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England v Australia at Lord's, 2nd Investec Test

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Replies: 889
By:
Injera
When: 18 Jul 15 17:52
Napolean complex

Laugh

He is surprisingly short.
By:
johnnythebull
When: 18 Jul 15 18:01
u can't do anything about ur height but lack of it and having to cope with continual jibes et al will make u steelier and forge u in the fire of adversity(and no doubt make u a bit of a **** in the process)Grin
By:
BJT
When: 18 Jul 15 18:03
CoolCool
By:
Rider
When: 18 Jul 15 18:10
and no doubt make u a bit of a **** in the process


? he's taller than tendulkar
By:
dibdob
When: 18 Jul 15 18:14
I'd say he's several inchs taller the tendulkar. But in India you don't get the piss taken out of you for being short. It's all about the caste system there
By:
Injera
When: 18 Jul 15 18:14
Can anyone explain why England aren't 80+???
By:
BJT
When: 18 Jul 15 18:16
Supply/demand?
By:
dibdob
When: 18 Jul 15 18:17
I'd guess because there is a chance the aus team will want to give England a sniff at victory and give them something to chase at. Doubt they'll go with this ploy but if one of these 2 teams were going to it would be Aus.
By:
Injera
When: 18 Jul 15 18:18
Ignorance?
By:
dibdob
When: 18 Jul 15 18:20
Warner to unleash now that he's had some time at the crease maybe?
By:
BJT
When: 18 Jul 15 18:20
Basically, the tale is already set.  England chasing 550-600 or so in 5 sessions.  Market sees them as 30-1 to chase that.
The next 200 runs, and how it comes about, is borderline irrelevant.
By:
Rider
When: 18 Jul 15 18:21
when clarke declared in the second test vs west indies the odds for the west indies went from 100+ to 20, hth answer your question injera
By:
Injera
When: 18 Jul 15 18:28
Yes, there's often panic in the 4th innings market.

Guess I'm talking about a fixed odd bet. England will be asked to chase 500+ and are currently 30s.

I find that truly staggering.

(Ps I'm maxed out on a lay)
By:
treble
When: 18 Jul 15 18:29
That bird must have wanted the ground to swallow her up.
By:
johnnythebull
When: 18 Jul 15 18:32
oz knocked those off no trouble
don't get all this negativity about eng
they just have to replicate that 5 times and job's a goodunWink
By:
mafeking
When: 18 Jul 15 18:36
very few batsmen have the patience to bat long periods these days. england struggle to bat 100 overs let alone getting on for 150

doesn't help either when it's about 1/4 they'll be 50 for 3 or worse on recent form
By:
trader pj
When: 18 Jul 15 19:30
rain what rain imo!
By:
sonofshinner
When: 18 Jul 15 21:27
lay/back england cannit go wrong.
By:
pxb
When: 18 Jul 15 22:16
Looks like a declaration just after lunch and a chase of 525ish. But as no team has scored more than 451 runs 4th inn in modern times, Clarke might get funky and declare before lunch.

On the face of it, a slamdunk Aus win. Eng might make a fist of it for a while, but even a draw seems a very remote possibility.

I'm maxed out on Oz.
By:
posy
When: 18 Jul 15 22:18
Don't ask me how i've got there but have a sodding great negative on England and more or less zero on draw and Oz. Should I cash out for a minor loss or end up no win no loss that is the question ??
By:
sonofshinner
When: 18 Jul 15 23:49
how can england win from this position...if oz declared overnight..they still wouldnt win...stick another 200 runs on..nigh on impossible...no botham job this.
By:
BJT
When: 19 Jul 15 04:14

Jul 18, 2015 -- 10:18PM, posy wrote:


Don't ask me how i've got there but have a sodding great negative on England and more or less zero on draw and Oz. Should I cash out for a minor loss or end up no win no loss that is the question ??


