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NETFLIX : Madeleine Mccann

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Replies: 341
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 01:29
You are either not reading things right or you are confused. 15/19 markers matched Madeleine!! Millions to one it isn't a McCann!! The FBI would use this as if it were 100%!

We are not in the USA so the bar is higher!! You are not wanting to accept the strength that 15 markers has in determining who's DNA it is.

The 3 people DNA he is talking about is Gerry and Kate (possibly the twins) that is why he is saying it comes from more than one person . His words were carefully chosen not to suggest that anyone elses DNA was in the mix.

15/19 makes it millions to one it wasn't McCann blood.

He says that he can't conclude whether it is a genuine match or a chance match(with Madeline) and the reason for that is because it is probably mixed with any 2 of the other 4 McCanns DNA) and therefore not accepted as evidence.

Unless I've missed right there is no suggestion that anyone other than McCann DNA as found, but he didn't want to tell anyone this!
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 01:32
His words were carefully chosen not to suggest that anyone elses DNA was in the mix

Make no mistake 15 markers is huge.
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 01:40
I'm not sure whether you are now trolling or you are just a complete idiot.

You have admitted you have no idea how DNA works but are still trying to draw conclusions from a DNA analysis which a DNA forensic expert has categorically said are not the conclusions that can be drawn from it.

I still await your source (it doesn't have to be a link as I am able to find sources) about the law on the admissability of DNA evidence in USA, UK and Portugal. It seems to be a particular expertise of yours.

I'm beginning to think you are on some other forum/Youtube comment section in between our replies trying to find responses as your replies don't seem to address what has been said.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 01:56

Mar 23, 2019 -- 1:40AM, Shrewd_dude wrote:


I'm not sure whether you are now trolling or you are just a complete idiot. You have admitted you have no idea how DNA works but are still trying to draw conclusions from a DNA analysis which a DNA forensic expert has categorically said are not the conclusions that can be drawn from it.I still await your source (it doesn't have to be a link as I am able to find sources) about the law on the admissability of DNA evidence in USA, UK and Portugal. It seems to be a particular expertise of yours. I'm beginning to think you are on some other forum/Youtube comment section in between our replies trying to find responses as your replies don't seem to address what has been said.


Dude, you really need to read that report again because you are clearly confused and embarrassing yourself! He has said 15 out of the 19 markers match her. What part of this do you not understand?
So you are saying that he's saying it's not her DNA?

Dumbo, he said the markers match but cannot be conclusive (in his opinion) because the DNA came from more than 1 person, and this cannot be separated and analysed!! And so is incomplete!!

Read between the lines!

There is no suggestion that the blood/DNA came from a non McCann, which is what you inferred!

No source needed to find out about DNA admissibility! that's what Google's there for.

Hopefully someone else comments on what you are trying to argue here, because it just doesn't make any sense to me.

By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 02:07
So you are saying that he's saying it's not her DNA?

He has categorically said he can't tell whether it is her DNA. You are the one saying her blood was found in the car. I have said the DNA expert never reached that conclusion conitnually over numerous posts. I have now provided his quotes that he cannot say it is her DNA. Yet you are still saying his quotes are proof it is her DNA because FBI says it is, USA,blah, blah portuguese law, etc. whilst never providing any source.
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 02:11
In conclusion your point seems to be you seek to rely on the parts of the DNA report which support your argument and completely ignore the parts (e.g the conclusion) which don't whilst continually saying "because the FBI said so" and not providing anything the FBI actually said.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 02:29
This is like talking to a brick wall Do your own research into the markers and how significant 15 is. (The FBI part is for comparison).

Read between the lines!! He is saying the blood (which was known to be detected by Keela), matches 15 markers to Madeleine.

He is saying that he cannot conclude it is her DNA because it is mixed with others (probably Kate and Gerry, both of which have 50% of her DNA.

I am not being selective, but his conclusion isn't exactly straight, and he claims it is inconclusive. he has not ruled it out as being hers!!

What I am telling you is that in his opinion he can't conclude it was solely Madeleines blood because it was mixed with 2 people who she shares her DNA with.

