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SA v ENG - 2nd Test - Cape Town

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Replies: 842
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 08 Jan 20 16:48
Yep I got £90 but was so convinced the pitch would pop I only covered the draw red and didn't build any contingency to lay off comedy green draw which at 90 was free money. Shoulda known better really.

The pitch did ease up somewhat. I really did think it would open up but didn't fully.

I am not a statto, maybe we need Tom to do some homework but there are certain points in a Test Match where a team comes back from on a regular basis, around 18-20. I am not saying they win from there but they usually get back down to 3's or so.

I also think sometimes you have a gut feeling either about the pitch, weather or light and it is worth on occasion worth a Hail Mary. The skill in that though is to back the play with some real beans. Trade some green and then hope for a bit of luck. Small amounts at high odds is really tinkering and then you tend to focus on the mathematics rather than the game situation.

I know when I win I am concentrating on the match. Primarily on the pitch, the ball, weather, time etc etc etc. When I lose I am usually looking at if I buy it for this I can sell it for that and reduce my losses. When that happens I tend to hold our further for a small profit then it all goes bandy!

So for me it is concentrate on the game build a good position and LEAVE IT ( that is my style of gambling on cricket ) but if you throw a Hail Mary with good grounds throw a decent amount at it. This may not be tennis but over 5 days there is a lot of ebb and flow.

I tend to do most of my gambling on days one and two. If I am throwing money after that I am usually losing or being greedy which are both stupid options. I know some of you are traders. The secret is know your style. Just like in cricket. Know what you do well and leave the wide ball on a length unless you have runs in the bank!
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 08 Jan 20 16:50
Yep I got £90

I got 90 on the draw I mean when it was trading in the 65-85 range. It just got taken for some reason. It went back down to 65 immediately after that.
By:
peckerdunne
When: 08 Jan 20 21:46
The secret is know your style. Just like in cricket. Know what you do well and leave the wide ball on a length unless you have runs in the bank!

true
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