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Un De Sceaux and Willie Mullins

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Replies: 525
By:
gutfeeling
When: 12 Jan 15 12:40
Don't assume that one thing automatically means another.

He'll run whoever is 100% fit and suited by the conditions on the day,That is all.
By:
Wicketd
When: 12 Jan 15 12:43
^ exactly
By:
alleged22
When: 12 Jan 15 12:51
havnt they already said UDS goes straight to the arkle???
By:
tomdeane
When: 12 Jan 15 12:52
^ Agree with this as well.

Also, Vautour's win at Punchestown surely confirmed (in their minds anyway) that he does stay 2m4f, so I don't see why he'd need to run over that trip over fences before the JLT if that's where they're going.

And for UDS possibly missing the Irish Arkle - that doesn't to me say anything about which of the pair Mullins rates higher. UDS is hard on himself in his races and will be in front after the tapes fall whether he's running in a Grade One or a mickey mouse race. So would seem sensible to me not to blood him in a Grade One before Cheltenham - I'd much rather give him experience of jumping in a weak novice race in the hope that he won't take too much out of himself before March.

By the way, I think Vautour should run in the Arkle. I'm just echoing the sentiments that Mullins' running plans for the Irish Arkle probably provide 0 clues as to which races the big two will run in at Cheltenham.
By:
TheCollector
When: 12 Jan 15 12:57
If UDS goes straight to the Arkle with F1 form figures and no Grade Ones and no Cheltenham form look no further for the day one lay of the day.
By:
TheCollector
When: 12 Jan 15 13:01
He's a headcase as well so need to go back to 1981 (I think) for last "made all" in the Arkle.

Add to that he needs a bog.Grin
By:
Rathgorman82
When: 12 Jan 15 13:05
Mullins was interviewed on ATR on Saturday - the lazy quotes attributed to him fail to mention what he fully said :
"Vautour may go for the irish arkle, but we have UDS for that" He did indicate that he prefers to keep them apart. So I'd say the "may go" is only if anything happens to UDS. He alluded to there being 3 or 4 other races Vautour could go for.

To the poster who refered to "Jumping Issues", without wishing to put Townend down, he does seem to end up on the deck on Mullins chasers more than Walsh !
By:
Rathgorman82
When: 12 Jan 15 13:07
The first two fences will sort the race out. Downhill, breakneck gallop, I have visions of Well Chief in 2007 again :(
By:
alleged22
When: 12 Jan 15 13:08
sorry just checked they plan on 1 more before the arkle Blush
By:
TheCollector
When: 12 Jan 15 13:23
Mulligan. 1997 Arkle. 11111 over fences. "led 2nd fell 4 out". This horse Un De Sceaux reminds me of him, as does Well Chief in 2007 as stated above.
By:
Slabster
When: 12 Jan 15 14:22
Joined: 02 Apr 03 | Topic/replies: 18,950 | Blogger: Can't Catch Me's blog
Does he? I cant think of many examples.

Fiveforthree off the top of my head.
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 12 Jan 15 16:00
UDS is quick accurate jumper. No concerns on him jumping round.

Last season Mullins rans Felix Yonger in the Irish Arkle so who runs for him this season will not mean who is number one or who goes where.
By:
buddeliea
When: 12 Jan 15 16:31
Great, all sounds good for UDS and the Arkle.
Now we need Vautour,but I have my doubts unfortunately.

Hope UDS don't run in the Irish Arkle,and gets one more run in an easier race.He dont need a hard race as others have said,just one like the other day will do nicely.Its jumping practice that he would need above all else being a novice chaser,thats what they all need.Plus the unknown factor makes it more exciting and intriguing.
As for his jumping,yes he could fall,so could any other horse,and the speed he goes hes only got to hit one a tad too hard hes in trouble,but having said that ive been very impressed with his jumping,looks a natural.Hes jumped probably 20 fences thus far and jumped 19 of them ok,most of them very well.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 12 Jan 15 22:44
UDS into 2's Shocked

I, like many others, am a huge fan of the horse, but how could anyone back him at this price? Beaten nothing, only completed once over fences, has never been to Chelts, and nobody knows who he will even be running against! Madness. Even if Vautour goes elsewhere, I couldn't see him being much shorter on the day...
By:
Wicketd
When: 12 Jan 15 22:48
agree. is anyone on this forum backing him? awful value.
By:
alleged22
When: 12 Jan 15 22:55
crazy price, think he,ll win but its been a no bet race for me and I am just going to enjoy watching it.

will prob win.

could possibly fall 20l clear with race at mercy

could get fcuked up the hill by a better horse on the day

2-1/9/4   nah Happy




will take 5,s though if any ones offering Laugh
By:
buddeliea
When: 13 Jan 15 07:00
Yeh,that's my big regret not backing him earlier.Problem was I weren't sure he would run and thought Vautour would so did not back him,now he's running by the looks of it he's not value. I shall have him on my side come the day though,even if it's in accas. Maybe he will be more of a better proposition on the day. Whatever it will still be great to see him trying to front run the Arkle,money or no money!!
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 13 Jan 15 08:38
2/1.... 8 weeks from the festival ? bookmakers will want to get him and pp will surely offer a special on him on the day ........
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 13 Jan 15 09:41
He will be PP day one special, nap!

If UDS wins the Arkle pp will refund all losing bets blah blah blah.

