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He'd surely have a much better chance of winning the Ryanair. Un De Sceaux and Cue Card will set a furious pace so he should settle and his actual jumping of fences has never been a problem (not left handed anyway).
Mullins has only said it's 60-40 he goes for the CH, and frankly if Mullins said it was 99% certain I would still half expect a u-turn. The big issue is Ruby - he'll surely not get off Faugheen or Un De Sceaux to ride Yorkhill which ever race they choose. |
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You know it's getting near to the Festival when you open the forum up & there's been 50 posts on the Yorkhill thread... I'm still clawing back losses from last year's NR in the CH after all the chat on here convinced me he was going to run (mainly you Duffy as one of his main supporters!). On at 25s on here & happy with that in case he has a 'going day'. If he does turn up it also should push out the MTOY without BD & TBP prices I'm hoping...
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C’mon Duffy, old boy. This is the Yorkhill thread, excitability and hyperbole are to be encouraged.
Besides we all have cliff horses, I had a strange crush on Champion Court a few years back At least yours is a top class crush!I did answer your question by the way, 4/1. But the fact that if he does run he will probably go off shorter than that, even taking into account his poor campaign, is ridiculous. I’ll be place laying him if I see evens to place. Not that it really matters, but I did see him as a Gold Cup horse and if they were to scratch this season entirely and start again with him next year, I still think he’s capable. |
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C’mon Duffy, old boy. This is the Yorkhill thread, excitability and hyperbole are to be encouraged.
Besides we all have cliff horses, I had a strange crush on Champion Court a few years back At least yours is a top class crush!I did answer your question by the way, 4/1. But the fact that if he does run he will probably go off shorter than that, even taking into account his poor campaign, is ridiculous. I’ll be place laying him if I see evens to place. Not that it really matters, but I did see him as a Gold Cup horse and if they were to scratch this season entirely and start again with him next year, I still think he’s capable. |
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He's deffo more chance in a CH than a GC Des, he'll never stay, anyway, my point about this season is that to criticize him you're not comparing like for like. If he'd failed miserably in two 2 mile hurdles I'd be with you, but you're using a 3 mile and 2 mile chase defeats one where he was beat before the first fence (you just can't take any notice of that) to rule him out in a race that might see him in his best light!!.
I must say that Mullins comments post Leopardstown bemused me somewhat, he seemed happy to take from that race conclusive evidence that he couldn't travel at 2 miles pace over fences and didn't seem to acknowledge that he was beat immediately, he can't think that, but with the investigations and such, he probably just wants it forgotten and done with. It's clear that Mullins doesn't rate BD top drawer, inferring that a sub standard Faugheen may well be good enough to win. I've backed Yorkhill at 30+ for the CH too and would not consider backing him at the likely price he'd go off which would be in the region of 9/2 I believe. My whole point with him is that I think his best trip is 2 miles and yes, over hurdles, BD may be as good as his supporters think he is and simply hasn't had the real chance to show how good due to a lack of opposition and I accept it's easy and probably unfair to take the "what's he beat" attitude. I hope they all get there and all run their race. |
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Being beat before the off is the problem though Duffy. As others have mentioned, no doubt at some point he will return to form and put in the sort of stunning performance we all know his capable of - but he's not shown that for 12 months now and it's a leap of faith to expect it to be next time given how bad he was a few weeks back. We can't just ignore that when deciding to bet, can we? Or are you suggesting if he had run that weekend in the Faugheen/Supasundae race, that he would've been fine?
I hope he does show up though, as you're right, it will make it a better renewal and I'll clean up on place laying him ![]() |
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If Mullins thinks a sub standard Faugheen can beat BD,good luck to him.
Personally I would think BD would hack up against Supasundae over 2miles, and it appears Supasundaes connections probably agree as they did not even consider this "weak" champion hurdle for him. |
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I suppose it how you look at it, when a horse is beat pretty much immediately then I can put a line right through it, it would be much harder to do so if he'd run and was beat on merit.
