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By:
ntinosbetf
When: 26 Feb 12 08:40
Dutch Eredevisie
Excelsior v Ajax

Excelsior is one position over the last in ranking, but in every match the team do it's best to leave the last places. In away ground matches there are no wins, but In home ground matches, the performance is better with 3 wins and 3 draws in 11 matches. Ajax has fallen into the sixth position in ranking, with 5 points difference from the first. The team has said "Goodbye" to Europa League, so it's main interest is the Eredevisie. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

English Premier League
Arsenal v Tottenham

Arsenal knows that the first position is unreachable, with 17 points less than the first in ranking. The team need the win to be among the first three, to participate in the Champions League. Tottenham is in the third position in ranking with a 10 point difference from the fourth position. A draw or a loss is acceptable. No goal in the first 10 minutes.
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 27 Feb 12 10:33
Dutch Eredevisie
Excelsior v Ajax

A goal in the first 30 minutes. First goal @ 22′ Win! Jeyton’s variation Win!

English Premier League
Arsenal v Tottenham

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 4′ Lose
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 06 Mar 12 13:49
European Champions League
Arsenal v Milan

In the previous match, Milan, at home ground, won Arsenal with a 4-0 score. Arsenal, will to it's best to win, but Milan is not an easy opponent. Milan will choose an active behaviour, so I wait for a goal in the first 30 minutes.
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 06 Mar 12 13:55
Being away for a while, I made my stats up to now.

Matches Picked:  673

No goal in the first 10 minutes (Lay first goal in the first 10 minutes)

Matches Picked    Matches Won
397            333

A goal in the first 30 minutes

Matches Picked    Goal in 0-10    Goal in 11-20    Goal in 21-30
275            65            47            44

Jeyton's variation (First goal in first half)

Matches Picked    Matches Won
82            65


First phase finished. The strike rate is satisfactory. Now time to do some research for money management.

Using the principles of Maria's Lay Betting System with a stake of 1% of the bank.

Starting with a bank of 1000 the stake will be 10.
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 06 Mar 12 14:05
A goal in the first 30 minutes:

0-10   odds   4.9  Profit: 39.00
11-20  odds   5.2  Profit: 42.00
21-30  odds   6.4  Profit: 54.00

Jeyton's variation (lay 0-0 half time score):

Odds 3.95  Laibility:  29.50
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 08 Mar 12 10:58
European Champions League
Arsenal v Milan

A goal in the first 30 minutes. First goal @ 7' Win! Jeyton's variation Win!

0-10 won   +39.00
11-20 lost  -10.00   
21-30 lost  -10.00

lay bet won +10.00
            ======
Total       +29.00

New bank: 1029.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 08 Mar 12 14:28
Europa League
Atletico Madrid v Besiktas

Atletico is two points less than the first six in the National League's ranking. In Europa's League matches the performance is better as the team "kicked out" Lazzio winning twice. For Besiktas, this match will be difficult, because Atletico is a very good team. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay the first 10 minutes:Odds 4.8 Liability 38.00

Metalist v Olympiakos

Metalist was very good in the previous matches, with two wins against Salzburg (4 goals scores 1-4, 4-0). Olympiakos can do very well with both wins against Rubin Kazan, with a 1-0 score. The team knows that Metalist is a serious danger, so a defensive behaviour (at least at the beggining of the match), is expected. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay the first 10 minutes:Odds 5.9 Liability 49.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 09 Mar 12 05:26
Europa League
Atletico Madrid v Besiktas

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 24' Win!

Lay bet won! +10.00

Metalist v Olympiakos

No goal in the first 10 minutes.  No goal @ half-time Win!

