with his clinical approch to betting reminded me of a bet i did years ago,paddy powers had a special in the weeks leading up to cheltenham for total winning distance for all the races combined,i think there was only 3 days of racing that time,anyway saw they were offering under over and between a certain amount of lenths,saw the over was unbelievably low so started doing my research,ground soft to heavy so more chance of bigger winning distances and the likes,the hardest part was getting the money down
anyway to make a long story short travelled to every paddy powers in my county putting a few hundred euro a time on the bet thinking they were going to realise they're mistake soon enough,
ended up having nearly about 2 grand on it to win maybe 16 hundred,biggest bet of my life but was certain it could'nt lose, 1st day got maybe 18 lths,2nd day got maybe 25 lths,so for the 3rd day only needed about 5 lths from like 7 races,you can guess what happened,came up short by about 1 lth after a freak no of 1/2 and 1/4 lth winners,i was gutted for weeks and did'nt tell anyone,i learned a harsh lesson about gambling that day,
By:
duffyg
When: 26 Apr 12 00:22
just read your post real,good stuff,my m8 had 4 figures on the brave in the derby whilst i had a tenner on sharistani.kept telling him how shrewd i was and how we would win again in the king george.he wasnt too put out because he knew the brave would beat him at ascot.10 of us went to the race that day and i was the only one not on the brave.i was mercilessly ribbed for weeks.and you know what? iknew it would win also,and thats your point about human nature.i backed sharistani in the derby and therefore had some kind of empathy with it.a blind man on a gallopping horse could see that starkey cost him the derby but i chose to ignore it.and you know what i still do it.if i have a touch on a horse i will blindly follow it for seasons!int gambling great
By:
Real Deal
When: 26 Apr 12 00:24
Wow Arazi,could have done with speaking with you tomorrow m8,but i feel another Ramble coming on.Give me a minute m8 just got to say this before I forget.

Got you Iceking,thank you m8,no offence taken at all I promise.Total honesty is only good m8.I agree that my spelling,punctuation & grammer will always be suspect on here m8.I would explain this as probably best pub talk if you here me.I am normally multi-tasking with footy bets etc.As this isn't a job application form or whatever I kind of deem it's sort of banter.Being slightly old school I would deem a personal letter to yourself would require perhaps a little more attention to detail etc.I can tell you I have really neat hand writing,only use fountain pens,decent quality writing paper & never writing on both sides of the paper etc.I swear like a trooper in the company of my m8's,but never in front of the Children or if Ladies are presant.I am also reasonably well spoken.My lazy approach on forums are mainly because 1 am not to the keyboard borne.But 2 more importantly you can go to the trouble of writing correctly doing your spell check etc & get a reply in text speak thay 50% is harder to decipher than cockney ryming slang.3 general mental exhaustion etc. Saying all of that I totally get what you meant tough m8,because if your rambling or shooting straight it's about the content & some stuff has obviously balls to it,when alot of what you read is obvious bulls s h i t.I hope your write about what you said is thats how it's meant m8.Anyway Cushty thanks again.
By:
quin0607
When: 26 Apr 12 00:26
Quiny byou could be one of the EASTWOOD brigade m8 i hope you are

so do i haha  Grin
By:
Real Deal
When: 26 Apr 12 01:31
Wow Wow Wow,this isn't yet a HOLY GRAIL the betting type yet.Maybe a cliche who knows I do not really care.One thing I know already within 24 hours of starting this is this feels a fairly sane calm & collected place to idle away the odd hour or 2.This I totally claim no credit for.Possibly by starting off a bucket is half full type thread & not a Bucket half empty one.Maybe that was it.
But it just seems chilled out,cool & it seems that no one is to bothered about the size of peoples Banks or knocking folk down etc.It's really strange on here sometimes about how everyone seems so bothered about not just how well they do themselves but then how badly everyone else is.
Bit like that sketch on the Fast show," I'M SO CONSIDERABLY RICHER THAN YOOOUUU" you will only get it if you have seen the show.
I think surely when you have had your day good or bad it doesn't hurt to feel happy for other to have had an earner to.