Would think we are ~1 session from a declaration.  Can't imagine with 5 sessions the draw price will be under 10.00, weather permitting.  Would think if you wish to red out, you will get a better position to do so after a couple of hours.

IMO

By:
jucel69
When: 19 Jul 15 04:43
BJT, if the draw price is at 10 when England start batting, then that would mean Aus would be about 1.15 & England 30's. Can't see Aus being that short with all the English backers on BF
By:
BJT
When: 19 Jul 15 05:09
Why would the draw price only affect Aus price?

I would say closer to 1.20 Aus, 15 England, 10 draw.
By:
jucel69
When: 19 Jul 15 05:21
All depends on how many Aus set England. How many do you think Clarke will want?
By:
BJT
When: 19 Jul 15 06:05
I don't think at this point it is the runs, I think it is the time.  They declare either this side of lunch or just after.  My gut feel is about 5 overs after lunch.

Gives them about 30 overs to have a swing.  Play in for a few overs, then start opening the arms a little.  Nothing too stupid will happen, just try for 5-5.5 an over or so.  Gives them 500-525 lead.

Well chaseable timewise, and plenty of time to get them out.

Of course if batting is extremely easy, then they will declare a little later.  If they feel the pitch isn't likely to give a result, then keeping England out in the field will only help in future games.

But that is my feel.  England ~5 sessions to chase ~515.

All 3 results well in play, with England getting the runs the most unlikely.
By:
BJT
When: 19 Jul 15 06:07
Of course, England could skittle them cheaply.  Unlikely, but if that happens, it further throws the draw out, and probably strengthens Australias chances in reality.
By:
JustWinBaby
When: 19 Jul 15 06:14
Entire England team doing the rain dance in the middle of Lords. Clarke will make them bat at least 5 and a half sessions. Might be more depending on if Warner stays in for the first hour.
By:
BJT
When: 19 Jul 15 06:20
I think from the moment England lose a toss against Australia they start doing a rain dance, in every match don't they?
By:
sonofshinner
When: 19 Jul 15 07:50
hosts still coming in...do they know something we dont..
By:
tonyf
When: 19 Jul 15 09:16
Early declaration before lunch would see England drop to 10
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 19 Jul 15 09:26
A Joe Root 100 masterclass and an Alastair Cook stay at the crease for 5 hours and score 1.4 an over wouldn't see England at 10.
By:
JustWinBaby
When: 19 Jul 15 09:29
Sorry meant to say 4 1/2 sessions in my post above Blush
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 19 Jul 15 09:45
SL v Pak 3rd ODI starts in 15 minutes. Pak won the toss and bat, betfair still have Pak innings runs suspended.
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 19 Jul 15 09:47
If you flick through the markets on that match practically all of them have gbp 0 matched on them bar match odds. Similar to the Ind v Zim T20 match starting today.
By:
cricketnut2
When: 19 Jul 15 10:06
All I know, that the rain forecast between 7.00am and 10.00am, actually arrived between 4.00am and 7.00am, so another full days play today. The odds, should be something like this, Australia 1.1 Draw 11, England 800. The odds are probably like they are because, perhaps they are expecting Australia to declare with a lead of 450 and say to England your not going to get the runs and we are going to give you plenty of time to get them in. A bit of cockyness, just to say, we are confident we can bowl you out whenever.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 19 Jul 15 10:09
yeah, just moving in as no rain now expected.  Took a bit of draw in case Aussies bat on and ENG start well
By:
pxb
When: 19 Jul 15 10:10
Agree with cn2.

Except could be some misty drizzle Monday, but more likely ideal bowling conditions.

Still, I've traded down my Eng and Draw reds a bit.
By:
jucel69
When: 19 Jul 15 10:29
In survival mode next few days as I'm trying to get back in profit somehow! Those 4 quick wickets on Friday evening when my internet went down have put me in a precarious position.
By:
pxb
When: 19 Jul 15 10:43
I hope precarious bank-wise.
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