Lay bet Won! +10.00


New bank: 1049.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 10 Mar 12 07:20
Italian Serie B
Sassuolo v Sampdoria

Sassuolo is third in ranking, with only one win in the last five matches. It seems that the team is not in a good shape lately. Sampdoria prefers draws and under 2.5 goals scores, with 13 draws and 20 under 2.5 goals scores in 29 matches. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay bet Odds 7.0 Liability: 60.00

English Championship
Burnley v Crystal Palace

Burnley has three losses in the last three matches, bit the team did not had any match during this week, so the players are in a good form. In home ground matches, there are 5 draws and 6 losses. Palace has one point more than Burnley, but in away ground matches, it's difficult for the team and the opponent to score a goal. The team has 23 under 2.5 goals scores in 34 matches. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay bet Odds 6.2 Liability: 52.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 11 Mar 12 09:00
Italian Serie B
Sassuolo v Sampdoria

No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal @ half-time Win!

Lay bet won +10

English Championship
Burnley v Crystal Palace

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 2' Lose

Lay bet lost -52.00

Old bank: 1049.00
           +10.00
          =======
          1059.00
           -52.00
          =======
New Bank  1007.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 12 Mar 12 14:02
Turkish Super league
Trabzonspor v Sivasspor

Trabzonspor is third in ranking with 9 wins in 15 home ground matches, and many over 2.5 goals scores. Sivasspor has six points less than Tranzonspor, so there are three wins needed in the last five matches of the period, to manage to be among the first four. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

Back
    0-10   Odds: 4.0 Profit 30.00
    11-20  Odds: 4.6 Profit 36.00
    21-30  Odds: 6.0 Profit 50.00

Lay 0-0 half time score:
    Odds: 4.0 Liability: 30.00

Dutch Gouden Gids Divisie
Cambuur v AGOVV Apeldoorn

Cambuur after two wins in home ground matches, managed to be among the first eight in ranking, so a win is needed today, to climb to a higher position. There are 18 over 2.5 goals scores in 25 matches. Apeldoorn is one position above the last in ranking, with four wins in the last five matches. This year, no team will fall to a lower category, the team is taking it easy.  A goal in the first 30 minutes.

Back
    0-10   Odds: 3.4 Profit 24.00
    11-20  Odds: 4.2 Profit 32.00
    21-30  Odds: 6.0 Profit 50.00

Lay 0-0 half time score:
    Odds: 5.3 Liability: 43.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 13 Mar 12 12:06
Turkish Super League
Trabzonspor v Sivasspor

A goal in the first 30 minutes. First goal @ 37' Lose Jeyton's variation Win!

Three back bets lost -30

Lay bet won +10

Dutch Gouden Gids Divisie
Cambuur v AGOVV Apeldoorn

A goal in the first 30 minutes.  No goal @ half-time Lose  Jeyton's variation Lose


Three back bets lost -30

Lay bet lost  -43.00

All lost bets -103.00

Bets won +10.00

Total loss -93.00

New bank: 1007.00-93.00= 914.00

1% of bank stake

From now on stake 9.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 14 Mar 12 13:15
Greek Super League
Levadiakos v Giannina

Levadiakos, was ready to ensure remaining in the Super League, after the two losses, there is a distance of one point over the danger zone. Giannina, with one point less than Levadiakos, and two wins, is heading for a third win, to leave the last positions in ranking. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay a goal in 0-10 Odds: 7.2

When the odds are > 6 then the stake must be 0.5% of the bank so the stake will be 5.

Liability 31.00

Doxa Dramas v Atromitos

Doxa is last in ranking, and this match is one of the few chances of the team to win, having the advantage of home ground. The team will try to gain a point, because the rest of the matches are difficult. Atromitos is fifth in ranking, and needs the win to remain among the first five, to participate in the Europa League. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay 0-10 Odds:7.0 Stake: 5

Liability: 30.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 14 Mar 12 20:10
Greek Super League
Levadiakos v Giannina

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 42' Win

Lay bet won +5.00

Doxa Dramas v Atromitos

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 39' Win!

Lay bet won +5.00

Old bank 914.00
        + 10.00
         ======
         924.00
By:
Robert9000
When: 15 Mar 12 09:06
Hi, I've been following your posts for quite a while.
A very interesting pattern seems to appear that we can all use to profit nicely.

I have seen that when a goal is scored within the first 10 minutes (or even 15-16 minutes) of a game you have given as LAY the 0-10min First Goal, in almost 8 out of 10 of cases the game ends up OVER 2.5.