Anyway I have solved a small step in my improvement to betting all be it by chance.I am on a little challenge with myself quietly tucked away in the multiples,Todays bets were 8 lay 0-0's £236-05 on to win £326-18.The odds were only 1-4 these were as I said earlier posted well before kick off etc.Anyway I am only working Fri/Sat/Sun for the next 3 or 4 weeks.Brilliant loads of time to have a raging run at tuning my wicked ways down a smigeon.If it is entirely possible,who knows eh,I've got no idea,myself honestly.
All I can say is when I fall over I  am straight back up again.When you fall off your Horse you get straight back on again obviously as long as your not going to Hospital I digress.

The problem I am over coming now is that I get my bets on & instead of hovering over the sceen waiting for suspends,which just gets you racing to bet bet bet.Now early doors I know but I come over to the forum & Ramble.Today The 1st bet started at 11-30am last being the Real game.Virtually any time that I wasn't with my family,I was on here with new m8's,well you know what I mean dont you.

Here is how I see it in this game nowadays.Bookies have always been pretty ruthless greedy outfits doing nothing at all for punters or racing ever ever.Now I think that they have sunk to lower & lower depths.

They have as mentioned turned there once strictly regulated & sensibly licenced high st bookies into gloryfied Mini Casino's.All of this under the tender caring Tony Blair regime.It used to make me sad enough seeing Guys every week late Thursday night &  Friday night blowing some of there wages on there way home to the wife & children.Now it is more or less the same but on speed.They will come through the doors & before the first minutes up the first £20-00 has been fed into the machine if they are still going 30 minutes latter it nearly a result 9 times out of 10 they go home pottless.What the hell do they tell there wives & how do they feed there Children.If that isn't bordering on dealing drugs what is.It is a drug to an increasing amount of people.To children who do not get fed properly how much worse is it to him blowing his cash on whacy baccy.A couple of pence on there share price.Thousands of households in poverty because of them horrible machines.The bookies treat there staff like slaves on long hours minimum wage & how long do you think it will be before they are all unstaffed like check outs in Supermarkets blah blah blah.

I am kind of hoping that this is just like the honeymoon period on here slightly,so that I just spend a pleasant hour a day or something.Because I can see my very understanding Lady not standing this to long.   





Short Break.
By:
Winner_Winner_Chicken_Diner
When: 26 Apr 12 10:27
Only messing RD, was actually a very good read! Thankly, I stick to what I know about, football. I have a bet on the nags now and again. But I think my time would be put to better use if I became a football scout lol, given all the random obscure matches I tend to watch across Europe
By:
sickofbookies
When: 26 Apr 12 12:48
Just wanted to say how much I have enjoyed reading this thread.

Reading your betting shop tales have brought memories flooding back, some really good, some truly horrible. Like yourself I wouldn't swap it for anything. I'm only 27, but have been betting in LBO's since I was 16 when there was no machines, fogs of smoke and plenty of characters about.

The life of a gambler (I'm sorry, but 99% of people on here are gamblers) can be likened to nothing else and I too believe that it is true that for anyone to go pro you would need to dedicate so much of your life to form study and catching breaking news that you would sacrifice any enjoyment that the 'job' should bring.

A handful of times a year I really get interested about a potential plot on the all weather or see that they have finally moved a greyhound that i've been watching to the trap it needs to get a clean break to the first bend...I would spend so many hours on the days leading up to the race studying the form of the other entries to gauge what sort of price my selection should be and if there any potential dangers...should I put a cover bet on.
More often than not when I put the groundwork in I end up making £1,000's from my work, but in the wake of it all I feel like shiit when I realise how little time that I've spent with my girlfriend, sitting on the sofa transfixed on my laptop screen pretending to listen to whatever it is that she's banging on about.

More often than not when I have a big win, i'd start acting like I am untouchable throwing £100 bets at something that I have looked at for 3 minutes. Before I know it half of my profit that I put hours of study into would have been blown with in an hour.

It's just not worth it to me. It can be for others it depends what you're after in life. But I have won and lost enough money/jobs/friends over the past 10 years because of my actions and stuff that has happened out of my hands to know that it's worth nothing if you don't have genuine people around you to share it with. The actions that you must take to be a pro can only push people away.

