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NZ v England 2nd Test. Wellington March 14-18

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Replies: 516
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 10:01
No, I reckon they'll be lucky to get another 30 overs in:

http://www.yr.no/place/New_Zealand/Wellington/Wellington/hour_by_hour.html
By:
ecdub2
When: 16 Mar 13 10:36
has the movement on the draw gone from 1.4 to 1.8 since the close of play?
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 10:41

Mar 16, 2013 -- 10:36AM, ecdub2 wrote:


has the movement on the draw gone from 1.4 to 1.8 since the close of play?


looks like it.  Menthol.

By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 10:47
http://metservice.com/maps-radar/rain-forecast/rain-forecast-3-day

i'm massive on the draw. Never normally bet on the draw, but look at this map and u will want to lay!
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 10:54

Mar 16, 2013 -- 10:47AM, jucel69 wrote:


http://metservice.com/maps-radar/rain-forecast/rain-forecast-3-dayi'm massive on the draw. Never normally bet on the draw, but look at this map and u will want to lay!


what, lay the draw??

By:
Footiefan111
When: 16 Mar 13 10:56
what you talking about juce
By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 10:57
no lay England & back the draw massively. Sorry about that. Not very clear!
By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 10:58
this could be a biblical win for those who know what they are doing. I'm hoping to win a lot on this bet!
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 10:58

Mar 16, 2013 -- 10:57AM, jucel69 wrote:


no lay England & back the draw massively. Sorry about that. Not very clear!


phew!  thought you'd gone mad.  Agree with you completely.  Always on the cards this. yr.no is a great forecaster

By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 11:00
a lot of people listen to the commentators about weather. They will tell you jack **** because if they say its going to piss down for 2 days, then you are not going to watch!
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 11:01

Mar 16, 2013 -- 11:00AM, jucel69 wrote:


a lot of people listen to the commentators about weather. They will tell you jack **** because if they say its going to piss down for 2 days, then you are not going to watch!


dead right.  In fact they always underplay it.

By:
Footiefan111
When: 16 Mar 13 11:03
draw odds have drifted 0n 365 site now 8/13
By:
ecdub2
When: 16 Mar 13 11:05
bbc forecast for wellington says no rain sunday but the map seems to be pretty blue!


http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2179537
By:
ecdub2
When: 16 Mar 13 11:09
this is all a bit strange. a movement from 1.4 to 1.8  since 4am or so would suggest some serious information suggesting the weather factor has become much less of an issue!
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 11:10

Mar 16, 2013 -- 11:09AM, ecdub2 wrote:


this is all a bit strange. a movement from 1.4 to 1.8

By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 11:11
i would not trust the bbc weather forecast for overseas. look at met office nz & you can watch the forecast for wellington + radars etc
By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 11:12
remember there are a lot of lazy betters who don't analyse things properly. I believe there will be no play, but even if there were 60 overs, they would still do well to get 9 wickets with gale force winds!!
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 11:14

Mar 16, 2013 -- 11:12AM, jucel69 wrote:


remember there are a lot of lazy betters who don't analyse things properly. I believe there will be no play, but even if there were 60 overs, they would still do well to get 9 wickets with gale force winds!!


yep.

By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 11:17
wait until about 4am nz time when it starts raining and people will be wetting themselves trying to get out of positions!
By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 11:20
also had a massive lay of the draw in Ind v Aus yesterday, when the draw was 1.2 after one session!! just covered my position and looking forward to an indian win to make a big profit.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 11:40

Mar 16, 2013 -- 11:17AM, jucel69 wrote:


wait until about 4am nz time when it starts raining and people will be wetting themselves trying to get out of positions!


definitely - I'm with you.  same happened in the IND vs AUS test.

By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 11:42

Mar 16, 2013 -- 11:20AM, jucel69 wrote:


also had a massive lay of the draw in Ind v Aus yesterday, when the draw was 1.2 after one session!! just covered my position and looking forward to an indian win to make a big profit.


Problem there is that pitch looks so benign - I doubt the aussies will collapse.

By:
jucel69
When: 16 Mar 13 11:45
this pitch will definitely turn on day 5 & reverse. It turned quite a bit for the Indians day 1/2. The Aussies will have to bat all day on day 5 just to survive and the team is full of stroke players apart from Cowan.
By:
Footiefan111
When: 16 Mar 13 11:53
mitchell starc scored 99 this pitch is flat i cant see positive result
By:
trader pj
When: 16 Mar 13 13:33
Rain radar looks awful for Engl backers
By:
ecdub2
When: 16 Mar 13 14:14
the market suggests they are not panicking yet!
By:
aljohnson
When: 16 Mar 13 14:33
Got to agree radar looks bad. Looks like people are waiting to make sure its going to hit Wellington
By:
nigel no idea
When: 16 Mar 13 14:44
their are people who live and hope when they c the rain its to late. the day may prove me wrong but their was plenty of exit points day 3 where the wise got out of draw red.
By:
bfc
When: 16 Mar 13 14:50
1.7 draw v.generous given the forecast and that NZ have 9 wickets in hand...
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 16:47
I'm almost ready to call this GSM.
By:
Lix
When: 16 Mar 13 16:49
please dont! there's two days left!  should be a draw if we lose 3 sessions which looks likely at the mo
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 16:50

Mar 16, 2013 -- 4:49PM, Lix wrote:


please dont! there's two days left!

By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 16:52
Very much doubt we play more than 30 overs today.  Monday probably none.  Eng should be 5/1 at least IMHO.
By:
Lix
When: 16 Mar 13 16:59
i hope you're right. been backing the draw all game. would like to green up sub 1.3 really. eng more than capable
of running thru this kiwi team in 60 overs under grey skies
By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 17:02

Mar 16, 2013 -- 4:59PM, Lix wrote:


i hope you're right. been backing the draw all game. would like to green up sub 1.3 really. eng more than capableof running thru this kiwi team in 60 overs under grey skies


Agreed.  My only concern is somehow they sneak in 60 overs and indeed ENG could snatch it.  Weather just looks too bad.  Any idea on drainage here?

By:
nigelpm1
When: 16 Mar 13 17:03
http://www.metservice.com/maps-radar/rain-radar/all-new-zealand

will be useful
By:
scouceman
When: 16 Mar 13 17:07
I think i heard that it has recently had new drainage installed but because it has been
so dry out there no real chance to see how good it is.

Historically it was always pretty poor though.

If it does stop raining let us not forget the light though - looked dark yesterday with no rain clouds....
By:
Footiefan111
When: 16 Mar 13 17:29
anyone have a live webcam of wellington
By:
newco-Joe67
When: 16 Mar 13 18:17
Rain is a good thing for England backers as long as it comes in light showers as the forecast everywhere now is agreed. It will help the bowlers topple the wickets down in quick succession once they get rid of the top order first of course. They will have to do it all today though. I'm hopeful at least. Have they got the fight in them though ?
By:
Ratkin
When: 16 Mar 13 18:18
Rain heading right at wellington eta 2 or 3 hour time.  Market will implode

http://www.metservice.com/maps-radar/rain-radar/wellington
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