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The real Peterborough results
The real Peterborough results
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that it is 80% above the average.
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What difference does it make?
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If you a member of betting exchange then its only right to challenge or question something that is abnormal.
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There is nothing abnormal. What was the postal vote at the 2017 General election in the constituency?
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Maybe that was abnormal too.
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The percentage of postal votes in a given constituency are usually in the same ball park each election. However, this percentage varies enormously from one constituency to another. The constituency may be rural, it might have a high percentage of elderly voters etc. Traditionally, postal votes favour Conservative voters as they tend to be older or live in more rural constituencies.
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Is the postal vote percentage in this constituency "80% above the average" of what it normally is?
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^ that’s neither here nor there
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Peterborough rural??
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Give it up, pp.
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Who said that?
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Errm, I think you will find that I was giving rough examples of why there are large fluctuations in postal vote percentages throughout the UK. I am not suggesting Peterborough is particularly rural in any way.
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you just said it was rural
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that's good but it's not right
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say what ye seee
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I certainly did not. I said...
"However, this percentage varies enormously from one constituency to another. The constituency may be rural, it might have a high percentage of elderly voters etc. Traditionally, postal votes favour Conservative voters as they tend to be older or live in more rural constituencies." |
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Roy walker knows
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The problem is not in rural areas , but the inner cities
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inner circle
ew  |
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bad losers blame others
why not have another vote until you get the result you desire? |
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If postal votes traditionally favour elderly, Conservative voters, it would be interesting, would it not, if the postal votes of the recent Peterborough by-election favoured Labour voters of all ages? Did they?
Also, did the postal votes display a statistically remarkable bias towards voters of a particular ethnicity? Again, I would find this interesting. Furthermore, given past incidents of fraudulent voting patterns involving multiple constituents sharing exactly the same name, I would be interested if this was a concern in the ongoing investigations. |
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I’ll admit that I am quite surprised to learn that postal votes favour elderly, Conservative voters. The elderly, Conservative voters I know are not only resolute in their convictions, they’re also a damned sight more hardy in their determination to make it to the polling station come rain or shine than most youngsters.
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How many people use postal votes?
The proportion of voters using postal votes has increased over the last three general elections. Different parts of the UK have different rates of postal voting: at the 2015 general election, Wales had the highest proportion of voters using postal votes (17.7%), while England had the lowest (16.7%) (except for Northern Ireland, where postal voting is not available on demand). The proportion of postal voters also differs among English regions: at the 2015 general election, it ranged from 13.4% in the West Midlands to 26% in the North East. The highest proportion of postal voters was found in the Houghton and Sunderland South constituency (43.3%); the lowest in Birmingham Perry Bar (7.4%) |
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I think torque just explained that if you read your post again.
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All opinion polls (pre Brexit Party!) always have support for the Conservative party higher as it goes up the age scales. Apparently the average age of members that will vote in the upcoming leadership election is around seventy. Sadly, simple facts of life are as we get older, we are less healthy and mobile. However, elderly folks are much more likely to be guaranteed to vote. Put the two together and that explains why postal votes favour Conservatives in general, coupled with the more rural the constituency,the more conservative it is likely to be.
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Since so many conservatives were refusing to canvass or even vote tory and had transferred to the Brexit party due to their commitment to Brexit one might have thought the postal votes would have supported Brexit party instead of the larger impact on Labour using that logic pp ? Maybe the ethnic support swung it for Labour then.
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Thanks for that little bit of wisdom politics pauper
I didn’t know that |
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Of course a poastal vote doesn’t favour any party its merely a means of voting ....if used lawfully
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My comments on postal votes were a generalisation, nothing particularly connected with Peterborough.
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sone areas are more prone to voting malpractice , so generalisations are neither here nor there
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The proportion of postal voters also differs among English regions: at the 2015 general election, it ranged from 13.4% in the West Midlands to 26% in the North East. The highest proportion of postal voters was found in the Houghton and Sunderland South constituency (43.3%); the lowest in Birmingham Perry Bar (7.4%)
I mean of course I have no clue about the individual constituencies or the actual figures of certain groups in either but if the experts on here were correct, these numbers look a bit odd  |
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Very odd I don't know anyone from Sunderland who can read.
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East Midlands 16.8
Eastern 15.4 London 14.8 North East 26.0 North West 18.1 South East 16.0 South West 17.1 West Midlands 13.4 Yorkshire & The Humber 18.0 Houghton & Sunderland South* 43.3 Epping Forest 9.7 Sunderland Central* 41.1 Stoke On Trent Central 9.6 Newcastle Upon Tyne North* 41.0 York Central* 9.6 Washington & Sunderland West* 40.4 Edmonton 9.6 Newcastle Upon Tyne Central* 36.1 Hull West & Hessle* 9.4 Blaydon* 35.8 West Bromwich East 9.2 Stevenage* 33.9 Hull East* 9.1 Jarrow* 33.1 Oxford East 8.8 South Shields* 33.1 Birmingham Yardley 8.8 Altrincham & Sale West* 30.8 Weaver Vale* 8.8 Gateshead* 30.7 Wolverhampton South East 8.7 Don Valley* 30.4 Birmingham Selly Oak 8.3 Newcastle Upon Tyne East* 30.1 Hull North* 8.3 Rushcliffe* 29.6 Birmingham Hodge Hill 8.2 Blackpool North & Cleveleys* 29.5 Birmingham Erdington 8.1 Telford* 29.2 Bury St. Edmunds 8.1 Blyth Valley* 29.1 Sherwood* 8.0 The Wrekin* 29.1 Birmingham Ladywood 7.6 Chorley* 28.6 Halton* 7.4 Doncaster Central* 27.5 Birmingham Perry Barr 7.4 Too much effort to format properly from http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/191861/Plymouth-UKPGE-electoral-data-report-final-WEB.pdf but there's the top 20/bottom 20 side by side. if we can learn anything from it  |
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http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/191861/Plymouth-UKPGE-electoral-data-report-final-WEB.pdf
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left list is
Labour 14 Conservative 6 right list is Labour 16 Conservative 4 if I read everything correctly, conclusive stuff  |
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w/ 2017 MPs. even though data is for 2015
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nothing
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