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New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton
New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton
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Replies: 2,994
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thats the price with all the bookies
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LadBrooks are 1.73
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I dont normally drink during the week but needs must .
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This might be Indian money, which doesn't pay that much attention to the weather.
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As the forecast stands now we would be lucky if we get 180 overs bowled. Result is a possibility given overcast conditions but some one has to mug really bad. Saying that NZ is more than capable of doing that. I would stick to what i said yesterday 1.9 if the play starts on time. First rain break 1.65
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steam
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1.9 if the play starts on time. First rain break 1.65
That sounds about right. |
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What happened
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Oh look - most of those big lays above 2.0 have mysteriously vanished - fancy that! Sub 2s by midnight?
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how can it be 1.9 draw if play starts on time when its 2.2 now with an improved forecast ??
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Its 2.32 now. So keen to see what the updated metservice forecast is going to be..
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well i have a huge red on the draw so i can virtually guarantee that it will be vastly improved, in fact i will be surprised if we get any rain at all
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Big bets above 2.0 reappeared again.
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Based on what you guys have been posting I have just made my 1st trade.........on at the draw at 2.30 most of you guys are not bull$hitters so I've done that.
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Welcome to the pre-match roller-coaster.
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Been following cricket markets for years now so I expect that drift to stop and head back down!
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Market finally woken up that NZ do not have Southee and Boult?
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theres going to be a flip flop soon
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Glad I got some lay of NZ in at 5 and 5.1 not half an hour ago
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Market finally realises Boult and Southee out....?? Thats what I think it is. Market can take time sometimes in these cases...
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makes sense. Without Boult and Southee... could argue that NZ will really struggle to bowl SA out twice. Might even struggle to get Cook out :P
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Just looked at the Betfair graph and noticed how a huge order at about 1.9 started the trend that ended with draw so short, guessing that was monday or tuesday! Tick Nicking on the draw could be fun for next 5 days!
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PTTT i didnt say it would be 1.9 i said for me that is a fair value based on the forecast. Anything above that i would be taking a dip like i am doing now
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Here comes the pressure!
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Where's this move finishing? I'm happy with my £5k result red for now so I'm holding out for 1.9 to take a chunk off.
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yr.no updated. Now wetter, but still not much on Sunday.
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Pxb still 180 overs is max that i see with the revised forecast
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I like to be a bit contraire so trying to lay SA at 2.54 for a little. Absolutely no reasoning behind it or using the word contraire.
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HI Steam.. do you really only see 2 days there? Wow if I were you I would be lumping on the draw down to 1.60!
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on yr.no I see Play all day Saturday, all day SUnday, Monday washout, play all day Tuesday and get 3-4 hours in on Wednesday. That is more than 90 overs in my book.
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Tyco just looking at yr and calculating based on that session on session. Try doing it youll struggle to reach 180, i am being generous lol. I dont complain high odds for draw now , i am just trusting the weather more than NZ
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That is where our interepretation differs and that exactly is why we bet lol with new forecast i dont see full days play on Sat. I was till couple of hours back but not now
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Pxb still 180 overs is max that i see with the revised forecast
I think more, but time to clear rain and dry outfield are hard things to predict. We will need close to 3 full days for a decent chance of a result (if NZ bat first?). Just 2 days play and a result is very unlikely. |
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Steam in my opinion .7mm of rain over a 6 hour period will not get them off the field.
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But thats fine, I am back on the draw so will see what happens. When metservice update for me that is crucial as will tomorrow morning in Hamilton.
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It is a fair point Tyco..I am not debating that I am just betting they would be off the field...may be bad light whatever...I don't see a full day's play on Sat for now..with the two forecasts available..metservice and yr
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What if that 7mm is from six hours of intermittent drizzle or "mizzle"? The light will be bad, the ball will get wet, the outfield will be slippery, the umps will Hokey-Cokey the players every few minutes....etc, etc.
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