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Asparagus Man
20 Jun 12 08:58
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Date Joined: 16 Dec 03
| Topic/replies: 3,011 | Blogger: Asparagus Man's blog
Starts on Friday morning.

Current
SL 4.6
Pak 6.4
Draw 1.53 Shocked

Wish I hadn't laid the draw at 1.9 yesterday Sad Presuming the bad weather in the one day series is striking fear in the market - anyone actually in Galle?

Don't think Pakistan should be the dogs here - even with Misbah suspended for being a bad over-rate boy. Their recent test record is far superior to Lanka. Punters still thinking Murali will be playing?

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Replies: 130
By:
drever
When: 20 Jun 12 10:09
i have no idea of the weather in Galle-but this draw price reminds me of the third test v the Windies in dec 2010 at Pallekelle, it rained so much that not one innings was completed and anyone laying the draw watched their money drip away with the rain.
so tempting to lay the draw @ 1.5ish but no play for me at present with the above in mind.
By:
drever
When: 20 Jun 12 10:17
just seen draw gone back over 1.6 still not getting involved without accurate weather info
By:
Asparagus Man
When: 20 Jun 12 12:47
Draw drifted a bit, and SL coming in.

Been picking up some Pakistan at 6.6 and 6.8 this morning - can't be having the better team at that price at a result venue.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 20 Jun 12 23:06
Looks like a good chance of two days being wiped out : http://www.yr.no/place/Sri_Lanka/Southern/Galle/
By:
nigelpm1
When: 20 Jun 12 23:09
make that first three.  Draw actually looks value here.
By:
Lix
When: 21 Jun 12 09:50
Same FC every game at Galle... not many draws here and the Draw Backers best mate Misbah is out.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 21 Jun 12 10:44
So what happens lix every game?  They play in the rain/it dries quick/weather forecast is always wrong.  surely if this is the case you are heavily laying the draw here?

From the weather forecast I can see they'll be lucky to get 90 overs in total in.
By:
dougydougy.
When: 21 Jun 12 11:01
It rains every day at galle, showers sweep in off the sea, the point is sometimes it might rain in the morning some times in the afternoon, but mostly in the evening.

The pitch itself is a result orientated deck that should suit Pakistans spinners down to the ground 6.X seems madness given paks recent dominance in this form of the game.

The only worry I would have is that this is an unusual time to be playing tst cricket in SL so the weatehr might be slightly less predictable than it normally is here (that's to say, it's mormally completely unpredictable Grin)

GL all
By:
nigelpm1
When: 21 Jun 12 11:07
ah, cheers for that.  This does appear different though in that it's likely to rain most of the time and it's not just showers.  Could be a good learning experience this Test - only a small backing of the draw so far
By:
dougydougy.
When: 21 Jun 12 11:16
That's fair enough, i've left alone so far, would have layed the 1.5X if i'd seen it when it got that short. And very tempted by the 6.X on pakistan, will probably have a small bit of that. But like i said bellow time of the year is different to a usual SL test series so the weather may be different than the norm.
By:
Lix
When: 21 Jun 12 11:16
didnt rain at all in March dougy.  This is the rainy season now though Sad
By:
dougydougy.
When: 21 Jun 12 11:18
what do you think about the difference in the sl and pak price lix, looks out to me given the pak bowling attack.
By:
Lix
When: 21 Jun 12 11:26
Pak huge aint they. Misbah missing is a huge negative for draw backers here which I really dont think has been factored in properly.

The test series between these two in SL a few years ago was littered with collapses and big prices copping including a 24.0+ Draw win. The SL-Aus game here was pretty much done in 3 days.
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 21 Jun 12 11:40
The pitch was so dry in that game lix that day1 was like a 5th day wicket.
By:
Alex Mack
When: 21 Jun 12 13:24
big movement on the draw price last hour or so wish i had got a lay in when it was around the 1.55 mark!!
By:
nigelpm1
When: 21 Jun 12 13:42
yeah, not sure why.  Nothing has changed forecast wise.  tempted to back again - just holding fire for now though - market overreactions are quite common
By:
nigelpm1
When: 21 Jun 12 13:47
of course i take on board the points raised by the guys earlier - will be interesting to see hoe much play we get tomorrow - by the forecasts now though it looks like none.
By:
Asparagus Man
When: 21 Jun 12 14:21
Draw about to hit evens
By:
nigelpm1
When: 21 Jun 12 14:27
very odd.  will be interesting to watch this
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Jun 12 15:11
agree about Pakistan

but maybe get double digits with a couple of wickets or 50/0 for SL
By:
Lix
When: 21 Jun 12 15:55
lol someone's just stuck a rocket under the draw price Grin
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Jun 12 16:01
Im always wary of Galle

lost a bucket there a couple of times

Cry
By:
kingmax
When: 22 Jun 12 08:02
wow look at all the rain.. NOT
By:
dougydougy.
When: 22 Jun 12 08:11
Laugh
By:
kingmax
When: 22 Jun 12 08:36
looks like some of the guys here need to invest in new weather equipment..
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Jun 12 08:50
d13phe
21 Jun 12 15:11 Joined: 18 Jul 03 | Topic/replies: 16,434 | Blogger: d13phe's blog
agree about Pakistan

but maybe get double digits with a couple of wickets or 50/0 for SL

p1ssing down in the North West Laugh

anyway, got my 11s on Pakistan so happy with that
By:
nigelpm1
When: 22 Jun 12 09:14
yeah, the anticipated rains haven't come.  Expected at 5pm though and all day sat/sun/mon - remains to be seen how much disruption they will cause.
By:
Lix
When: 22 Jun 12 09:30
How low can SL go before Pak bat?

I'm not sure but I'm laying em now at 2.24. will have some
Pak at juicy odds too as collapses are never far away when these two meet.
By:
fairfranco
When: 22 Jun 12 10:12
Dilshan gone.

big break through for Pakistan.

if they can get another one soon they could easily get them out 350 or less with a good old Lankan collapse.
By:
Taxed2Death
When: 22 Jun 12 10:21
Seems like only one person anticipated rains on here!
By:
fairfranco
When: 22 Jun 12 10:51
nothing like a good 13 run over to save your bacon after making a bet on the overs run line (At 65 overs) just before a wicket falls!

go Jaya lad!
By:
nigelpm1
When: 22 Jun 12 10:51
Taxed - was also predicted by most forecasts/media
By:
nicky27
When: 22 Jun 12 10:56
the forecasts always predict rain at galle , and it rarely rains as much as is predicted ...we've seen it all before at this ground
By:
nicky27
When: 22 Jun 12 10:56
makes the draw lay more profitable thoughWink
By:
TheJudgeInWaiting
When: 22 Jun 12 11:00
any links ?
thnanks
By:
nicky27
When: 22 Jun 12 11:27
www.lankacricket.tv

or try

www.extracover.net

click on the crosses on the corner of the ads and
wait for the advert in the centre to close...job done
By:
nigelpm1
When: 22 Jun 12 11:45
zee cafe have it as well
By:
nigelpm1
When: 22 Jun 12 11:47
at what point would SL declare?  Any thoughts on this based on past history etc..  It seems their best chance of winning given there is likely to be be some disruption to play (albeit not as much as first thought) unless PAK collapse twice or follow on
By:
Taxed2Death
When: 22 Jun 12 12:17
Surely there wont be time to declare if there is going to be 3 days lost as stated in your previous post/ramp?
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