Given the fact that Over 2.5 odds pay around the 2.0 mark, this strike rate virtually guarantees big (and I mean bigExcited) profits.

Have you looked into this?
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 16 Mar 12 16:13
Robert9000,

Thanks for the suggestion. This is a project that all proposals are examined. Jeyton has made a proposal for the first goal in half time, and now you suggest over 2.5 goals in a goal is scored in the first 10 minutes. I'll check it out.

Today's picks:

French Ligue 2
Guingamp v Lens

Both teams have the same points, 4 points over the danger zone. Guingamp has no win in 7 matches. Lans has has 5 draws and 5 losses in 13 away ground matches. No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Odds to lay 0-10: 6.6 (>6 stake 5.00)

Liability: 28.00

Clermont Foot v Istres

Clermont is second in ranking, but the performance is not very good, with 6 matches without a win. Istres is seventh in ranking with five points less than Clermont, with 5 wins in the last seven matches. Today's win, will bring the team close to the first three. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Odds to lay 0-10: 6.6 (>6 stake 5.00)

Liability: 29.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 18 Mar 12 22:51
French Ligue 2
Guingamp v Lens

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 26′ Win!

Lay bet won +5.00

Clermont Foot v Istres

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 40′ Win!

Lay bet won +5.00

Profit 10.00

Old bank: 924.00
          +10.00
         =========
New bank  934.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 19 Mar 12 15:04
Turkish Super League
Besiktas v Manisaspor

Besiktas is fourth in ranking, but the performance is getting worse in the last matches. There are problems with management, and disputes of the coach and the best player, so he will be away from the next matches. Last week the team participated in Europa League, so the players are tired. Manisaspor is two places above the last in ranking with one win in five matches. Today's draw will be good ta save the team from falling. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Odds for Laying the first 10 minutes: 4.9 < 6 so return to 1% of the bank stake: 9.00
Liability 35.10

French Ligue 2
Le Mans v Reims

Le Mans is over the danger zone, but not in a safe distance. If today's result is draw, then the next three matches, will be against opponents of similar strength. Reims is third in ranking, but in away ground, the performance is not good, with 5 draws and 6 losses in 14 matches. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Odds for Laying the first 10 minutes: 6.6 >6 so 0.5% of the bank stake 5.00
Liability 29.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 20 Mar 12 14:10
Turkish Super League
Besiktas v Manisaspor

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 18′ Win!

Lay bet won: +9.00

French Ligue 2
Le Mans v Reims

No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal @ half-time Win!

Lay bet won: +5.00

Total +14.00

New bank 934.00+14.00=948.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 21 Mar 12 11:34
Greek Cup
Atromitos v Asteras Tripolis

Atromitos is in a very good shape, with a third position in ranking and only one loss in 12 home ground matches. Asteras needs the draw, to have a chance in the next match at home ground where the team is strong. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay 0-10 Odds: 7.2>6 so stake 0.5% of the bank. Stake 5.00
Liability: 31.00
By:
scooby555
When: 21 Mar 12 11:46
Only spotted ur thread there now,wil follow u 4 a bit of fun.

Best of luck.
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 22 Mar 12 06:22
scooby555,

Thanks for hanging around. If you search the thread's name with google, you'll find more info.


Greek Cup
Atromitos v Asteras Tripolis

No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal @ half-time Win!

Lay bet won! +5.00

New bank=948.00+5.00=953.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 22 Mar 12 14:53
Turkish Cup
Kayserispor v Istanbul BB

Kayserispor has won today's opponent with a 1-0 score in the league's match. The team needs the win today, to be among the first eight for the Cup, because, in the League, it will be difficult to be among the first eight, for the play-offs.  Istanbul BB, last year managed to participate in the cup's final, but this period, in away ground matches, the performance is not very good. There are 4 wins and 11 losses, in 16 away ground matches. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay first goal 0-10 Odds 5.8
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 22 Mar 12 18:56
Sorry for the typing error.