Anyway, I thought this thread was brilliant and just thought I'd add my 2 pence worth. I echo what a previous poster said in that you should consider writing a book as I was gripped to this last night. All the best Real Deal.
By:
SPOT THE DOG
When: 26 Apr 12 13:49
Over the last couple of weeks,i have been plotting buying a new golf club (Driver off ebay)
I put a note on the monitor as to end of the bidding time, for me to bid at the last possible moment.
Well i was so engrossed by this read, i forgot to bid, and only saw parts of the big match.

A great read thank you.
By:
kpf
When: 26 Apr 12 14:53
I would likew to echo the previous comments about this thread.

I will only add that all the nostalgic stories about Betting shops etc also remind me how good this this forum used to be in the early days .

Cheers Real Deal
By:
high_lander
When: 26 Apr 12 14:54
moneytrump Laugh
By:
ebulGery
When: 26 Apr 12 14:57
Shocked moneytrump

..that is why I never make any long term profit

LaughLaugh
By:
high_lander
When: 26 Apr 12 14:59
I'm pretty sure that real deal is either writing a novel or writing from a novel.
By:
high_lander
When: 26 Apr 12 15:00
moneytrump's comment is exactly what this thread needed imo Grin
By:
Real Deal
When: 26 Apr 12 16:07
I am hoping that Moneytrump is probably Care in the Community.So will soon be medicated & tucked up for the night.
Either that or is just a bad loser who has just blown his £3 Bank.
With regards to writing a Novel.I am just a Taxi Driver & I promise you that I have absolutely no plans of writing any books m8.What would you call it ?."Diary of a serial Loser".
That isn't a feel sorry for me quote,it's just a summation of a long & eventful gambling career.I have said that I dont really regrett to much of it.My take on it now is that the highs definately outwiegh the lows.
I really love the highs though,they are amazing.I won £2600 from a fiver 2 weeks ago & then another 1200 or 1300 in the 3 days after that.(Before the snipers start.It was all on here & not aftertimed etc.)
I had that money out of my account & frivourously spent within hours of drafting it out of my account.
I am trying to increase the days like that,because they are totally why I & many of the people on this thread do this.
I have absolutely no gripes with a single person on Betfair.I hope each day that we all put a + in the book.That surely is what this is all about.
I am a big lump of a bloke & look a fairly scary chap.My brother is a little Guy who used to be a Point to Point jockey etc.
I havn't had a fight since I was 6,He used to be in a dust up every Friday night.Not being a drinker might help.But my point is that,when I go out in to town,or when I am out working taking 8 drunken musclemen home I almost always never bump into sreaming mad folk who want to tear my head off etc.
So I do not understand why a complete stranger would just appear from nowhere & start screaming obcenities & wishing me a terrible end.
I will totally understand if no body replies or comments to anything I put on here.
To be honest I am more surprised than anyone on here that anyone is interested in any of my drivel on hear.
But surely,if you think that I'm a numpty or a c**t then just dont comment or read.
I dont want to upset anybody,I dont want to make anybody wild.If I have upset you in any way I'm sorry etc.Just ignore me, I'll soon get fed up.Sad
By:
BARNEY21.
When: 26 Apr 12 16:22
I have punted big,well for me anyway up to 5k certainly not on a regular basis and some good some terrible now I just potter about doing wee systems to see how/IF they work it,s more of a hobby for me,my wee bit of an input concerned a guy I knocked about with in Glasgow circa 50yrs ago he was to me what anyone aspiring to gamble for real money should be,we were only young uns 17/18yolds he was betting upwards of £200 a bit of money then,he would go for weeks and wouldn,t put a penny on then pounce invariably they won if you asked him to split a bet with you for a couple of quid he would just laugh no way hw said they get nothing back from me,he had real discipline and always wished I had the same.good luck.
By:
VieirasaGooner
When: 26 Apr 12 16:40
I cant build a roll as i have a 200 euro a week addiction to dutch flowers... Easy way to kick pot? Never start, been blazing everyday for 13 years...

