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New Zealand V South Africa 3rd Test Hamilton

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By:

peckerdunne When: 22 Mar 17 23:07

I am just an innocent bystander, enquiring.

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 22 Mar 17 23:10

Mar 22, 2017 -- 10:52PM, peckerdunne wrote:

I don't care who does what in the market...Each man for himself...If though PXB is inclined to think 3 days play, why would he move it up from 1.7 to 2.1, not being able to back that amount back at the higher..or i misunderstand..

if you read the thread associated with the timings of the bid draw move you will realise what has happened in terms of the market moves, which in turn PXB contradicted himself in suggesting the forecast had improved then once the trade was done came out with the classic, as you posted, about a three day game The facts are the forecast has improved but changes every several hours every day, and no one really knows, just mere speculation. At this juncture i see roughly 4 days, but this will change again in seven hours and thereafter until match day when we all have real time data

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 22 Mar 17 23:11

lots to learn about trading in the past three hours

By:

tyco161 When: 22 Mar 17 23:14

met service just updated their site: http://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/hamilton#!/ten-day

Saturday looking better, should start on time. Wed looking good, Other 3 days bit iffy still.

By:

DAN1974 When: 22 Mar 17 23:14

met service has updated with a much better forecast

By:

pxb When: 22 Mar 17 23:14

NZ Met forecast for Saturday has improved, but draw has shortened. Go figure.

By:

jucel69 When: 22 Mar 17 23:17

Yeh the overall picture is much better. Feeling better now about cashing out over 24 hours ago at 1.8ish.
Just laid a load more now at 1.8s

By:

tyco161 When: 22 Mar 17 23:20

The rain forecast picture is also looking a lot better now for Sunday than it was earlier. Saturday should be good pretty much all day. If they start on time they can play through a shower here and there.

By:

jucel69 When: 22 Mar 17 23:24

As I noted a few days ago, this ain't going to be as green as the others but a dry spinning wicket. Very much like the first ODI that spun square.
Reverse swing aplenty too.
The way NZ batted in the last test, there is definitely a trade laying the draw now.

http://www.sport24.co.za/Cricket/Proteas/proteas-dismiss-pitch-talk-ahead-of-3rd-test-20170322

By:

peckerdunne When: 22 Mar 17 23:25

Double agents everywhere................

By:

peckerdunne When: 22 Mar 17 23:46

Certainly a fair bit better outlook now........

By:

pxb When: 22 Mar 17 23:56

On balance draw looks a bit short. I'll follow jucel's lead. Although doubtless for far less cash. :-)

By:

Fatslogger When: 23 Mar 17 00:04

I still think enough rain for draw to be a worthy favourite but it's a test in NZ so going in with draw red might not be ideal with prospect of early wickets. I'll look to lay my green off a bit more at 1.8, although getting some 1.75 earlier, not long after the spike to 2.2, was rather nice.

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 00:15

https://www.yr.no/place/New_Zealand/Waikato/Hamilton/long.html

If you follow this website then you get the best part of 4 days play

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 00:18

Not sure if Id be going on their analysis Jucel :) I had a look at that too. You would think Waikato is going to have a drought over the next week :P But yeah I am moving from my draw back earlier (2-4 days ago) into laying the draw (draw red) territory.

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 00:19

Mar 23, 2017 -- 12:18AM, tyco161 wrote:

Not sure if Id be going on their analysis Jucel :) I had a look at that too. You would think Waikato is going to have a drought over the next week :P But yeah I am moving from my draw back earlier (2-4 days ago) into laying the draw (draw red) territory.

I use the NZ metservice but interesting as a lot of people use their website.

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 00:26

I don't think a lot of ppl are using their website now as the draw keeps coming in :)

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 00:27

Mar 23, 2017 -- 12:26AM, tyco161 wrote:

I don't think a lot of ppl are using their website now as the draw keeps coming in :)

light trading as the UK goes to sleep

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 00:29

haha who knows. Might have to top up at 1.80, but concerned that that low could still hit badly on Sunday.

