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Who is staying up tonight to watch Election coverage
Who is staying up tonight to watch Election coverage
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The exit poll, which predicts seat numbers in Parliament rather than vote share, is conducted by interviewing voters at each of 140 carefully selected polling stations -- a total of 20,000 people across Britain -- and measuring the change in voting behavior since the last election.
One difficulty the statisticians face is that much of the expected change in voting patterns in this election is happening in places where they haven’t conducted surveys before. Previously, data from a handful of swing seats -- marginals as they’re known in Britain -- could be extrapolated to produce a nationwide picture. “Once upon a time, you could concentrate on Conservative-Labour marginals, throw in a few Lib Dem seats and basically get it right,” Curtice said. “Until now you could ignore Scotland. You can’t ignore it any more.” Whereas previous exit polls have only offered predictions for the Conservatives, Labour and the Liberal Democrats, this year’s will also attempt to say how many seats the Scottish National Party and UKIP will pick up. Polling stations in Scotland and UKIP target seats -- such as in eastern England -- have been added to the sample to assist in this. Ten more constituencies are being covered than in 2010. But with UKIP especially, the team is effectively being asked to predict the result of specific local races, something its sample isn’t large enough for. “Prepare for disappointment,” said Curtice. “It’s almost guaranteed.” |
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what a bizarre comment, they had little choice, tories had to form a government with someone.
If the libs get back in i think they will be stronger in the future when lib voters understand how they can have a voice. |
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LDs losing another 6,000 votes.
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The Lost Deposits come 5th again.
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who are these "ordinary people" these Labour MP's keep refering to?
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Ed Bóllocks may have lost his seat..
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Has Ed Balls lost his seat? Been out walking Muttley so not up to speed.
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maybe his last 5 years of predictions have come home.
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If the libs get back in i think they will be stronger in the future when lib voters understand how they can have a voice.
 Fat lot of fu cking good it did them last time! They're dead. |
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Keep up Slips..
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Can't help but think the unders on SNP seatss looking good given how hard it must be to work them in to the Exit Polls.
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Lib Dems voice was simply to prop up Tory policies with very little in return.
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just local rumours about ed balls...3/4 sources..bbc reporting
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Guinness,
I have heard this too. Apparently Tories could get up. On the models used for the exit poll, they were used in 2010 and they were pretty accurate then. |
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I've been busy picking up Muttley's poo g2d
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lol
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I've trained mine to pick up his own..
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Source was Micheal Gove's assistant
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BBC and Sly have sent all the bints out in the cold to cover this, and all the ties have got the indoor gig..
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Owen Bennett reckons Farage has lost
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Farage third according to Beeb.
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could do with getting Dwayne Chambers and Gemili on the ballot boxes for the Balls count...
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Not looking good for Farage.
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At least my sauce was named, Darlo..
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odds against on here now.
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Well done to the Lost Deposits. Again.
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Can't believe Farage will come only third given the support for Ukip in Sunderland.
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grinning like a cheshire cat old eddy balls
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When doesn't he?
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if first past the post was scrapped it would kill the big 2 parties
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Too many lily-livered allah-loving traitors in this country today.
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Inclined to agree Darlo. Unless the Tories all voted Labour and Labour voters all voted Tory to try and keep him out!
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surely its good for farage if lab and tory are voting for themselves splits the vote three ways
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YouGov exit poll - CON 284 MPs, LAB 263, LIBS 31, SNP 48, UKIP 2, PLAID 3, GREEN 1
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Looks like we will be saying bye to Milliband, Farage and Clegg as leaders
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No way they get rid of FPP.
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Balls saying its up to Milliband to make Queens speech!! What with 239 seats??
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