May 25, 2018 -- 12:36PM, Whisperingdeath wrote:

Draw might be worth a punt on it's own with a view to laying it back if England bat well but it is a risky trade given Englands batting!

That's why you finance it with the Eng lay - if Eng bat long then both outcomes shorten, limiting the risk, or an Eng collapse leaves you no worse for wear but if weather comes into play then you are quids in.

And that is my theory, what it is.

May 25, 2018 -- 1:46PM, posy wrote:

Assuming England go into bat some 180 behind and reach say 30 without loss it wouldn't surprise me to see their price tank ...I shall try to discipline myself for this scenario before laying England again. Having said that I think 3.5 is currently a good lay although a collapse to around 2.2 could well be on the cards and worth waiting for.

Difficult one this, because England’s price has been short throughout, wildly so at times. When batting the market seemed to have little appreciation of the likelihood of a poor score and once that poor score had been achieved, it refused to accept how poor it was or how likely Pakistan’s batsmen were to bat well past it. And now that they have, it must be a flat deck England will get loads on second dig often enough to win still a fair chunk of the time.

For me it’s a massive lay right now and I’d hit it hard if I hadn’t got lays in for several thousand at various odds on prices. Yes there might be even lower prices later but you probably miss your chance too often otherwise, with Pak putting on a few more and / or the likely early wicket.

May 25, 2018 -- 5:36PM, detraveller wrote:

Juce, its sunny tomorrow. Do you see England batting well?

I'd like to think so , hopefully they will show a bit more grit and patience. Root's form is a massive worry & has been for a while. On the plus side Cook looks to be moving pretty well.
The last four are a concern as I can't see them adding many runs.