He has not said it isn't hers, just that it is inconclusive for him to draw an opinion. what he doesn't conveniently tell us is if non McCann blood is involved.

What is so hard for you to understand?

I say "because the FBI said so", now you are getting childish. All I have pointed out is that in the USA  15 markers are needed, whereas in the UK and Portugal (I believe it's) 19.

Anyway, you have done nothing to suggest anything other than McCann DNA was found in the boot
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 07:35
This is like talking to a brick wall Do your own research into the markers and how significant 15 is. (The FBI part is for comparison).

Read between the lines!! He is saying the blood (which was known to be detected by Keela), matches 15 markers to Madeleine.


You are talking utter mince now. Do your own research? I've provided you with the DNA expert report on how significant it is and the DNA expert is saying it isn't significant and you are saying I should be reading about not what he is saying but what he isn't. You are a barefaced liar now.

We are now at the stage where you have previously said her DNA has been found and now you are saying it might be hers.

All I have pointed out is that in the USA  15 markers are needed, whereas in the UK and Portugal (I believe it's) 19.

And for the umpteenth time I have called for your source on this which you can't provide presumably in the knowledge that you are talking ****.
By:
terry mccann
When: 23 Mar 19 09:17
Dude,forget only the bullsh1t,you must know deep down that for some reason this is a cover up, who had a villa very close by,who were staying there?these are the things we should be looking at
By:
Injera
When: 23 Mar 19 10:24
I've sat through the first 2. Incredibly dull fare so far.
By:
scandanavian_haven
When: 23 Mar 19 10:45
We are now at the stage where you have previously said her DNA has been found and now you are saying it might be hers.



he has a habit of shifting the goalposts, kept accusing me of saying that I said no body meant there was no abduction - when I said no such thing and asked him to prove it he couldn't so instead changed it to I definitely implied that was the case - then posted my own quotes only for him to finally admit it, makes stuff up as he goes along as he has convinced himself the case has been solved.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 11:51

Mar 23, 2019 -- 10:45AM, scandanavian_haven wrote:


We are now at the stage where you have previously said her DNA has been found and now you are saying it might be hers. he has a habit of shifting the goalposts, kept accusing me of saying that I said no body meant there was no abduction - when I said no such thing and asked him to prove it he couldn't so instead changed it to I definitely implied that was the case - then posted my own quotes only for him to finally admit it, makes stuff up as he goes along as he has convinced himself the case has been solved.


Disappointed with this comment SH.

Shrewd is stating that first I said her DNA has been found, now I am saying it might be hers?

As far as I recall I haven't changed my mind on anything, and all we have been doing in the last few posts is try to establish what the expert has written, and in his report he states that in his opinion the results of the DNA are inconclusive, therefore it might be (partially) hers and he does not discount this.

So to now say I've changed my mind I very very wrong.

In fact it was Shrewd who was implying that the boot DNA came from a non McCann source. He had posted the DNA report, which (correct me if I am wrong) doesn't state this.

I accept that I was wrong in that exchange SH, as I was being barraged by yourself and Shrewd, but I apologise for getting it wrong. I am really just wanting any evidence that might factually suggest that she did not die in that apartment.

By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 13:02
You have continually said her blood was found in the car and on more than one occasion that it is a million to one not to be hers.

The DNA expert who analysed the blood says he is unable to conclude it is her DNA never mind her blood. You now appear to be agreeing with him.

These are two entirely different positions. Banging on about the FBI and Portuguese law which you refuse to provide a source for doesn't change that.

Even if it was conclusive that she died in the flat that doesn't take us any further in terms of how she died or who killed her.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 13:20

Mar 23, 2019 -- 1:02PM, Shrewd_dude wrote:


You have continually said her blood was found in the car and on more than one occasion that it is a million to one not to be hers.The DNA expert who analysed the blood says he is unable to conclude it is her DNA never mind her blood. You now appear to be agreeing with him.These are two entirely different positions. Banging on about the FBI and Portuguese law which you refuse to provide a source for doesn't change that.Even if it was conclusive that she died in the flat that doesn't take us any further in terms of how she died or who killed her.


