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These 230 comments are related to the topic:
Scottish Referendum / Betting
Scottish Referendum / Betting
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Replies: 230
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business markets havent budged today half percent here and there, nothing going on. obviously think its a No certainty
250k waiting to lay No at 1.18 and 1.17, must be the price the market mover wants to get out at. Going off to watch the footy  |
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wasn't the headline news on ITV either.
Maybe they all know something  |
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I think there are rules or guidelines about what can be reported while polls are still open
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I think there are rules or guidelines about what can be reported while polls are still open
That's spot on Degs and they can't do interviews so not a lot they can say hence the seemingly lacklustre coverage. |
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^ They said that on the 6-0'Clock BBC News: Strict rules - in common with other broadcasters - not allowed to report details of campaigning until after the polls close.
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This is going to be very interesting. Its 50-50, but momentum clearly with YES, the polls are up their ar3e - already getting their excuses ready
 ....invalid if turnout is over 80%, its actually closer to 90% |
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NO wins hands down the jocks aren't daft
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IPSOS MORI confirm their opinion polls are no longer valid if turnout reaches 80%. Excuses in early. #indyref
THEY KNOW - polling hasn't even finished |
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just spoke to my family in Scotland. 2 yes and 2 no votes.
sh1teing it. |
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ive made my own swing-o-meter
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TIMBEEERRRRRRRR
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TIMBER!!!!!!!!!!!
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what is moving it? ITKs
 how do they know |
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Weighed in!
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the market is absolutely brutal when it moves
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1.06. gsm
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be utter humiliation for salmond if they get less than 45%. a landslide for no really if that happens
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yougov, "99% chance of no vote victory" predicting 54,46
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...its not an exit poll.....madness
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hit the market before it hit the news, good old betfair
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Must be folk trading out. 1.06 shots (which have been beaten before) should be winning by a distance but this is going to be a close call.
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polsters are saying its all over, scots bottled it
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Is the sword sharp Brendan?
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stings a bit
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Good win for the chaps anyways..
Could have been 4-12 mind.. |
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yes surprised how easy it was, hopefully we can see off the rest to
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In the last month or so out of all the Scottish people I have spoken to (admittedly none lived in Scotland) not one person said they would vote yes.
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Come on slippy, you are an intelligent man, do you honestly think they would say YES ? They have to live down there. Wouldn`t want to alienate their neighbours and friends.
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Can we have a spread on what time Salmond concedes defeat?
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Dulwich sweatys don't count..
All they care about is their castles and moats.. |
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themightymac 18 Sep 14 22:39
Must be folk trading out. 1.06 shots (which have been beaten before) should be winning by a distance but this is going to be a close call. whoever had a 65k lump on no about 10 minutes after the polls closed was not trading out. |
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No, but the people laying it probably were.
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brendanuk1 18 Sep 14 22:41
polsters are saying its all over, scots bottled it Plain No need to wait for the polls to know that. Better to stay as they are as that means they can continue to blame the English for everything. |
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this is a highly liquid market and you can be sure that someone has got:
i. their own exit poll information and/or ii. information from counters. |
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1.06/1.07. Graph looks like Man U had just announced the signing of Messi Ronaldo and Jesus.
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If anybody thinks this is a foregone conclusion they are in for shock. This is going to be close. NO backers at silly prices will be sitting on the pan all night
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Its the yougov poll done today with 54% Yes, 1800 surveyed online. Yougov guy quite bullish with 99% chance of no victory. Sticking his neck out if hes guessing, seemed confident enough
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Fair point Mac
No moats around these parts guinness2dear although we do have a duck pond in Tollgate Road. Salmond is gunna get a well deserved bloody nose out of this and if he has any Alberts whatsoever he should walk the plank. |
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agree with themightymac --- its absolute boll*x to be 99% sure - not even an exit poll.
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