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Have Sweden flattened the curve without trashing the economy?

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Replies: 680
By:
Injera
When: 25 Apr 20 13:18
Sweden are following usual health guidance practice to tackle this.

Weigh up who’s most at risk. Advise maximum caution.
Those at risk. Take precautions.
Those least at risk. Proceed as normal with care.

It’s the sensible approach. One size fits all is pig ignorant. Just because it’s ill advised for a 20 stone 5ft 6 man to climb Everest, doesn’t mean others can’t try...
By:
eyeball
When: 25 Apr 20 13:22
edy , It doesn't matter if you are infected and all you get are sniffles for a couple of days . We suffer from viruses throughout the world . Mostly during the winter season in the norther hemisphere . 30% of colds are coronavirus but all viruses have different levels of infection and death . The most at risk groups suffer from vitamin D deficiency . The more I research the more certain I become . Jenny Harries almost let the cat out of the bag revealing that BAME suffer at higher rates of hypertension . A symptom of D deficiency . Whether they know and are not revealing the fact that it has preventative properties , I would not know . Nobody knows what goes on in the SAGE meetings . We are treated like idiots and react like sheep. We are under CONTROL .
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 25 Apr 20 13:24
Pretty sure I read that Sweden's economy is going to be trashed anyway.  Pretty worrying for the rest of Europe that as lockdown is being relaxed, the economy will still be sinking much further.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 25 Apr 20 13:29
50% of Sweden's death figures are from care homes.

Most lock down countries (US, UK, Spain etc) do not use these in the numbers we see.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 25 Apr 20 13:50
'Earlier this month, Swedish epideomiologist Johan Giesecke claimed that the UK was wrong to implement its lockdown measures, and singled out Professor Neil Ferguson’s Imperial study for being too pessimistic in its worst-case prediction of 500,000 corona deaths. Describing it as “not very good”, Giesecke was surprised it had such an impact on policymakers.

Today we hear from the other side, as Freddie Sayers speaks to Prof Ferguson to get his response to the Swedish critique.'


Live at 2pm UK time....

Lets see how he defends the 500,000 number, the 0.9% number, lockdown and all the rest of it....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q09Ov-g1yYM
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 14:00
Sweden must be compared with it's nordic cousins not UK /France

different demographics, different mentality ... fairly risk averse (sensible) ,different healthcare not to mention more healthy citizens than FrUk ,low numbers in households, low immigration outside of that sh1thouse Malmo .

they haven't included care home deaths  whicjh make up 50%  ...so halve the numbers and  you will see it's a lot lower than Benelux and FrUK
By:
lurka
When: 25 Apr 20 14:31
The care home deaths are tragic and a f up everywhere, but they have little to do with locking down or not. Sweden banned all visitors to nursing homes some time ago and still got a big outbreak just like countries who did lock down.

It's probably smarter to deduct all care home deaths everywhere when comparing the relative success of different approaches as they are not really a result of any particular approach. And in Sweden's case you always have to bear in mind that they didn't lock down and people have much more freedom with economic activity ongoing, as well as all the differences they had in their society before the virus.
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:05
Sweden health care system is tip top too they tell me as they invest a lot of tax into that system ....so ability to cope was always easier for them
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 25 Apr 20 16:13
Hospital beds per 1000 people...

Sweden 2.22
UK 2.54
Japan 13.05
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:38
inside trader ,  that is what  i expected  ...Sweden one of the highest in Europe  (weighted)
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:39
Japan impressive ...why so many beds there ?   fish poisoning ?
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:40
you must understand with beds is that you will only have the level a hospital requires for its population so super healthy countries will have a much lower bed level than sickly rich nations  such as Scotland for example
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 25 Apr 20 16:41
Weighted?

No that is per 1000 people.

Germany is 8.
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:41
or should have *    otherwise you WILL  have problems Plain
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:42
Insider...you misunderstand
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:45
health weighted 

so whats with all the beds in Japan ?
By:
darren_discombobulates_sports
When: 25 Apr 20 16:47
there's 126 million people in Japan, frequent natural disasters
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:48
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_hospital_beds

plenty in Russia and the czhzeczkz republic ,not many in Iceland ...



not really telling us much at all really
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:48
yes darren ,possible theory
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:50
countries such as Iceland ,Denmark and Sweden tend to be the healthiest on earth unless i've been fed bullsh1t Grin  ...and they have a low bed rate
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 16:50
i've got beds in my house and i'm never ill
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 25 Apr 20 16:59
"countries such as Iceland ,Denmark and Sweden tend to be the healthiest on earth unless i've been fed bullsh1t Grin  ...and they have a low bed rate"

They have a seafood diet rather than a see food diet
By:
Injera
When: 25 Apr 20 17:03
Fairer skin..pardon?!
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 17:04
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_health_expenditure_per_capita

looking at the most recent 2016 , Switzerland probably gets the gold medal  as you'd expect form such a  rich country  ... Nordics coming up on the rails


yes true clydebank
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 25 Apr 20 17:04
https://obesity.procon.org/global-obesity-levels/