Lol!!! Where have I agreed with him!!! Please quote. It is my understanding that 15/19 markers indicate that it is many millions to one that the blood/DNA is not McCann. I will continue with that assumption until shown otherwise!

If you can supply me with anything to say otherwise then I will be grateful!

The expert says there is more than one person's blood in the sample, whilst acknowledging 15/19 markers match. He does not even state how many of these markers match his colleagues' blood for reference.

He states that his findings are inconclusive, however you seem to have drawn more information from this report than I have and I cannot see where you are getting this from.

He does not not say this is or isn't Madeleine's blood, nor does he suggest that it comes from any persons other than the 5 McCanns, which is what you were implying.

So I am really struggling to understand what your point is.

By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 13:42
Lol!!! Where have I agreed with him!!! Please quote. It is my understanding that 15/19 markers indicate that it is many millions to one that the blood/DNA is not McCann. I will continue with that assumption until shown otherwise!

If you can supply me with anything to say otherwise then I will be grateful!


He has categorically said he cannot reach a conclusion as to whether it is or is not her blood or even that the 15 components that match hers come from blood or even the same person.


You on the other hand have formed the assumption it is a million to one it is not hers based on nothing more than a YouTube video you watched. You are asking me to disprove something you have just made up?
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 13:45
The point is no one can form the conclusion it is her blood other than barking mad conspiracy bampots like you.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 13:53
You win Shrewd...I'm getting a headache.
By:
terry mccann
When: 23 Mar 19 14:40
You notice Dude hasn't bothered to answer what I said,thats right turn a blind eye
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 14:53

Mar 23, 2019 -- 2:40PM, terry mccann wrote:


You notice Dude hasn't bothered to answer what I said,thats right turn a blind eye


When he is claiming I changed my mind ,when I was simply trying to explain that his expert did not confirm what he was suggesting, he just twists everything around and refuses to accept things even when he has quoted the evidence, I think you should feel lucky that he hasn't responded to you.

By:
terry mccann
When: 23 Mar 19 15:53
Properly doesn't know what im talking about that's why,its one when the truth will always be hidden but why?
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 15:57
Terry, no, deep down I don't believe this is a cover up and I have no idea who had a villa nearby.

Alin. He is not my expert he is the expert who carried out the dna analysis. The DNA analysis you have continually sought to rely on to prove that her blood was in the car when he has made it quite clear that he cannot say whether it was her blood.
By:
terry mccann
When: 23 Mar 19 16:02
Fair enough Dude but you would do worse than watch Rich halls documentary's on this,they cover the whole thing.
By:
tobermory
When: 23 Mar 19 20:18
The DNA does seem to be exclusive. I read an analysis by someone quite clued up on it that it is not possible to assign  % probability to whether or not Madeleine was present, but that he was surprised that the testing had stopped at the point where Lowe had as there would have been further things that could have been done with the results to eliminate individuals contributions to the profile.

The DNA was taken from the spot in the boot where the dogs indicated. So it would have to be blood or 'the scent of death' as that is all they were trained to indicate for.

Of course the dogs don't indicate only for Madeliene.

So either...

The dogs made a false alert.
Madeleine had been placed in the boot.
The McCanns were unfortunate enough to hire a car that had been used by previous people to transport a body.
By:
tobermory
When: 23 Mar 19 20:19
*The DNA does seem to be exclusive

Sorry 'inconclusive'
By:
tobermory
When: 23 Mar 19 20:28
Even if it was conclusive that she died in the flat that doesn't take us any further in terms of how she died or who killed her.

Would rule out an abductor though. Unless we think it is likely that someone would get into the apartment, kill a child, and then carry away the corpse....
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:02
Even if it was conclusive that she died in the flat that doesn't take us any further in terms of how she died or who killed her.

