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The chance of getting away with a dead child who can't move or scream is clearly higher than an alive one who can scream.
If the isle of Bute child awoke as he was carrying her out do you think he would have let her scream or shut her up? I know what my money would be on. I doubt he would be dropping her body in the hall either. |
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While necrophilia is a thing, it is pretty extraordinarily rare.
Cases of men raping children and then killing them must be 1000 times more common than the other way around as no cases come to mind. The Isle of Bute guy if he killed her before leaving the house would just have left her there surely? Getting her away from there does not help his chances of getting away with murder, rather he now introduces the factor of whether or not he will be seen in the streets with her body. |
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It's not pretty extra ordinarily rare. Whilst they may prefer a child to be alive if they have decided they were going to have sex with them they aren't going to be stopping because she may be dead.
Well he was already prepared to take the chance of carrying her body out anyway. I don't think the deciding factor would have been whether he was sure she was alive or not. |
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How commonplace is it, iyo?
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I think I just told you. Not pretty extra ordinarily rare.
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https://youtu.be/6Yt8vioQxrA
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But..
Are there cases of paedophiles killing children in order to have sex with them. Paedophile stranger attackers are very rare to begin with, and overwhelmingly they seem to prefer live children. Abducting dead bodies from their homes is extraordinarily rare to the point of I don't think there is a single case of it on record. If the person has no connection to the place then why is anyone going to link them to the murder if the body is left there ? The only thing I can think of is the perpertrator may figure his DNA is on the body. But why would he assume his DNA is not left in the apartment from where he has got in or what he has done there. So he is introducing multiple new ways of getting caught (being seen carrying the body and challenged right there, being seen carrying the body and remembered or seen on CCTV, being seen digging a hole to bury it etc ) all to prevent his DNA (which may not be on record anyway) being found on the body, when he may have left DNA in the apartment anyway. |
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Okay Tobey they are maybe fair points. But if we are going to apply rarity of the crime and rational logic of the killer to the abduction theory then surely that applies to to any other theory.
Taking your child on holiday to kill them is extraordinarily rare to the point of I don't think there is a single case of it on record. Why would a person kill their child? Why would they decide to do it abroad? Why not do it at home where you have more time on your hands and know the locality. Why do it in a country where you will be investigated by a foreign police force. Why if it was an accident would you compound matters by trying to to dispose of the body? Especially in a foreign country. They are introducing multiple new ways of getting caught being seen carrying the body away or cctv, seen digging a hole etc. etc. |
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I don't think anyone is saying they intended to kill Madeleine.
Any theories I've seen were based on accidental death caused by drugs given to her to make her sleep. Could be true albeit I think abduction the far more likely reason. (Whilst alive in case anyone queries) |
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What I have always struggled with, is the how part if true, if it were accidental death by overdosing on whatever drugs they gave her to try to sleep, how could they have successfully of disposed of the body without any trace or any witness or any discovery since and then step outside the next morning in front of the world's cameras pleaing for help, doesn't make any sense. Not only that, but for years and years after they tried to keep the story in the limelight, books, interviews, court cases etc, you'd think they'd want to get on with their lives if they were guilty, you obviously could say it's a pretence, but that much of a pretence? constantly drawing attention to the disappearance 12 years later?
The sheer ease of anyone gaining access to that apartment shouldn't be underestimated either, it was a rented accomodation, I never really heard of past occupants being interviewed/investigated, any one of them could have had a cut key, then there is also the fact it was a ground floor flat, if you were an abductor, you'd not want to be targeting upper levels with an increased chance of being seen/more time to abduct, and it was also right on the outskirts of the complex, easier and quicker to get in and out. If it was an abduction, then they obviously knew full well the parents werent there, as they're were unlikely to go in at that time knowing there's a half decent chance the parents would be there/awake looking after the children. Would be chilling to think they were being watched, any one that worked or frequented the Tapas Bar would also know they'd left their kids alone at night, as they'd seen them around during the day, know how big their group is and how many of their entourage there were, could have worked out nobody was home looking after them. The Casa Pia scandal highlights why pa3do's target Portgual, laxer laws and generally one of the poorer European countries with a police force not well equipped enough to handle such a large scale investigation, look at the pure amateurish operation they initially carried out, did not seal off the complex, did not seal of the apartment, not for a whole 24 hours and let all and sundry walk in and out. They wouldn't even script that in a film it's so daft. There's no doubt however they are an odd couple, I don't think Gerry ever explained why he said on the bus "I'm not here to f****** enjoy myself?" what was that about? They showed little emotion in the aftermath too, no tears or hysterical behaviour, very unanimated, very robotic even, that's what makes it doubly strange, regarless of whether they were involved or were not involed, they had just lost a 3 year old child, unless you're not human you'd show emotion. The only possible explanation for no emotion would be that they knew for some time they were going to lose her, which would play into the hands of the freemason conspiracies. Doubt anyone will ever know. Same as Ben Needham. |
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Turned it off after 5 mins,looked like a cover up job blame the portugese police twaddle,utter fantasy.