Going off on a tangent here but there are 3 body types, pacific islanders have endomorphic bodies, so they are bigger boned and heavier naturally, why they are so good at rugby.  So it's a little unfair.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 25 Apr 20 17:18
Also worth noting how low obesity is in Japan, China and South Korea.  That will be a contributing factor in the muber of deaths.  As it will in the UK, the 2nd fattest country in Europe.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 25 Apr 20 17:20
Who is number 1?
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 25 Apr 20 17:23
Turkey, though there COVID-19 figures will be a sham.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 25 Apr 20 17:26
Actually we are the third highest.  Didn't spot Malta in the list
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 18:15
Malta a small sample though  ...  i'm still going with UK Grin
By:
Coachbuster
When: 25 Apr 20 18:16
i guess we're closer to USA  rather than European  ..certainly at meal times
By:
Des Pond
When: 26 Apr 20 14:55
Only 2 new deaths today for Sweden. Good news. Worth noting that they usually post low numbers on a Sunday and that Norway post single figures nearly every day, but still. A lot more encouraging. Hope it marks a downward trend.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 27 Apr 20 15:31
Death in Sweden peaked on 15th April when you look at the real data from their government of when the deaths actual happened as to opposed to when they were reported on worldometer etc.

How does Neil Ferguson and his mates explain this?

Antal avlidna per dag (deceased per day)

11/03/2020    1
12/03/2020    0
13/03/2020    1
14/03/2020    1
15/03/2020    2
16/03/2020    2
17/03/2020    1
18/03/2020    6
19/03/2020    7
20/03/2020    9
21/03/2020    8
22/03/2020    12
23/03/2020    11
24/03/2020    20
25/03/2020    23
26/03/2020    31
27/03/2020    32
28/03/2020    35
29/03/2020    39
30/03/2020    43
31/03/2020    47
01/04/2020    53
02/04/2020    69
03/04/2020    78
04/04/2020    72
05/04/2020    86
06/04/2020    91
07/04/2020    83
08/04/2020    110
09/04/2020    84
10/04/2020    89
11/04/2020    100
12/04/2020    97
13/04/2020    84
14/04/2020    90
15/04/2020    109
16/04/2020    108
17/04/2020    74
18/04/2020    74
19/04/2020    77
20/04/2020    72
21/04/2020    48
22/04/2020    51
23/04/2020    47
24/04/2020    30
25/04/2020    21
26/04/2020    23
27/04/2020    2
Uppgift saknas (unknown date) 21

Would be great if Angoose could chart this as will take weeks for mods to allow me to.

https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/smittskydd-beredskap/utbrott/aktuella-utbrott/covid-19/bekraftade-fall-i-sverige/
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 27 Apr 20 15:35
Åldersgrupp    Total Number of deceased
Ålder_0_9    0
Ålder_10_19    0
Ålder_20_29    5
Ålder_30_39    8
Ålder_40_49    25
Ålder_50_59    78
Ålder_60_69    180
Ålder_70_79    526
Ålder_80_89    906
Ålder_90_plus    546


13 deaths under 40.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 May 20 16:11
even whack job no2 a.k.a don trump is spinning against sweden....Laugh
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 03 May 20 18:07
Swedens numbers of deaths per day have just dropped off since April 8th

11/03/2020    1
12/03/2020    0
13/03/2020    1
14/03/2020    1
15/03/2020    2
16/03/2020    2
17/03/2020    1
18/03/2020    6
19/03/2020    7
20/03/2020    9
21/03/2020    8
22/03/2020    12
23/03/2020    11
24/03/2020    21
25/03/2020    22
26/03/2020    31
27/03/2020    32
28/03/2020    35
29/03/2020    38
30/03/2020    44
31/03/2020    49
01/04/2020    53
02/04/2020    70
03/04/2020    78
04/04/2020    73
05/04/2020    86
06/04/2020    90
07/04/2020    84
08/04/2020    114
09/04/2020    86
10/04/2020    90
11/04/2020    101
12/04/2020    98
13/04/2020    85
14/04/2020    91
15/04/2020    112
16/04/2020    109
17/04/2020    79
18/04/2020    87
19/04/2020    87
20/04/2020    83
21/04/2020    63
22/04/2020    71
23/04/2020    76
24/04/2020    76
25/04/2020    56
26/04/2020    60
27/04/2020    54
28/04/2020    42
29/04/2020    41
30/04/2020    23
01/05/2020    11
02/05/2020    5
03/05/2020    3
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 03 May 20 18:09
Have a look at their real charts.

They have done incredibly well:

https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa

That is why WHO are praising their approach of no lock down.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 03 May 20 18:15
I think it is a little too early to call and also Sweden is a very different country to those of Western Europe and New York
By:
Des Pond
When: 03 May 20 18:26
Their figures for the last few days are much better, and do give a degree cause for optimism. However, when you look at Norway's stats of only 10 new deaths in the last 7 days. They appear to be doing much better. Albeit they have a smaller population, and we don't yet know how much danage is being done to their economy. As is the case with all countries, we won't really know for some time yet whether Sweden have chosen the best course.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 03 May 20 18:47
How many flights were there from China to Scandanavia in January and February?

How many people per square mile?

Do Scandanavians was their hands after going to the toilet?

Why is the incidence of covid less in Scandinavia?

No eye deer!
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