JUST SAY NO!!!!!!!!!!!
By:
sideshowbob
When: 26 Apr 12 16:44
most gamblers dont want to make a profit. they just want to bet on the first thing that comes into their head. oh theyll win. job done.

its like asking why the average person playing in the snooker hall isnt stephen hendry. its cos they just pee about knocking balls around a table, not studying every aspect of their game in practice for 8 hours a day for 15 years!

for some reason people have in their head gambling is about luck, thats why they will never make a profit and shouldnt even be doing it in the first place.
By:
ShirleyKnot
When: 26 Apr 12 16:57
I am not surprised or perhaps I am surprised at the cliches. It is a true puzzler.

Low hanging fruit is my favourite.  Tis true too, pay attention peeps.
By:
yike
When: 26 Apr 12 17:08
awesome feed! I got through the first page, will have to read the other pages in some more spare time. but very interesting. guess I have to come to the realisation that if you want to make money you need to work hard for it. Like anything in life if you really want something you have to go out and get it, nothing comes easy. hard work = results like anything in life. Many people are lazy, everyone wants to be rich bit not everyone wants to work hard for it. A lot of people lack motivation, and many desperate people (good people) resort to gambling thinking they will make there fortunes here. It is sad how it can separate families and it is looked down upon. My view is that it is exactly the same as the share market. If you know nothing about the share market and start throwing money around your just as bad off as gambling. As long as someone has hope (and money) they will keep gambling. It is a bad addiction. Especially when you lose control and lose everything from family to property. I myself havn't been through that and I hope I never do. I am still young and my view is to make some extra cash to pay for some finer luxuries. I just hope it does not seriously take over. Being an accountant I am a bit tight with my money and don't like risk. Anyways im just rambling on now. felt like contributing my 2 cents worth. best of luck.
By:
kipling
When: 26 Apr 12 17:09
He used to spend 12 hours a day with his head in the form book.


Mug. Might as well have tried alchemy.

Laugh
By:
TheJudge
When: 26 Apr 12 17:10
Laugh

it was just my feeble attempt at humour RealDeal, no offence meant fella

your posts are long but you talk a fair amount of sense and you simply cannot distill all the various element s of successful gambling/punting/trading/sports betting into a few words.

I like what you say about being a mug punter deep down I think we all have a greedy little mug punter inside us it's a measure of controlling him
By:
starfish and coffee
When: 26 Apr 12 17:27
Good read Real Deal, keep them coming.

P.s what did this money trumper post? cant see his post anywhere.thanks
By:
ShirleyKnot
When: 26 Apr 12 17:27

Apr 26, 2012 -- 5:08PM, yike wrote:


awesome feed! I got through the first page, will have to read the other pages in some more spare time. but very interesting. guess I have to come to the realisation that if you want to make money you need to work hard for it. Like anything in life if you really want something you have to go out and get it, nothing comes easy. hard work = results like anything in life. Many people are lazy, everyone wants to be rich bit not everyone wants to work hard for it. A lot of people lack motivation, and many desperate people (good people) resort to gambling thinking they will make there fortunes here. It is sad how it can separate families and it is looked down upon. My view is that it is exactly the same as the share market. If you know nothing about the share market and start throwing money around your just as bad off as gambling. As long as someone has hope (and money) they will keep gambling. It is a bad addiction. Especially when you lose control and lose everything from family to property. I myself havn't been through that and I hope I never do. I am still young and my view is to make some extra cash to pay for some finer luxuries. I just hope it does not seriously take over. Being an accountant I am a bit tight with my money and don't like risk. Anyways im just rambling on now. felt like contributing my 2 cents worth. best of luck.


