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New Zealand v South Africa - 1st Test at Dunedin

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By:

peckerdunne When: 10 Mar 17 03:35

just laid some back at 2.5 for a healthy possie

what now

not sure, but keeping mostly all draw onside

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 03:38

sorry pxb was on saffers, all prices will bevolatile from now on
kiwi price could go north very quickly if openers get off to a good start
or go very short with wickets
very interesting passage of play now

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 03:41

what a start for kiwis

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 03:43

fkin moron didnt review it

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 10 Mar 17 03:45

I didn't think he hit that and there was no hotspot! Unbelieveable.

By:

pxb When: 10 Mar 17 03:56

I'm on SAF, with some green on the draw. SAF will need at least 150 lead to have a reasonable chance of avoiding a loss, with the forecast rain.

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:04

not sure how much time will be lost on sunday
it would have to be significant if saffers lead was only 200 ish

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 10 Mar 17 04:10

Kwality

Somebody on the draw has pressed the fire alarm!

Grant?

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:11

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:12

grants first post said that "no way is this a draw" or words to that effect

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:12

then later he posted a pic of a road

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:13

2.6 >2.3 in 4 mins

By:

Cardinal Scott When: 10 Mar 17 04:14

This off field incident has done no favours to Saffer backers!

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 10 Mar 17 04:14

bobby 1
10 Mar 17 04:12

grants first post said that "no way is this a draw" or words to that effect

That is as good as gospel that he is on the draw!

I will call for a Stewards if it is!

By:

tyco161 When: 10 Mar 17 04:14

Ground being evacuated... this is weird

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:14

isis in town

the nutters have lumped on the draw

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:15

2.6x now 2.24 in around 6 mins draw price

By:

Cardinal Scott When: 10 Mar 17 04:16

10 mins ago I layed Kiwi's at 2.6! :-)

By:

bobby 1 When: 10 Mar 17 04:17

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 10 Mar 17 04:17

Commentators gone too! So no news!

By:

pxb When: 10 Mar 17 04:18

I hope they don't void it.

By:

tyco161 When: 10 Mar 17 04:19

wow this is really surreal, no pictures and the comms on the radio have had to go too.... so everyone in the dark so to speak

By:

Cardinal Scott When: 10 Mar 17 04:20

Saffers were under severe pressure there, that is a massive stroke of luck for many of us. If Amla had gone there I was buried!

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 10 Mar 17 04:21

I knew the pitch was drying out but I didn't think the main stand was like a tiinder box!

Get on with it!

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 10 Mar 17 04:21

Agreed Cardinal. It also looks a little overcast!

By:

hitlerwinsagainlolol When: 10 Mar 17 04:23

Surly will complete 21 overs

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 10 Mar 17 04:23

Might have to get the news via Galle!

By:

Cardinal Scott When: 10 Mar 17 04:27

https://twitter.com/FirdoseM/status/840056311018471426

By:

tyco161 When: 10 Mar 17 04:33

stumps rescheduled for 6:20 and can play till 6:50. (if the light holds out off course....)

By:

peckerdunne When: 10 Mar 17 04:36

Someone farted

By:

Fatslogger When: 10 Mar 17 07:30

Manoevered myself pretty solidly on draw at prices in the 3s and didn't lay off until mid 2s plus kept a fair bit more than I had earlier so rather like my book now, although still vulnerable to a.Kiwi rampage.

By:

DAN1974 When: 10 Mar 17 07:33

that big chunk of rain looks like it could arrive tomorrow afternoon now, SA might only need to bat for 2 sessions to avoid defeat.

By:

Fatslogger When: 10 Mar 17 08:00

Mar 10, 2017 -- 7:33AM, DAN1974 wrote:

that big chunk of rain looks like it could arrive tomorrow afternoon now, SA might only need to bat for 2 sessions to avoid defeat.

Yes, although hard to call it precisely. If it's even close to correct it's very hard to see how SA wins this though: even with four more sessions played they'd pretty much have to collapse in two of them then bowl the Kiwis out in the other two.

By:

pxb When: 10 Mar 17 08:10

SAF need a Goldilocks score, which rarely happens.

By:

Fatslogger When: 10 Mar 17 08:41

Mar 10, 2017 -- 8:10AM, pxb wrote:

SAF need a Goldilocks score, which rarely happens.

Yep, that's the correct concept here, with the particular disadvantage that we don't even know what that score should be because it depends on the rain.

By:

DAN1974 When: 10 Mar 17 09:08

So are we saying that a NZ win is more likely than a SAF win if the forecast is right.?

By:

pxb When: 10 Mar 17 09:40

Yep

By:

nigel no idea When: 10 Mar 17 11:22

1.88 great value for the draw considering sunday high chance of being no play

By:

nigel no idea When: 10 Mar 17 11:22

1.88 great value for the draw considering sunday high chance of being no play

By:

Fatslogger When: 10 Mar 17 12:41

Mar 10, 2017 -- 9:08AM, DAN1974 wrote:

So are we saying that a NZ win is more likely than a SAF win if the forecast is right.?

Much, much more likely, I would say. If there's a lot of rain the game is probably a draw but NZ could still win by wrecking th SA second innings, whereas SA only gets the chance to bowl NZ out in a hurry if they're all out themselves for an inadequately total. It's possible, but it's a very narrow landing strip. Course that does assume a lot of rain but even postulating little to no time lost, it's hardly trivial for SA to win as there would still be somewhat of an issue around either batting too long and running out of time or being bowed out cheaply leaving too easy a chase.

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