Fox Norton 0+
Douvan +2+
Special Tiara +4
Sir Valentino +6
Gods Own +7
Simply Ned +8
The top figure is risky of course but the conclusion to be drawn from our figures is that Douvan should be taken on.
What can we lose ?
Special Tiara and Gods Own could make it interesting even if the top one flops. Sir Valentino has been improving too. If his last piece of form was for real he would be further up the list. There is no way of telling if it was but 50/1 is tempting.