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Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2

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By:
time-to-tip
When: 09 Apr 12 20:59
yeh you messaged me a while back about my spreadsheet, time-to-tip@mail.com
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Apr 12 21:09
dangray 09 Apr 12 20:56 
when will you be able to sent it joci?

could do with a browse of that tonight


Coming soon, just finished cleaning it up.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Apr 12 21:10
time-to-tip 09 Apr 12 20:59 
yeh you messaged me a while back about my spreadsheet, time-to-tip@mail.com


I don't think I did, but I have it now anyway!
By:
time-to-tip
When: 09 Apr 12 21:10
oh ok :S  maybe you commented on here and I got confused lol
By:
dickiebyrd
When: 09 Apr 12 21:14
would be grateful for a copy of the spreadsheet joci club cheers !! I just sent you a PM
By:
THEBEIRNE
When: 09 Apr 12 21:15
Same as JOCI if you could send it on cheers!
By:
MoneyMinett
When: 09 Apr 12 21:26
JOCI im new to this site, I'm I'm in on this challenge, if you could send me a copy of this spread sheet I would be so grateful, looking to earn a few £££££ my e-mail is sminett7@aol.com cheers mate
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Apr 12 21:28
Just sent out - let me know if you have any usage queries.
By:
MoneyMinett
When: 09 Apr 12 21:34
Hank you mate, now to get my head around it on how to use it :) Top Man!!!
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Apr 12 21:34
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05

No more qualifiers tonight so that's me done. Bank now £12.85. Found a coouple for tomorrow so far, and on paper, the best is:

007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05
By:
dangray
When: 09 Apr 12 21:36
cheers mate
By:
JAILER
When: 09 Apr 12 21:52
Last one was good, with a bit more discipline you can go further.
By:
time-to-tip
When: 09 Apr 12 21:55
Nice JOCI, well done
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Apr 12 21:59
JAILER 09 Apr 12 21:52 
Last one was good, with a bit more discipline you can go further.


That's the key!
By:
pagy36NR
When: 09 Apr 12 22:00
in my calculations, in two weeks you can reach the bank
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Apr 12 22:02
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0]

No more qualifiers tonight so that's me done. Bank now £12.85. Found a couple for tomorrow so far, and on paper, the best is:

007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05

Other qualfiers for tomorrow from Bundesliga 1 are games at Hertha Berlin (3.5) and Mainz (4.3) and Bundesliga 2, Fortuna Dusseldorf (4.0).
By:
Tony Broke
When: 09 Apr 12 22:27
fortuna have gone off the boil a little but i suppose at home they usually score - or someone does.I dont like many tomorrow tbh
By:
Flash1966
When: 09 Apr 12 22:34
JOCI sent you a message for the spreadsheet, if your still around, thanks in advance
By:
time-to-tip
When: 09 Apr 12 23:12
Joci have you seen st pauli recent results? Filled with 0-0's!
un    26/02/12    2.B    St. Pauli   
0 - 0
Eintracht Brau…        More info
Mon    05/03/12    2.B    1860 München   
1 - 1
St. Pauli    View events    More info
Mon    12/03/12    2.B    St. Pauli   
1 - 0
Karlsruher SC    View events    More info
Sun    18/03/12    2.B    Erzgebirge Aue   
2 - 1
St. Pauli    View events    More info
Sun    25/03/12    2.B    St. Pauli   
0 - 0
Energie Cottbus        More info
Mon    02/04/12    2.B    Fortuna Düsseldorf   
0 - 0
St. Pauli    View events    More info
Sat    07/04/12    2.B    FSV Frankfurt   
3 - 3
St. Pauli
By:
time-to-tip
When: 09 Apr 12 23:13
3/7
By:
time-to-tip
When: 09 Apr 12 23:26
Whats your thoughts on my games JOCI?
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 00:20
[i]time-to-tip 09 Apr 12 23:12 
Joci have you seen st pauli recent results? Filled with 0-0's!
un    26/02/12    2.B    St. Pauli   
0 - 0
Eintracht Brau…        More info
Mon    05/03/12    2.B    1860 München   
1 - 1
St. Pauli    View events    More info
Mon    12/03/12    2.B    St. Pauli   
1 - 0
Karlsruher SC    View events    More info
Sun    18/03/12    2.B    Erzgebirge Aue 

2 - 1
St. Pauli    View events    More info
Sun    25/03/12    2.B    St. Pauli   
0 - 0
Energie Cottbus        More info
Mon    02/04/12    2.B    Fortuna Düsseldorf   
0 - 0
St. Pauli    View events    More info
Sat    07/04/12    2.B    FSV Frankfurt   
3 - 3
St. Pauli
[/i]

Fair point. I guess, as I look at the entire season form rather than most recent from (arguably a flaw), I'd say that St Pauli's record of failing to score at home only twice compares favourably with most other teams in the league, and their goals per game ration at home of 1.86 is above the average of 1.58.

The clincher for me is Union Berlin's away form. They haven't gone a single game without conceding a goal away from home, and they ship on average 2.43 goals per game, which is way above the average of 1.58 for the league as a whole. As a result the spreadsheet predicts a comfortable home victory.

Stats can make monkeys of us however, as with the Real Madrid game.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 00:21
I think what I'm saying is that if St Pauli are playing at home, I don't care about their away form.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 09:57
In summary, today's qualifiers are:

Fortuna Dusseldorf v FSV Frankfurt (4.0)
St Pauli v Union Berlin (4.2)
Hertha Berlin v Freiburg (3.5)
Mainz v Koln (4.3)
Barcelona v Getafe (4.6)
By:
ccjefc
When: 10 Apr 12 10:13
JOCI, firstly, many thanks again for the spreadsheet. It is very much appreciated and I really like the look of it!

Secondly, if anyone is interested, I have ran through the games for today in Bundesliga 3 and found that Saarbrucken also qualifies (3.9).

Hope you don't think I'm treading on your toes, JOCI.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 11:02
Not at all!
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 11:07
I just don't look at Bundesliga 3 as the league comes 25th out of 31 in my ranking of "attractiveness" for goals (over 11% 0-0 ratio and 2.5 goals on average), so while I wouldn't want to put anyone off, this is why it didn't appear on my list of qualifiers.
By:
Tony Broke
When: 10 Apr 12 11:07
im up to bet 4.
itll be back o 0.5 chievo milan @ 1.07.
By:
Tony Broke
When: 10 Apr 12 11:08
joci have u got iceland on your list?
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 11:12
Tony - Italy is in my 'red zone' not to be trusted list.

Iceland doesn't appear on www.soccerstats.com, so I don't look at it (just out of convenience). Think when I did look at it in the past, the odds were crazy low on goals.
By:
Tony Broke
When: 10 Apr 12 11:15
i kow italy is usually a no go area but milan wont fail to score with them chasing title now behind juve.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 11:23
It comes out at 2.4 goals for me.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 16:32
Nice early goal at St Pauli would be nice. Might try and get on the Dusseldorf game then if that happens.
By:
time-to-tip
When: 10 Apr 12 16:46
I may do the same if a early goal in Dussledorf :)
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 16:48
Maybe too much time elapsed now for me.
By:
time-to-tip
When: 10 Apr 12 16:54
dussledorf been quite lively
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 17:06
My goal at St Pauli is in. Grin Too late to go for the Dusseldorf game though for me.
By:
time-to-tip
When: 10 Apr 12 17:06
Congrats, I think dussledorf in Red, it's been all them.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Apr 12 17:12
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0]
007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05
008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05
By:
time-to-tip
When: 10 Apr 12 17:22
Only 1 goal at half time in all the German games and you picked it Excited
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