Cricket
NZ v Bangladesh - 2nd Test Wellington
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Not sure what happened there. But its the same in financial markets in a way. But what do you do when "events" happen like I suggested and even big amounts get taken out?
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Like right now you could say back the draw at 1.52 because there is a huge backer at 1.54. BUt then at 5.02pm NZ time the forecast changes and all of a sudden the draw is worth 1.65. Your bid at 1.52 gets taken and now you are out by 13 ticks?
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Some intuition is at work telling me when the time is right and also that comes from watching/trading thousands of markets and viewing the trading software ladder......having read the book Thinking Fast & Slow I believe in intuition.
If it runs through you which does happen occasionally, you just got to swallow it......I've shut my trading software so dont know what is happening right now. |
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Can't get into this thread still but can other's w t f
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anyone seen the pitch yet?
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It will be next quarter's report.
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?
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Sorry, that joke was misssing the word "in".
Did you see Bang spike to 400 just now? Draw came in for a bit and went out again. Could be like this for hours. |
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I saw some fishy movements but sadly my 100 bucks back of bangers at 230 didn't get matched.
I have traded this like a clown and am down 300 bucks. |
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The Bangles price is crazy. I keep backing it.
Whoever wins the toss will bowl. Who knows what the pitch will be like but the likelihood is that overhead conditions will help swing. The team batting first could well get done for less than 150. At the prices, I know who I would rather back whilst keeping a green on the draw. |
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we do have quarterly reports but most companies have announced their HY to 31 Dec during February and I am catching up. THe radar is looking interesting. If that precipitation would bugger off we could almost get a full days play. If it hangs around who knows. I have to travel to wellington for tennis shortly, and at this stage I think our matches will be on.
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I am slightly concerned about the state of the outfield after heavy and consistent rain. Tyco, do you remember a test with similar amount of rain and how much time it took them to get back playing?
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Hi DT, I do not off hand. I do know in the memory banks that the Basin dry's very quickly, it has taken me by surprise at times. But like you said, a heck of a lot of rain has fallen, even another 15mm overnight so that is the unknown factor. But to be fair it was a lake yesterday morning at 10:30am and later at 2pm the lake was completely gone and only a few puddles remained. This while it was still raining the whole time, just a lot less intensly.
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BUt another big if... if a persistant puddle stays on the field, they will not go on and that is the unusual uncertainly factor with today's play.
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As is that cloud (the yellow one) that seems to be growing in-situ on the radar and Wellington with all the hills around can have a very micro climate and can do that to you. So its a big case of buyer beware today one feels.
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forecast just updated but nothing changed.
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It's one of those days where we could get a whole days play or no play whatsoever. It is very dark and grey and wet in the sky. Where I live the radar is showing no rain but I just went outside and there is some water falling from the sky and dark threatening clouds around. BUt that is 30 miles north of WEllington. Ok thats all from me, will see what has happened once I am back from tennis whenever that may be.
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Draw finally drifting
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How much is 0.2mm of rain?
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What changed to cause a 16 tick drift?
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Lord knows
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Its drifted from 1.53 to 1.9 now
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Icould only get 5 bucks on bangers at 200 :/
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and thankfully I had layed the draw by the time it started drifting, so I am about to be redless.
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You can see from this the field is sodden wet and some puddles
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D1KIr8KVsAExcjM.jpg:large |
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https://twitter.com/search?q=basin%20reserve&src=typd
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hoping for bangas to win toss and bowl on a green deck and make some early in roads
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That would probably be ideal as it would keep all three prices in check. If NZ bowl well first up, it will be NZ v draw.
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Time to focus on the T20, too dangerous trading this at moment.
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Bad light must also be an issue even if the rain abates.
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WildBay
@WildBayNZ 19m19 minutes ago I have turned up @BasinReserve expected to see underwater hockey but clearly not enough rain fell yesterday. |
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This guy is impressed with the state of the ground.
13mm fell in just two hours this morning around 6am |
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You see !! as I previously said it generally rains heavy in NZ for one day then clears quickly !! falling in love with an outcome leads to ruin !! fact !! Many folk have come and gone on this forum on that basis !!
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1.01 just hammered and beat in SA
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