Odds 5.8
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 22 Mar 12 18:58
Odds 5.8 smaller than 6: Stake 1% of the bank 9.00
Liability: 43.20
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 23 Mar 12 15:07
Turkish Cup
Kayserispor v Istanbul BB

No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal @ half-time Win!

Lay bet won +9.00

New bank=953.00+9.00=962.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 24 Mar 12 11:09
I'm doing some adjustments on my betting plans and calcultaions. For a goal in the first 30 minutes, instead of using a fixed stake, I'm normalizing, according to the odds, and computing a normalized odd.


German Bundesliga 2
Gr Furth v Karlsruhe

Furth has proved it's capabilities, by participating in the Cup's final, but lost in extra time from Dortmund. The team is heading for Bundesliga 1. In 13 home ground matches, there are 11 wins and 2 losses. Karlsruhe is one position over the last in ranking, and there is one win in 13 away ground matches. Today, there is no chance for the team. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

Normalized Odd: 1.5, less than six stake 1% of the bank, 9.00

Back:
0-10 Odds: 3.95 Stake:3.44
11-20 Odds: 4.80  Stake: 2.83
21-30 Odds: 5.50  Stake: 2.72

Jeyton's variation:

Lay (0-0 half time score)
Odds: 4.4 smaller than 6.0 1% of the bank stake:9.00
Liability: 30.60


Italian Serie B
Bari v Juve Stabia

Bari is not in it's best shape. The team has ensured remaining in Serie B, but it won't be easy to be among the first six, to participate in the play-offs. Stabia has some good players, but in the last matches, the performance is not good. There is no win in the last four matches, but there is no danger for falling, because there is a distance of 13 points above the last three. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Odds: 6.8 greater than 6.0  stake 0.5% of the bank 5.00
Liability:29.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 25 Mar 12 14:56
German Bundesliga 2
Gr Furth v Karlsruhe

A goal in the first 30 minutes. First goal @ 28' Win Jeyton's variation Win!

Back bet 21-30 Won! +12.24
Back bets 0-10 and 11-20 lost -3.44, -2.83 

Total +12.24-6.27=+5.97

Lay bet won +9.00

Italian Serie B
Bari v Juve Stabia

No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal @ half-time Win!

Lay bet won +9.00

New bank=962.00+23.79=985.97
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 26 Mar 12 12:29
Portuguese Super League
Maritimo v Gil Vicente

Maritimo has only two losses in the last ten matches, so the team climbed to the fourth position in ranking. Participation in the European matches is what the team wants, so it'll do it's best to remain among the first five. Vicente won Sporting, last week, with a 2-0 score. That win had a result of gaining a distance of eight points away from the danger zone. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay 0-10 Odds: 6.0 (up to 6.0 10% of the bank) stake:9.00
Liability 45.00


Braga v Academica

Braga has only one points less than the first in ranking Porto, with 12 wins in series, and all results, over 2.5 goals. In home ground matches, there is no loss (10 wins and a draw). Academica is five points over the danger zone, with no win in the last 11 matches. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

I'll stick to Jeyton's variation (lay 0-0 half time score).

Lay 0-0 Odds: 3.7  (up to 6.0 10% of the bank) stake:9.00

Liability: 24.30
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 27 Mar 12 03:15
Portuguese Super League
Maritimo v Gil Vicente

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 3' Lose

Lay bet lost -45.00

Braga v Academica

A goal in the first 30 minutes. First goal @ 36' Lose Jeyton's variation Win!

Lay bet won +9.00

Result: -45.00+9.00=-36.00

New bank=985.79-36.00=949.79
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 28 Mar 12 15:51
Champions League
Marseille v Bayern Munich

Marseille is not performing well in it's country's league, and that participation in The Champiosn League, was a result of luck. Today the team's players know that, if they choose an aggressive behaviour, bayern will score many goals. So they will choose a defensive play with counter strikes. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay 0-10 Odds: 5.7 Smaller than 6.0 1% of the bank stake: 9.00
Liability: 42.30

AC Milan v Barcelona

Both teams are in a good shape, with a good performance in the previous matches for the Champions League. In those matches, there were many goals (2-2 and 2-3), so today's match will be similar, with action and many goals. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

Jeyton's variation:

Lay 0-0 Half-time score Odds: 3.65 Smaller than 6.0, stake 1% 9.00
Liability: 24.30
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 29 Mar 12 11:14
Champions League
Marseille v Bayern Munich

No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal @ 25' Win!