Would rule out an abductor though. Unless we think it is likely that someone would get into the apartment, kill a child, and then carry away the corpse....
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:04
No it wouldn't. That's exactly what you would expect a child abductor to do.
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:05
Taking the body away that is.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 21:11
Apparently the kids were being checked on every 30 minutes, and you would expect a potential abductor to have been monitoring this.

Would an abductor realistically chance getting in, killing the child and removing the body? Especially when there's a risk of getting caught. Even if they did chance it, what's the odds of getting away with it and clearing any evidence?

That's quite some conspiracy theory Shrewd.
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:13

Would an abductor realistically chance getting in, killing the child and removing the body? Especially when there's a risk of getting caught. Even if they did chance it, what's the odds of getting away with it and clearing any evidence?


Probably similar odds to your theory.
By:
tobermory
When: 23 Mar 19 21:16
Sorry, you are saying they would kill the child in the apartment and run through the streets with the corpse Confused

wtf would they do that for

Has that ever happened in the whole of criminal history ?

It is when these kind of theories start being put forward that you start to realize how outlandish the whole abduction case is.
By:
tobermory
When: 23 Mar 19 21:18
If this is 'exactly what an abductor would do'  I expect there are going to be several examples where someone gets into an house, kills someone, and carries away the body.

(genuinely) interested to see one example of such bizarre behaviour
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 21:22

Mar 23, 2019 -- 9:16PM, tobermory wrote:


Sorry, you are saying they would kill the child in the apartment and run through the streets with the corpse wtf would they do that for Has that ever happened in the whole of criminal history ?It is when these kind of theories start being put forward that you start to realize how outlandish the whole abduction case is.


Not just this, but they killed her behind the sofa.

By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:23
Well the whole point of an abduction is to get away with the body. If you are abducting kids then it's generally to **** them. If you are the sort of person who **** 3 year olds your not going be particuarly fussy about whether they are breathing or not.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 21:26

Mar 23, 2019 -- 9:23PM, Shrewd_dude wrote:


Well the whole point of an abduction is to get away with the body. If you are abducting kids then it's generally to **** them. If you are the sort of person who **** 3 year olds your not going be particuarly fussy about whether they are breathing or not.


Thanks for confirming what a nutjob and a waste of time you are

By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:27
If the Isle of Bute killer accidentally killed the girl or had to to stop her screaming Toby do you honestly think his moral compass would have kicked in and he would have thought I don't think I want to have sex with her anymore now she's no longer breathing I'll just leave her here?
By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:29
ofAllin your thick. You can't possibly comprehend that her parents didn't killer simply because it would confirm your of so low intelligence that you can be taken in by a youtube video made by some bloke sitting in his mums basement.
By:
AllinR1
When: 23 Mar 19 21:31

Mar 23, 2019 -- 9:29PM, Shrewd_dude wrote:


ofAllin your thick. You can't possibly comprehend that her parents didn't killer simply because it would confirm your of so low intelligence that you can be taken in by a youtube video made by some bloke sitting in his mums basement.


your or you're?

By:
Shrewd_dude
When: 23 Mar 19 21:33
You're.
By:
tobermory
When: 23 Mar 19 21:41
No, paedo abductions are to get the - live  - child away from where adults can intervene. The sexual attacks are (sometimes) followed by murder, never the other way around from anything I have heard. And the murder is usually to cover up the sexual attack which is the motive (victim can't talk)

The Isle of Bute psycho wanted to get the girl far away to carry out his rape as he feared adults waking up etc

In Apartment 5A there were no adults there. So the paedo can do what he likes there and then. He can then leave. Worst case scenario an adult comes in before he is done. Even then he still has good odds of getting away, as he can push his way out and run off into the night. Even if he is restrained he could still claim he was just a burglar and quite difficult to get a 4 year old giving evidence in court.

If he takes her out - alive - then he is greatly reducing his chance of molesting her AND increasing his chance of being caught. Also being caught outside with her he no longer has the 'just a burglar' mitigation.

I have just never heard of a stranger murder in the victims home where the stranger took the body away. It just gives the killer a whole new level of hurdles to avoid capture.
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