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Navarro cannot win -- sorry CJ!
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Yates should respond to Dan martin!
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Martin goes, that might put the nail in the coffin of the break. Roglic drops the rest of them.
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Not really, only Yates has an interest in Dan, I think.
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Landa on the front. Now it gets interesting.
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Roglic is a TT rider and they will not catch him on the descent, unless they combine together nicely.
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... and even then it'll be hard.
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Atapuma will not bridge solo to Roglic on the descent/flats, Roglic very hard rider in the TT discipline.
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Aru is dead here. If they work together they can end his podium ambitions.
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These are just burns though -- the descent/flats would allow Aru to rejoin Froome group, especially if he gets into a cooperative group.
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Aru can't descend. If he's not on the wheel of that leading group he's losing time here.
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Market says Roglic and I cannot fault the market -- very strong in the TT discipline and the chase group are not very string so even if they combine he should hold them off -- barring crash/mechanical.
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Yeah unless Roglic has a problem it's his stage now.
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Aru can descend well-enough and this isn't a rock-dropping descent and turns to power-descent flats riding by the conclusion -- Aru in no trouble in my view.
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Power descent will hurt Aru more than a technical if he's not in the wheel. Each time he gets dropped he's only with Meintjes who will have the same problem.
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Roglic looks fresh, considering, even if Atapuma makes it across prior to the descent he will not beat Roglic in a sprint, and may get dropped early on the descent.
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Whilst we have been talking his part of the group, anyway.
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This steep section approaching, is not long enough for Aru to suffer a great gap.
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Roglic, the former ski-jump junior world champ -- will he fly for home?
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Bertie caught by Froome group -- reached evens at one point!
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Okay, 18secs for Aru, I think he will rejoin, I take it you don't, CJ?
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If the GC group are pushing he won't get back on, if they are just sitting he'll get back.
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This bit is a bit technical, but it'll flatten right out later.
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Bardet pushing, I'll say he's got no chance of coming back.
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Fair enough.
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Top-tube riding from Roglic -- Froome style.
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Landa back on, so Aru might also get back. Think you maybe right there.
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If they are pedalling along a descent it is a power-descent. Sure there is also a lot of aero -- but look how it's flattening out here...
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Bardet supposed to be superior decender so why isnt he going flat out? Bizzarre
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Actually that's a lot of aero-tuck there from Roglic -- might need to put more work into my descents understanding.
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Padlock, Bardet like other top descenders are daredevil descenders, they require technical, steep descents where they drop like rocks.
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This is the section where they require combing, and they are combining, and the fact that Roglic is top-tubing and pedalling suggests the resistance is just not right.
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Now that Aru didn't make it across on the steeper section, I think he might not make it across now -- Frrome getting a lot of help.
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What SP said. On this sort of descent it's more TT ability that counts rather than descending, so Bardet might well be the worst out of this group.
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Good call CJ, Aru was in small trouble on the climb and he has turned it into a disater for the GC, Such a small error by not closing that 12secs on teh steep portion of the descent, has allowed the gap o open right up on this flatter sections and he is gone -- game over for Aru in the GC.
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Apologies for the spelling, am watching and typing!
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Actually, I understood this descent quite well, thank you very much -- this is flats riding as far as I'm concerned.
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You can quite easily see that a bigger group combing, and chasing a solo rider could do a fair amount of damage in these final 8, 5, now 4kms...
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Aru losing a minute here even though he's riding with Martin and Meintjes. Landa did so well to get back on as Aru was right behind him at one point.
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Yes, like you said on the climb, CJ.
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