Lay bet won +9.00

AC Milan v Barcelona

A goal in the first 30 minutes. No goal @ half-time Lose Jeyton's variation Lose

Lay bet lost. -24.30

Total -24.30+9.00=-15.30

New bank=949.79-15.30=934.49
By:
scotty_owl
When: 29 Mar 12 12:16
What was your opening bank?
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 29 Mar 12 12:52
My opening bank was 1000.00

After 4 months, I have found the strike rate. Now trying to modify the betting strategy to see the best results for my strike rate.
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 30 Mar 12 13:30
French Ligue 2
Guingamp v Arles-Avignon

Guingamp has 37 points, 4 over the danger zone, and Arles, with one point less, seems that they'll manage to remain in the Ligue 2. Both teams have many under 2.5 goals scores and many draws. So no goal in the first 10 minutes.

Changing to a standard liability betting (around 25.00) to improve, Maria's lay betting system.

Lay 0-10 Odds:7.0  Stake 4.00 Liability: 24.00

Clermont Foot v Le Havre

Clermont, after no win in the last seven matches, has fallen to the fourth position in ranking. Now the team has one point less than the third, but it will be difficult to be among the first three, with the draws in the last matches. Le Havre has three points over the danger zone, with 20 under 2.5 goals scores  and 12 draws in 20 matches. The team manages to get the desired result, even with better teams. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay 0-10 Odds: 8.4   Stake 3.5 Liability: 25.90
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 30 Mar 12 19:51
French Ligue 2
Guingamp v Arles-Avignon

No goal in the first 10 minutes. No goal @ half-time! Win!

Lay bet Won! +4.00

Clermont Foot v Le Havre

No goal in the first 10 minutes. First goal @ 11' Win!

Lay bet Won! +3.50

Total: 7.50

New bank: 934.49+7.50=941.99
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 31 Mar 12 12:33
Turkish Super League
Sivasspor v Istanbul BB

There are only two matches up to the end of the Turkish Super League. Most teams in Turkey are trying to be among the first eight to participate in the play-offs.  Sivasspor is fifth in ranking and needs to gain 4 points in the next two matches.  Istanbul BB is 9th in ranking so a win is a must for today, for participation in the play-offs. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

Lay 0-0 half-time score: Odds 3.65

Liability 23.85 Stake:9.00


English Premier League
Manchester City v Sunderland

City is second in ranking with three points less than the first United. Today, a win is a must to be the League’s winner. In home ground there are only wins (15 wins in 51 matches), and most over the scores were over 2.5 goals. Sunderland has nothing to gain, so it will be a match for a good team image. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

Lay 0-0 half-time score: Odds 4.2

Liability 25.60 Stake: 8.00
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 01 Apr 12 06:37
Turkish Super League
Sivasspor v Istanbul BB

A goal in the first 30 minutes. No goal @ half-time Lose Jeyton's variation Lose

Lay bet lost  -23.85

English Premier League
Manchester City v Sunderland

A goal in the first 30 minutes. First goal @ 31' Lose  Jeyton's variation Win!

Lay bet Won +8.00

New bank 941.99-23.85+8.00=926.14
By:
ntinosbetf
When: 03 Apr 12 13:44
English League One
Brentford v Oldham

Brentford needs eight points to participate in the play-offs and the win is needed. Oldham is seven points over the danger zone. In case of 1 or 2 draws in the next four away ground matches, will manage to remain in League One. No goal in the first 10 minutes.

Lay 0-10 Odds:5.8  Stake 5.00 Liability: 24.00

English Blue Square Premier
Newport County v York

Newport, is one point over the danger zone, so a win is a must. York, is fifth in ranking, so a win is needed to participate in the play-offs. A goal in the first 30 minutes.

Lay 0-0 half-time score: Odds 3.85

Liability 25.65 Stake:9.00
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