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Sandown Friday

25 Apr 25 12:06
Lead Artist 0
Haatem 0
Dancing Gemini +1
Ice Max +2
Tamfana +3
Alcantor +3
Cash +4
Cicero's Gift +5

Dancing Gemini looked smart at Doncaster but 2nd , 3rd , 4th and 9th in that race have not been sighted in their subsequent runs .
...?.........
Windlord 0
Damysus +2+
Swagman +2
I Am I Said +4+
Sir Dinadan +7
..........
Penfold Grange 0
Fifth Column +8
Thunder Wonder +9
Seraph Gabriel +9
San Juanito +11
Tilted Kilt +14
The Last King +14
Dividend +16

The top figure is from a/w form .

A claimer to look out for is Sam Coen (7) .

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2000 Guineas/ 1000

03 May 25 20:54
I will try again . The weather forecast is for a heatwave .

Field Of Gold 0+
Ruling Court +2+
Shadow Of Light +4
Expanded +5
Wimbledon Hawkeye +7
Benevento +8
Scorthy Champ +9
Green Impact +12+
Seagulls Eleven +12
Yah Mo Be There +12
Tornado Alert +14+

The lays and I have left them as they were
Field Of Glory , too short a price
Scorthy Champ , really does not have the form for this at the moment
Shadow Of Light , he might not get the trip
13/8 this trio is an acceptable risk .
The bet is tricky but Rashabar e/w @ 25/1 looks fair enough .
The rationale is that I believe the Jean-Luc Lagardere has been underestimated , certainly I have underestimated it . Therefore Rashabar could be +2+ in my reckoning .
He will get the trip
He will go on the going
He is race fit and in form
He has form in G1 races and he goes well on a straight track .
The downside could be that he has no Newmarket form .
And , if he is declared , don't rule out Noble Champion . He had a setback in training before the Greenham yet ran to 1lb of his expected figure . Racing on the far wing he was not disgraced .
Whistlejacket's win yesterday was more good news for the Rashabar form . EDIT , What a cracking start to the season !!!
Lake Victoria 0
Desert Flower +1
Simmering +2
Red Letter +2
Duty First +6+
Chantez +6
Chantilly Lace +6+ interpolated figure might be way too high

The lay bet has to be Desert Flower .

Field Of Gold might have been unfortunate . It was not the fault of Shoemark . For 4 strides in the 6th furlong the favourite was not travelling and once back in action he ran his race .
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Last post

21 Apr 25 11:57
I don't know why the last post has been taken down . Ridiculous !
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Une Pointure 0
Apologies Fountain +1
Arizona Blaze +3
The Striking Viking +3
Polyvega +4
Miss Lamai +6
King Of Light +6
Estepona +6
Rayevka +10
Mehmist +19
The bottom pair might be a lot better but I have very limited info for them .
.,..,,..
Darius Cen 0
Misunderstood +5
Madero +7
Heybeth +8
Fatal Youmzain +14
No figures for Sahlan or Ridari
.......
Zarigana 0
Rosa Salvaje +9
She's Perfect +15
Lady Majesty Cen +17
No figures for the others .
.........
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Newbury Saturday +

08 Apr 25 18:59
Provisionals have been left in .

Simmering 0
Mountain Breeze +3 hard race fit
Bedtime Story +3+
Arabian Dusk +5
Tabiti +7
Time For Sandals +9
Heavens Gate +9
Formal +9
California Dreamer +9
................
Cosmic Year -1+ declared at Kempton
Noble Champion 0
Chancellor  0
Rashabar +1
Hallasan +2
Field Of Gold +2
Anno Domini +2
......
Kempton
Cosmic Year 0+
Honked +13
Ashen +17+

This will be at prohibitive  odds . The favourite is penalised and , presumably , needs a run . I looked at the pedigree of the unraced runners and found that the dam of National Park was foaled in 1988 !! Weatherbys strike again .
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Deauville Tuesday

07 Apr 25 11:42
Maranoa Charlie 0
Arabie 0
Woodshauna +1
Silius +3
Tiego The First +4
Rosapenna +7
Le Roi Reine +8
Dynamitic ?

Woodshaunna is hard race fit .
Le Roi Reine was ridden by a lady last time and now has Murphy to help him . Tricky !
............
Fraise Des Bois 0
Daylight +3
Mimos +8
Lhakpa +9
Iron Bird +9
Relaxx +11
Kaadi +11
Better Together +14
Ghoufrann ?
The top filly's figure comes from a race run on heavy ground .
The Fabre runner must surely be better than it has shown so far .
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Bowl/Melling/ Novices

02 Apr 25 23:49
Ahoy Senor -3
Djelo 0
Spillane's Tower +1
Garlic Warrior +1
Stage Star +2
Embassy Gardens +2
The Real Whacker +9
Grey Dawning +10

The lay bet is obvious .
.......
Jonbob 0
Protektorat +6
El Fabiolo +7
Matata +12+

..........
Stellar Story 0
Quai De Bourbon +3
Jango Baie +4
Handstands +4
Impaired et Passe +7
Dancing City +7
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Meydan / Aintree

