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NZ v Bangladesh - 3rd Test Christchurch
NZ v Bangladesh - 3rd Test Christchurch
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Replies: 576
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That must be something knew coz
  I used them a lot and never heard of a transaction charge. Or maybe I never noticed. Lost enough money there to not bother about transaction charges |
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*smileys at the end of the post.
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updated for Tues/Wed and is still dire. Waiting for Sat/Sun/Mon updates
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I mentioned this before regarding access to green on betfair. I have often wanted to cut from a test match and leverage that on another event. Would be good for liquidity and Betfair get more pc, off course it might apply only to certain sports.Overall it's good for all imho.
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I got on the draw at 3.70 and 3.25 and layed some off at 2.30. The forecast is still exactly the same as last night, waiting for an update. Surely Bangladesh can hold out for 180 overs? Jucel, just to make your day, I see Neil Wagner has made it into the top 5 of test bowlers: https://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/cricket/111262770/birthday-boy-neil-wagner-rises-to-fifth-in-test-bowling-rankings
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forecast has been update. Wednesday in particular looking very much better.
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some serious jiggery pokery going on at metservice, biblical to fine to biblical to fine
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lack of liquidity is a killer
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the 3 and 5 day rain forecast look pretty good compared to the summary. Some fecker at the met is riding this like Seabiscuit
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look at that update
ffs |
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from armageddon to 350/400 overs in a few hours. BENT as fcuk
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this could go to double digits
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laying like a dog with two d1cks
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rain looks to be easing early afternoon on Saturday and then two full days and day 5 looks fine. Day 4 is not too bad either.
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rarely remember a change of forecast so drastic
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stabilised at 5s, I think it still has some legs
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the forecast can still change the other way round so need to be careful
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i havent made good use of these movements though. Like thie second test, all over the place. Currently 100 red.
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only thing ive done well is abck bangers up to 60 and 65
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The one error I have made is not laying as much as possible in the 2.2s yesterday. Was trying to hold on after greening too early and then reversing in the last game.
Laid as much as I could once I saw the revised. 6k green on match odds (cash out fig) and made 4 already on SB. They have started to limit though as they must think I'm arbing  |
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Could easily see 400 overs on this 'new' forecast. The complete opposite was possible this time yesterday.
Very iffy forecasting, these weather forecasters need to be audited personally! |
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New update has Sunday Monday a lot lot better. Big market move
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I haven't been able to find someone in christchurch, to hire for the test. Sadly.
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like you Juce, I did not lay enough off but got off plenty at 2.30 and up to 3.10 so still an ok position. I also layed some of the Bangladesh 27-29 and bought back at 60-65.
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deck will be under covers for two days, it's going to be another green goblin
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coming in again from 5 to 4 is the draw. Might be tempted to lay that if the next weather forecast is any better.
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I've been laying and having them taken easily 4.1/4.2/4.3/4.4
Saturday looks clear after about 12pm which could mean they play after lunch. |
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Looks short considering how horrendous Bangla have been in the first two games
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I've got 30k red now on the draw so hope it drifts before the next forecast is updated
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Unfortunately I still havent gotten over the mental barrier of being red on the draw. I take all kinds of risks but this is one that I just cant press the trigger on.
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Yes its the betting psychology at play, when one feels more comfortable with odds moving in his favor with each run after backing the draw. On the other hand, if you lay the draw, you have to deal with odds moving against you as well as wondering where and when the next wicket is going to come from. This can be too much for the mind, especially when you've done your nuts on something like that already, like you said.
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I find it much easier to back than lay in play.
The above msg applies to this. |
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It's the waiting that kills me, I can always imagine a huge p'ship
. Plus laying the draw nowadays is very expensive and more stressful imo |
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There seems to be a lot of rain forecast on Saturday morning right up until 12. What's the drainage like at Hagley?
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The outfield has been constructed in an inverted saucer profile. It is top dressed with sand and the drainage system consists of slit drains and lateral drains. This ensures water can move quickly away from the ground surface. The outfield is fully irrigated and covered in ryegrass.
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