yike • April 26, 2012 5:08 PM BST
awesome feed! I got through the first page, will have to read the other pages in some more spare time. but very interesting. guess I have to come to the realisation that if you want to make money you need to work hard for it. Like anything in life if you really want something you have to go out and get it, nothing comes easy. hard work = results like anything in life. Many people are lazy, everyone wants to be rich bit not everyone wants to work hard for it. A lot of people lack motivation, and many desperate people (good people) resort to gambling thinking they will make there fortunes here. It is sad how it can separate families and it is looked down upon. My view is that it is exactly the same as the share market. If you know nothing about the share market and start throwing money around your just as bad off as gambling. As long as someone has hope (and money) they will keep gambling. It is a bad addiction. Especially when you lose control and lose everything from family to property. I myself havn't been through that and I hope I never do. I am still young and my view is to make some extra cash to pay for some finer luxuries. I just hope it does not seriously take over. Being an accountant I am a bit tight with my money and don't like risk. Anyways im just rambling on now. felt like contributing my 2 cents worth. best of luck.





I am really impressed at the length of that yike.  How long can you hold your breath underwater?

By:
high_lander
When: 26 Apr 12 17:44
Good luck to anyone who makes money at gambling, but I really don't believe that studying the form book for 12 hours a day is the answer. All that will give you is eyestrain and one humdinger of a headache, it wont help you make any money. The form has already been studied on your behalf - the odds tell you who has the best form, they are called favourites and unfortunately they don't always win.
By:
starfish and coffee
When: 26 Apr 12 17:51
Highlander behave ! The odds only tell you what the layers want to lay.
By:
high_lander
When: 26 Apr 12 17:55
The odds are your form book, favourites are so short because they have the best form on offer. You should be looking for dark horses at good value odds.
By:
Real Deal
When: 26 Apr 12 18:33
Yike,you seem wise for your years m8.I hope that you realise that your math skills are a major advantage in your quest,if you use them with the logic you should have via accountancy etc.That must give you a slighter edge.Balls,calm & patience etc.Never be in a hurry etc.

Thanks Highlander,no offence taken.
I am really thick skinned etc,so my only worries on here are,that I do not want to upset or offend anyone on here.
I think that offensive post may have been removed for whatever reason.I know that you can block stuff.But I cannot or wont do that,I will just try not to stir up the hornets nest &see if that works.Confused
By:
G Hall
When: 26 Apr 12 18:59
A question folks

What is Form
By:
Real Deal
When: 26 Apr 12 21:22
Scooby Dooby Doo.
By:
zilzal1
When: 26 Apr 12 21:35
What is Form


It is the written or visual of previous events that has to be summed up with a view on a risk/reward scenario that may occur in the future in which different interpretations may be taken and the skill of the person putting the right price on them in the long term will decide whether or not monetary gain will happen
By:
Real Deal
When: 26 Apr 12 22:24
Cannot argue with that Zilzal.Very concisely put
By:
Jayco
When: 26 Apr 12 22:47
Excellent thread Real Deal
By:
Pazan
When: 26 Apr 12 23:32
Halfway through page 2 but better go to bed I'm not a morning person

Love the stories and the style. Also I was thinking I bet the dog was called Coral then you named it.
By:
zilzal1
When: 26 Apr 12 23:45
One fallacy imho is the setting of targets, whether they be Daily, weekly, etc.

What you are saying in effect is that on a certain day you might have identified three bets that you want to make and the 1st one wins so its game over and stumps drawn, now the remaining two events might be even better opportunities and yet because of a predetermined strategy that has NO effect upon the outcome of these events prevents you from backing them, by the same token, if these lose, you might have another couple of bets(not as well researched!!) because of the same method.

Only the odds and circumstances of the event you are betting on should determine whether a bet is struck or not, not on the financial circumstances of bets that have been made previously
By:
kenilworth
When: 27 Apr 12 00:22
I have to agree with high lander, basically how can anyone
study, research, call it what you like, when it has already
been done for you ? I'm not saying that it is wrong, but that
I, pesonally couldn't do it. I stick to football, read
everything, everything, and work out where the market is going,
listen to pundits, take note or disregard whatever, think about
things all the time, even when doing other things, like cleaning
my car, having a pint etc. My partner sometimes asks me ''What
are you thinking about'', and I usually answer ''nothing in
particular'' when in reality I'm trying to work out some
prices on Saturday's footie. I don't disagree with those who
study, study, study, but's it's mostly not for me.
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