Do I think that something was wrong physically as some have suggested that isn't being identified...absolutely not, to think that there is something that manifests itself immediately into a race but doesn't in the hours of galloping he does at home is madness and he ran perfectly well for a large part of the Lexus, how people can't see how well he jumped and travelled for a large part of that race is strange to me, his finishing position was down to Townend downing tools when his stamina gave out. |
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It is a leap of faith Des,of course it is, and that's where the price comes into it.
He cannot imo be backed now, because the current price does not reflect his form this season and the very strange and unorthodox campaign towards a Champion Hurdle....basically they have made it up as they have gone along. |
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I liked his Lexus run and was very surprised he was immediately dismissed as a Gold Cup horse. I thought he got tired FTO, which was compounded by him clipping the last in the back straight, rather than ran out of stamina. Townend was very easy on him after the last, which I didn't mind either, he's a class horse, no point souring him if he's not winning.
But then the next run was too bad to be true, you won't find too many winners of Championship races at the Festival to have come off the back of a run like that - it's not like they're trying to get him handicapped for a shot at the County Hurdle! You can put a line through it if you like, but I'd be looking elsewhere for the winner. You watch, he won't even show up, like that other forum obsession Finians Oscar. There will be the thick end of 100 horses win or place at this years festival - these two probably won't but have had more comments than the rest put together, funny old world. |
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It's not been a CH campaign, Bud, because they don't think he's a CH horse. They just don't have another one they think they can win with and so are throwing this dart as they don't know what to do with the horse next.
Who knows, it may pan out for them? |
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I think they thought very much that they had a CH horse after his Neptune win, the thing was back then they also had Faugheen and Annie who had just obliterated her CH field too, so they decided to go chasing with him.
They are now hoping that still exists. |
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That Lexus run was very strange.
He lined up at the back of the field, and I was thinking similar to the JLT.Settle him at the back,get him jumping nicely and gradually get him into the race,and that for me was the perfect way to ride him. 2 maybe 3 fences into the race he was in front!! Horse just wanted to get on with it and paid the price I guess. |
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RUK are replaying the 2017 festival, gets you in the mood doesn't it, they've just started so in about 20 minutes I'm going to re-watch BD outstay PM and co.
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Exactly budd and that's him, he takes a tug and over the longer trip with a slower pace it was exaggerated....then next time, townend has to get after him to get to the first fence, that race stinks to high heaven and apart from the "investigation" into the betting, they find nothing else, as I've said before, hopefully he'll be fine now that's "out of his system"
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They can still go chasing with him,its not as if he aint won a festival chase.
I really don't think its about the type of obstacle he has to jump, but whats in his head. He can perform at a high level, we have seen it over hurdles AND fences. Its just a matter of not knowing when he will do it, and that's bl00dy tricky when punting!! |
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That's the thing that causes all the chat though isn't it because really the rogues are the ones we all love and provide most conversation.
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Tidal Bay
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Yeh,fair comment.
They tend to split opinion and that's where the debate comes in. I loved Tidal Bay and he had his moments,Faasel another. That's where the price is factored in.....big enough you can take the risk of a going day. When Yorkhill was 36 on here I decided it was worth the risk for a few quid. Unfortunately imo the current price is not. |
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I think this is the 451st post on the thread. You would n't get a thread like that about Buveur D'Air would you? Stripping it down to basics Buveur D'Air has won 11 out of 12 races over obstacles only missing out in the Supreme that imp loves banging on about.
The biggest controversy about him was when they switched him back to hurdles after his Warwick win over fences - he just turns up, races, wins, goes home, trains, turns up again, races, wins - never appear to be any rumours about his soundness so I'd assume he's got a solid block of training behind him all season - trainer's biggest concern is that he needs a lot of work - sounds like a nice problem to have. Buveur D'Air is still only 7yo so every chance he will be capable of putting up his best performance yet in the Champion Hurdle, Yorkhill would surely have to improve on his best hurdles form to date to beat Buveur D'Air on the back of a haphazard preparation - if you've got 25s or 36 or 30+ about that happening then well done, clearly worth persevering but I've no interest in backing him at the current prices especially given he's only 60/40 to run in the race (whatever that means). Finally, imp stated that his last run might have come too soon after his run at Christmas (even though as Desmond pointed out the ground at Christmas was hardly atrocious and Yorkhill was n't given a hard time once it was clear he would n't be winning).There were 37 days between his Christmas run and his Dublin Racing Festival run. There will be 38 days between his last run and the Champion Hurdle so it will clearly be Mullins' fault for running him back too sooon if he does n't win. ![]() |
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Got him for £2 at 50 here but laid off at 22 and left with 3/1 and 4/1 (any race) plus 7/1 (nrnb without BD). If he wins I'd back him again for next year's CH, assuming he turns up. And Samcro incase Samcro bombs in the Ballymore/Neptune next month.