05 Apr 25 22:32
Romantic Warrior 0
Bride Weg. 0
Soul Rush +4
Nations Pride +4
Holloway Boy +4
Maljoom +5
Liberty Island +5
Ghostwriter +5
Goeman +6
Facteur Cheval +6
Meisho Tabaru +14
I am still struggling to get a grip on the Japanese runners .
.............
Danon Docile 0
Calandagan 0
Shin Emperor +1
Giavellotto +1
Durezza +1
Rebels Romance +2
Cervinia +3
Calif +3
Deira Mile +5
Christ , this looks like it could be fun .
...............
If I have no confidence in my Japanese figures that is not the case with the local 3 y o crop . My figures suggest that Ballydoyle is not behind . Most are running to 2 y o form or better .
............
Jetoile 0
Adamantly Chosen +3
Fantastic Lady +3
Ginny's Destiny +4
Statuario +5
Ga Law +5
Arizona Cardinal +5
James Du Berlais +6
Western Zephyr +7
......
Hyland 0
Conflated +1??
Three Card Brag +2
Vanillier +4
Fil D'or +4
Fantastic Lady +4 declared for Topham suggesting that very few if any drop out
Appreciate It +4
Intense Raffles +5
I forgot the lays : Iroko , I Am Maximus and Hewick were early and now Minella Cocooner can join this trio .
Iroko might improve but others can find time too .
I Am Maximus is a sloppy jumper and might remember how easy these obstacles are , he could take one Liberty too many and he has his fair share of weight .
Hewick : his form does not stand scrutiny but I would cheer for him if he is in with a shout at the elbow .
Micellar Cocooner , I mean no insult to Johnny Burke but this horse is not the best fancied of the Mullins squad .
I have backed Hyland , Three Card Brag , Hitman and Celebre D'Allen . The last named might surprise plenty . He has been kept for a Spring campaign , goes fresh , is on his best form and I believe he can run a big race .
Good luck .
For the first forty years of my racing life the turf on the National course was described as springy in dry spells . With that in mind and given the drift Intense Raffles is now an interesting prospect .

It seems that both Broadway Boy and Celebre D'Allen are going to be OK.  Punishment for Nolan is an injustice and his partner ran like a hero .
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Doncaster/ Leopardstown

29 Mar 25 01:31
Botanical 0
Checkandchallenge +1
Dancing Gemini +2
Liberty Lane +4
Savvy Victory +5
Witch Hunter +5
Point Lynas +5
Chic Columbine +5
Noble Order +11
Botanical has not run since September
Checkandchallenge is a dodgepot
Dancing Gemini is looking like a dodger
Liberty Lane will have Point Lynas bothering him
Chic Columbine can be keen

That leaves Witch Hunter , Savvy Victory and Noble Order .
If only it was that easy , chortle chortle .
Leopardstown to follow .
..........
Arizona Blaze 0
Henri Matisse +1
Spycraft +6
Rock Of Cashel +6
Commanche Brave +8
Hazdann +11
Tribal Nation +14
.......
Exactly 0
MERRILY +3
SWELTER +4+
Usdi Atohi +7
Sparkling Sea +7
Miracle Beauty +7
Bubbling +8
...........
Delacroix 0
Kibris +2
Puppet Master +4
Spicy Margarita +4
Lambourn +5
Wemighttakedlongway +6
Tiberius Thunder +18+


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Derby

15 May 25 16:44
It will be a case of " all change " here very shortly but it is worth a quick look .

Ruling Court 0
Pride Of Arras +2+
Delacroix +2+
The Lion In Winter +2
Damysus +3
Purview +5+
Lambourn +5
Wimbledon Hawkeye +5
Twain +5
Hotazhell +5
Tennessee Stud +6+
Lazy Griff +6
Swagman +6+ Ntbs
Alpine Trail +7+  ntbs
Sea Scout +7
Mount Kilimanjaro +7
Pinhole +8
Trinity College +8
Stanhope Gardens +8
Royal Playwright +8
Acapulco Bay +8+
Tuscan Hills +9
Tornado Alert +9
Rock Of Cashel +9
Puppet Master +9
Stay True +9 ntbs

Most of these will struggle to get 12f anywhere if breeding is anything to go by .
The Lion In Winter , Delacroix and Windlord look as if they might but are far from certain to get the Epsom 12 .
Lambourn did The Futurity form no harm when runner up to Delacroix .
The Lion In Winter is far from certain to run . He might not be ready for The Dante . Take another look at his form and you should see that it is not cast iron . Paddy Twomey's yard was not at its best last season and his Currawood has had his limitations exposed this time round with the stable in top gear. In The Acomb The Lion In Winter beat decent types but the only G1 horse in the race did not fire .
One could also make a case for Delacroix to be on +1 if you take into consideration the last runs of Lambourn , Puppet Master and Wemightakedelongway . That should become more clear tomorrow .

Nobody loves Delacroix , "experts " knock him for being a "grinder " or knock him for showing a pretty good turn of foot off of a slow pace . His form holds up without fictional upgrades . Whirl is the latest to help his form . Take a good look for yourself . Delacroix is not a Sea Bird II or Galileo but he is a good horse .
Oh dear , The Dante result throws a spanner in the works . 5/2 Delacroix is too short as it would be wrong to have him favourite over the Guineas winner . The horse to take from The Dante is the Sandown winner , Swagman .
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