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 00:30

I would say evens or 6/5 on the draw is a fair reflection of the current weather forecast.

By:

pxb When: 23 Mar 17 00:31

yr.no has the benefit it's more precise than most forecasts. But as I have explained before, the more precise something is, the less accurate it is.

I'm all green for big amounts for me, and I'll make a move when I see the radar Saturday morning.

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 00:31

Mar 23, 2017 -- 12:29AM, tyco161 wrote:

haha who knows. Might have to top up at 1.80, but concerned that that low could still hit badly on Sunday.

If you look at the 3day rain forecast for NZ, Sunday doesn't look that bad. Obviously there is rain around but there looks to be breaks in it too.

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 00:35

I had a look at that Jucel and it still looks rough enough for Sunday. Not enough to say definitely that there will be play on Sunday. But granted there could be play and that is a lot better than 2 days ago.

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 04:07

Southee out & De Kock doubtful

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 04:35

Haha that would help the draw layers :) De kock gets scoring going and so does Southee or gets out fast :)

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 04:35

I mean draw backers... Southee and De Kock are conjucive to results.

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 06:38

Mar 23, 2017 -- 4:35AM, tyco161 wrote:

I mean draw backers... Southee and De Kock are conjucive to results.

Do you think NZ will prepare a 3 day pitch with the weather in mind?

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 06:41

No and I do not think they have time to anyway. Will just be the one that we have seen and maybe leave a tinge more grass on but no real shenanigans like the Indians.

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 06:43

haha our "one news" in their sport segment just said.. "but its expected to rain all 5 days of the test" then an reference to golf. What idiots.

By:

pxb When: 23 Mar 17 07:12

Looking at the 3 day model, we might get overs in on Sunday. Hard to say at this stage.

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 07:36

the 3 day model does look better than it did this morning. Still think Sunday looks dodgy the latter part especially and Monday may not be so bright either. But Sat, Tues and Wednesday looking a lot better now.

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 23 Mar 17 09:48

Mar 23, 2017 -- 12:31AM, pxb wrote:

yr.no has the benefit it's more precise than most forecasts. But as I have explained before, the more precise something is, the less accurate it is.I'm all green for big amounts for me, and I'll make a move when I see the radar Saturday morning.

me two

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 11:48

Draw on the move

By:

tyco161 When: 23 Mar 17 11:55

I saw that, got taken up to 2.06. But the forecast for Wednesday just got worse.... so not too sure what is going on there :)

By:

VardonVoo. When: 23 Mar 17 12:43

Does anyone know roughly when or how often the three-day forecast model gets updated?

By:

Fatslogger When: 23 Mar 17 12:46

Having a ball here: already very nicely placed but managed to get a few lays around 1.8 matched to go all green then another back at 2.

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 12:56

Saturday looks ok Sunday looks like a write off now. I'm out of my draw lay now. Laid at 1.83 and got rid at 1.9 to 1.93

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 23 Mar 17 12:57

Mar 23, 2017 -- 12:56PM, jucel69 wrote:

Saturday looks ok Sunday looks like a write off now. I'm out of my draw lay now. Laid at 1.83 and got rid at 1.9 to 1.93

where on earth are you reading sunday A WRITE OFF

By:

jucel69 When: 23 Mar 17 12:58

Mar 23, 2017 -- 12:57PM, PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH wrote:

Mar 23, 2017 -- 11:56AM, jucel69 wrote:Saturday looks ok Sunday looks like a write off now. I'm out of my draw lay now. Laid at 1.83 and got rid at 1.9 to 1.93where on earth are you reading sunday A WRITE OFF

http://www.metservice.com/maps-radar/rain-forecast/rain-forecast-3-day

By:

PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH When: 23 Mar 17 12:59

latest charts released about an hour ago had showed an improved picture all round hence the upward spike on the draw !!