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The reason they 'keep it in the limelight' is because the press are their biggest allies. Relentless stories about abductors churned out.
Operation Grange was created by The Sun, and is under no circumstances to look at anything but an abduction. That is why it is such a farce. instead of following evidence and seeing where it leads, they start off with the notion that there is an abductor, find someone who was around at the time and try and theorize evidence against the person being the abductor. So obviously there is nothing and they move on to another 'suspect' Egg Man, Bundle Man, George Harrison Man, Posh Spice Woman and so on into infinity |
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The 'taking her there to kill her' is actually a theory some of the nuttier members of the dedicated forums propose. It is obviously silly for the reasons you give. The criminals involved (in any crime) whatever the motive, will have not done things in such a difficult way if there were obviously easier options. I think it's pretty naive to think that criminals are people who apply rational logic constantly to everything they do and always select the easier most logical course of action. On any given day their are examples of people doing the exact opposite where they carry out actions which it is nigh on impossible not for them to get caught given their actions are either so incredibly stupid or are committed in front of multiple witnesses. |
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One would think a 'crim' wouldn't snapchat a video of themselves to mates saying "I found the guy who did it' then show a video of themselves in a mirror given the easier and safer option of not doing it. However criminals are also capable of doing stupid ****.
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I don't think anyone is saying they intended to kill Madeleine.
Any theories I've seen were based on accidental death caused by drugs given to her to make her sleep. Could be true albeit I think abduction the far more likely reason. (Whilst alive in case anyone queries) Well the last few pages have been discussions on Allins suggestion that their was enough blood found under the sofa, under the floor and on the walls to conclude that she definately died in the apartment. I've never said I agreed with that but if he is saying their is enough blood to suggest she died it's unlikely to be caused from an overdose or bump to the head or most accidental deaths unless they accidentally stabbed her. |
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Toby you keep pointing out how rare child abduction cases are. The same applies to cases where children are killed by their parents and they dispose of their bodies. Extremely rare. Killing their child and managing to JImmy Hoffa them in a foreign country is completely unheard of and as you suggested earlier about taking away a childs dead body away has probably never happened before.
Whatever happened was completely implausible but one of them must be true. You can't discount one potential theory because it's implausible then ignore how implausible the alternatives are. |
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Well the last few pages have been discussions on Allins suggestion that their was enough blood found under the sofa, under the floor and on the walls to conclude that she definately died in the apartment. I've never said I agreed with that but if he is saying their is enough blood to suggest she died it's unlikely to be caused from an overdose or bump to the head or most accidental deaths unless they accidentally stabbed her.
Perhaps the blood in these areas alone are not telling, but when you add the detection of cadaver in the same spot, no known death in the apartment and no reports of Madeleine having a wound, it's very difficult to assume hat she did not die there. As far as I am aware Keela did not detect blood elsewhere in the apartment, all of which is very unfortunate for the McCanns. |
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its like one of these modern day tv series,gradualy a series of what look like random characters introduced,tapas 7,murat,uk government,mitchel,clement freud,priest etc introduced to the viewer and eventually certain connections between one or more them are revealed,
imagine yourself joe bloggs on holiday on a sun bed and inventing a one off event where so many random characters are introduced 1000,s of miles from home who eventually no matter how tenuous can be somehow ,somewhere be linked, even vera,baptiste would have their work cut out |
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post gone mad,
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It was not them.
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