Iknowthewayurthinking -6 assisted
Galopin Des Champs 0
I Am Maximus +2+
Gaelic Warrior +2
Fact To File +2
Fastorslow +3
Affordale Fury +6
Grangeclare West +7
Lecky Watson +9
Stellar Story +11
Iknowthewayurthinking +12 unassisted
Montys Star +13
Firefox +16
Spindleberry +17
Haiti Couleurs +17
Champ Kiely +20
In boglike conditions Stellar Story could run well .
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Majborough 0
Solness +3
Marine Nationale +3
Found A Fifty +3
Energumene +8
Only By Night +9
Senecia +9
Lethal Levi 0
Mysterious Night +5
Witness Stand +8
Apologies One +8
Marbaan +9
Shootout +10
Chicago Critic +10
Audience +10
The figure for Lethal Levi comes from handicap form and is off the scale but he has another rating which would put him on top . The race to look at is The Bunbury Cup , take a look . At a big price he would be interesting .
..???......?.
Opera Ballo 0+
Silawi +2
Vafortino +2
Nations Pride +4
Holloway Boy +4
Midak +7
A nice little race .
.....?....?........
The Big Breakaway 0???
Homme Public 0 from form at 2 miles
Annual Invictus +1
Unanswered Prayer +2
Escaria Ten +6
Some Scope +7
Peaches And Cream +7
Latenightpass +8
Homme Public is by Cocoriko who gets stayers and is a half brother to Gaboriot . He takes a big step up in trip .
Daily it becomes ever more difficult to get into this section of Betfair .
I have never found this race easy but can not resist having an interest in it . As always no adjustment has been made for claims .
Now Is The Hour 0
Shecouldbeanything +3
Quai De Bourbon +3
Better Times Ahead +3
Intense Raffles +4
Harry Des Ongrais +6
Will Do +7
Spanish Harlem +7
Captain Cody +8
Shanbally Kid +9
Conyers Hill +9
Jordans +10
The figure for the top chap is from old form .
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Spillanes Tower 0
Stellar Story +7
Flaming Porter +7
L'Homme Presse +7
Grey Dawning +9
The top chap gets his rating from his second to Fact To File and it might be on the high side .
Stellar Story seems to be out of sorts .
Flaming Porter has not been seen for quite a while .
L'homme Presse has to find 4lb on recent form to equal the rating here .
But Grey Dawning might have beaten fresh air last time and his rating comes from Spring form at Aintree . Is he really an odds on shot ? I have my doubts . Do not forget the race is run at conditions .
Il Etait Temps 0+
Jonbon +4
Thistle Ask +18
Gidleigh Park +19
JPR One +22
Thistle Ask looks to have improved by 39lb since October 25th . However , if he has improved then Saint Segal has improved by 19lb since last March . That should set alarms off and looking further you find Boothill , Sans Bruit and JPR One behind them . Masters of inconsistency .
And if the improvement is indeed there then it would be unwise to expect another big leap . The closer one gets to the top ratings the more the improvement becomes incremental .
He is only 7/1 and the favourite 8/15 which suggests to me that Il Etait Temps is not certain to run .
...............EDIT : At 8/15 the favourite has to be a bet .
Richmond Lake 0
Johnnywho +4+
Imperial Saint +6
Royale Pagaille +9
Konfusion +13+
Myretown +16+
If Royal Pagaille is not declared Grand Geste goes to +1+
......?....
I am not one that sees a conspiracy in every strange result but the Clarence House stinks . Thank God the horse is OK.
The target figure has nothing to do with this horse giving 8lb and a 2l beating to Haiti Couleurs .
I agree that Me Vango looks too low but I can not get a higher figure for him .
L'Homme Presse ran a fine race last time . He was not off . There is a 500k bonus for winning this and a race at Aintree .
..........
Moon Rocket 0
Hollygrove Cha Cha +1
Doyen Quest +5
Wade Out +5
The Jukebox Kid +8
Lauren's Bay +10
No racing therefore January becomes the Silly Seaon or , more accurately , the silly arse season where everybody puts up a short one for Cheltenham .
Several of the better fancied horses have question marks against them for one reason or another .
Il Etait Temps , never won at the track .
Jonbon no longer a force .
L'Eau Du Sud , forget his win over Jonbon and he becomes a nobody .
Majborough , powerful but must improve his jumping .
Etc
A surprise entry for some is Calico but if you take a good look at his record you should spot that he is at the top of his form and could still be improving . He goes on any going . He has won twice at the track .
At 66/1 he might be worth an e/w interest .
Off of the top of my head he would need to find 19lb if all ran to form but it is more likely that he would need 13lb .
Silly Season is a term that I will always associate with Ian Balding .
I believe it was the first good horse that he trained . What a great trainer he was .
No adjustment has been made for claims .
Some of the figures are from old form .
Il Ridoto 0
Riskintheground 0
Jungle Boogie +1
Twinjets +2+
Matata +4
Grandeur diameter +8
Glengouly +10
Moon d'Orange +12
Just Over Land +26+
The figure for Riskintheground rests upon one horse , The general figure is around one stone inferior but he ran a great race in The Hennessy over a distance that looked to be too far for him ,
The market screams that I have underestimated Just Over Land but I will just have to grin and bear it ,