At the present moment I'm fairly contented with Yanworth and Yorkhill both going for the races I'd hoped for after the scratching of Death Duty very early from my antepost portfolio. |
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Nice one imp, getting next years CH planned for nice and early....his 4th festival success on the bounce
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Yep, Yorkhill has an impressive record at Cheltenham. Similarly, Might Bite for a repeat in the King George at 5/1 or better (again) if he credits himself well in the Gold Cup; Footpad in the Tingle Creek and Champion Chase if Altior bombs; Samcro in the RSA. All to create some value.
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All the bias and bullshit from I123 saying Yorkhill must run in the CH and it turns out he was so confident he has a whole £2 on it - of which he has laid nearly half off.
![]() Unbelieveable. ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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How about Finians Oscar in the Mares Hurdle?
I gather she calls herself Fiona's Oscar and identifies as a Mare (be a brave man to argue in the current climate), two and half miles definitely her trip - all to create some value, of course. ![]() If nothing else, we can then spend all year whinging on here that connections are campaigning her badly and that they don't have a clue, when they inexplicably fail to target - or even mention - the race we have taken monster odds about. ![]() |
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All the bias and bullshit from I123 saying Yorkhill must run in the CH and it turns out he was so confident he has a whole £2 on it - of which he has laid nearly half off.Laugh
I missed that! Utterly brilliant! Even if it wins, his hourly rate from his relentless posting on here would make a job at Maccy D's look like winning the lottery. You couldn't make it up! ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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A bit cruel I think.
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It's not the £2 that's funny Duff, we all have different pockets and mine are by no means the deepest.
It's the laying off that cracked me up ![]() |
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Looking like a soft ground start to the festival, that'll suit the favourite.
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looks totally gone to me this beast, be amazed if showed
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How many years have we heard soft ground for Start of the fes. It'll be the usual Good Food/soft in places
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The market is saying Ryanair is the more likely target over the Champion Hurdle (CH) now which Mullins alluded a few weeks ago. Is Walsh getting his way (again) perhaps; Walsh has Faugheen in the CH.
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So you think Walsh will ditch UDS for Yorkhill in the Ryanair do you.
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Yorkhill is not top class. The Sun Alliance Hurdle it won was the worst in history.
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From what I've read David Casey has expressed a preference for the Ryanair for Yorkhill at at least one of the preview evenings (not his decision but presumably his views are taken into account) and Ruby's RUK blog today states he does n't know where he will run yet.
Mullins only actually said he was leaning 60/40 towards the Champion Hurdle at his media day (or words to that effect) and there have been 8 or 9 days since then for those percentages to change. Waste of energy trying to guess when they probably don't know themselves yet - different if you're trading positions obviously. Still, I'm sure there will be those who blame Mullins for putting them away whichever race he runs in. |
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For the avoidance of doubt, I have n't backed him in anything and won't be doing so - you're not going to beat yourself up if you're not on and he wins are you? Not based on what we've seen since last year's festival.
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Gatecrashing? A G1 2.5m winning chaser, who has been campaigned over fences the last two years, winning the novice version of this. Oh, and he’s entered....... hardly the surprise of the century.
If he were to win, on the other hand ![]() |
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I’ve finally cracked, was sure I posted this on the Ryanair thread in response to Imps ‘gatecrashing’ line about Yorkhill.
Well, I had a good run. ![]() |
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![]() you ok Des? |
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Nope. This Yorkhill saga has finished me off, I reckon.
![]() I’ve no bloody interest in backing the thing either!!! Been going through the two Tuesday caps, which has part addled my brain, not knowing the ground ain’t making it any easier....... |