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Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2
Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2
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How are you doing the %? Surprised at the United chance of 0-0 tbh
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ok... i didn't expect it to i was just curious that's all. i would like the chances of there being 1 goal just purely because i think it'll be unlikely for them to not score in 2 games in a row given they've scored in every single league game since 24th september bar the last match that's all
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Yes, I'm not saying there won't be a goal and wouldn't use it to back 0-0s, but it's enough to dissuade me from backing the goal. It's just another method of narrowing down the games most likely to produce at least one goal.
Having said that now, I wouldn't be at all surprised if they decided to put on a goalfest to rubbish me!  |
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time-to-tip 11 Apr 12 11:10
How are you doing the %? Surprised at the United chance of 0-0 tbh I sent you a mail with the calc. |
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I just ran the figures for the Real Madrid v Valencia game, which came out with an 8% chance of a 0-0 which would have been enough to dissuade me from backing the goal, despite the 3.7 goal prediction.
At the time, I would have considered it as a qualifier due to the goal prediction, but using this new calculation in conjunction with that, it would not have been a qualifier. Interesting. |
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Just a side note, my system rejects it too as RM have had 2 0-0 and athletico have had 6 0-0, so 8 between them
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whats the formula, Joci? if you dont mind me asking?
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Here we go...an early goal at Karlsruhe might see me re-invest in the 1860 Munich game.
Come on Lord! |
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I am on 1860múnich @ 1.07
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suspended :)
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Bet 3: Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden - Lay No Goal - £99.65 @ 10.5
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Do you bet them all on a Accumulator or all one be one, HELP!!!! :) thanks
Tomorrow's qualifiers in approx start time order (goal prediction / chance of 0-0) Eintracht Frankfurt v Ingolstadt 3.6 / 10.7% - no longer a qualifier Karlsruher v Dynamo Dresden 3.7 / 4.6% TSV 1860 Munchen v MSV Duisburg 3.5 / 2% Breda v Heracles 3.0 / 2% Hannover v Wolfsburg 3.8 / 2% Roda v Feyenoord 3.6 / 7.7% - no longer a qualifier Valencia v Rayo Vallecano 4.1 / 5.3% - now a 'borderline' qualifier Man City v West Brom 3.5 / 3.5% Wigan v Man Utd 3.3 / 12.5% - no longer a qualifier Wolves v Arsenal 4.8 / 1.6% Heerenveen v Ajax 4.8 / 10.2% - no longer a qualifier Ath Madrid v Real Madrid comes out with a very high % chance of a 0-0. |
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Just do them individually at the moment.
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Thank you JOCI
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bet 6.munich duisburg o 0.5 1.12
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What happens if they K.O at the same time.
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I chose the one with the highest goal chance and leave the other (unless there's a very early goal in the first and I move on to the second).
If my bank increases sufficiently and I split the bank, then I will be able to back both. |
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Very quiet in Germany!
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Agree, the goals should start coming just after half time I think, and thank you for the replies.
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I remembered why I usually avoid this league now!
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there's your goal
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Goal Karlsruhe!
 Longest wait so far!Goal TSV Munchen also...everyone happy!! |
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and in they go thank the lord
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we are moving on the other match
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Here they come, all matches with a goal
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Damn!!! Can't believe that I put half on Karlsruhe and half on Munchen and then soon as a goal came in on either match I was going to put it all on the other game. Typically both goals come within a minute of each other. Oh well still happy as both came in.
Many thanks for posting your research up here JOCI Club. |
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Breda v Heracles 3.0 / 2%
Hannover v Wolfsburg 3.8 / 2% Valencia v Rayo Vallecano 4.1 / 5.3% - now a 'borderline' qualifier all of these are starting at 20:00 CET. |
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what do we think of alkmaar v twente comes out at 2.7 but must be a goal
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bet man city wba o 0.5 @ 1.04.
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bet 7.i mean
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 Aiming to get on the Hannover game if an early goal at Wolfsburg. |
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Valencia v Rayo Vallecano - valencia on the 4th place is missing one point to 3rd malaga. They sure want full points at home against average team
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Go for it. Prediction is for over 4 goals, and the chance of a 0-0 comes out at 5.3% which is only margina;;y above my 'target' of 5%.
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alkmaar in front already get in there
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Nice.
1.5+ up in the Karlsruhe game. |
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1.5+ in the alkmaar game ?
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Not for me, but good luck.
Should be another. 1-1 or 2-1, but no bet for me. |
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Discipline dickiebyrd.
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always tempting when the first goal goes in so early but could come unstuck :)
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