Though that accolade could still fall to faugheen i wouldn't bet against it being uds Wink
By:
shockster
When: 13 Jan 15 09:46
Wait until the day is the call and back him with the faller money back concessions.  Simples Excited
By:
gutfeeling
When: 13 Jan 15 11:33
^^^ Correct.

UDS has beaten nothing, Well I'd happily own a dual French Champion Hurdle winner who gave Solwhit a 8 length thumping as a nothing horse myself, Can someone tell me what Vautour has beaten of note apart from Clarcam if the suggestion is just to do with since both have gone chasing ?
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 13 Jan 15 11:37
'apart from Clarcam' is quite a big caveat considering he has only had 2 Chase runs though isnt it?! Also Real Steel isnt a bad animal imo.

Yes its only 2 Chase runs each, but its pretty clear Vautour has run in the considerably tougher races of the two.
By:
Graeme83
When: 13 Jan 15 11:49
2/1 for march. He'd have to canter home in the Irish arkle to come close to justifying those odds.
By:
gutfeeling
When: 13 Jan 15 12:01
But that's kind of my point CCM regarding the two chase starts, People can't throw up the beaten nothing cravat when both have had easy introductions to chasing, Both have won 1 and I'm sure UDS would be 2 from 2 but for tipping up which given Vautours immaculate round of jumping fto compared to his second starts shows they can all make mistakes, If any horse falters at Cheltenham that'll be the end of their chances and that goes for every race.

I agree Real Steel isn't a bad horse but then neither is Smashing, For me whoever turns up should be hard to beat and I could dismantle either horse if I so wished but that won't change anything as far as how they'll fair on the day.

If people only look for the good in their pick and the bad in others that does not give their pick any more chance of success, Just means they've glossed over the form to suit.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 13 Jan 15 12:20
No but my point was Clarcam is one of the best novices in Ireland and Vautour stuffed him first time up, so whilst I agree you can pull apart both horses form at such an early stage of their career, the question was who has beaten the most... and thats clearly Vautour isnt it?

I agree entirely about picking good and bad though, and everybody is swayed by their own bets in this dept.
By:
gutfeeling
When: 13 Jan 15 12:25
Yes over fences but then I am a Clarcam fan and he'd be my pick for the Arkle so I like that you'd think the same, Less complications and so far hasn't put a foot wrong, Also don't think it was off FTO myself behind Vautour.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 13 Jan 15 12:29
Yes me too. I have to admit Im not totally impartial as Vautour is my biggest bet of the festival, but I have a good saver on Clarcam and think he is a really exciting horse. Easy to forget he is only a 5 yr old as well. Lovely jumper of a fence.
By:
TheCollector
When: 13 Jan 15 12:40
gutfeeling 13 Jan 15 11:33 Joined: 18 Jul 06 | Topic/replies: 1,517 | Blogger: gutfeeling's blog
^^^ Correct.

UDS has beaten nothing, Well I'd happily own a dual French Champion Hurdle winner who gave Solwhit a 8 length thumping as a nothing horse myself, Can someone tell me what Vautour has beaten of note apart from Clarcam if the suggestion is just to do with since both have gone chasing ?


The French Champion Hurdle?LaughLaugh This the same Gemix that was beat 61 lengths when it came to UK shores?
By:
tomdeane
When: 13 Jan 15 12:41
I love Clarcam and have backed him for the Arkle. Totally uncomplicated and a great jumper, as you say. I am worried about the weight concession being revoked at Cheltenham but think he'll run a big race.
By:
gutfeeling
When: 13 Jan 15 12:41
Always looked the type to do better chasing last season I felt, Was a big leggy unfurnished thing who Gordon ran as often as possible to get him mentally tuned up, Think you have the right 2 covered but I am toying with a cover of Court Minstrel who is only worth backing on decent going so I can forgive the last run on soft.

I think UDS is a great horse but would not be surprised one bit if they skip the Festival and go back to France, Those French premiums are a big incentive for pure French breds and the prize money is better.

Haigoa is one to note from this weekend, Won the fillies hurdle at Pau, Be surprised if no one tries to pick her up, If you missed the race it's worth checking out.
Good luck for today.
By:
TheCollector
When: 13 Jan 15 12:42
Clarcam beating Vautour lto was a fluke. Vautour was never going. The previous time they met Vautour gave it 12 pounds and farted all over him. Clarcam does not have the usual necessary hurdle rating to win an Arkle. Reminds me of Trifolium last year who got turned over when the gold medals were handed out.
By:
tomdeane
When: 13 Jan 15 12:47
I suspect Vautour is the better horse but as others have noted, Clarcam didn't look to be trying on his first run. The whole field let Vautour go and wins he liked.

Agree that we didn't see the real Vautour last time, but Clarcam beat the rest senseless. That is my angle. That at 12-1 a couple of weeks ago he looked a very big price. He might well hit the frame just by jumping well this year, and while I respect him greatly, I'm happy to take UDS on at Cheltenham. People have spoken about his jumping and the risks of him tipping up, but for me the bigger risk is how he'll cope with 60,000 people beforehand. He could easily boil over.
By:
TheCollector
When: 13 Jan 15 12:52
Vautour when he gave Clarcam 12 pounds and an 8 Length beating :

Made all, led narrowly early until extended advantage before 3rd, 3 lengths clear halfway, still travelling well and in command 2 out, very easily

So if Clarcam wasn't trying then you could argue that Vautour wasn't either as he won "very easily". Vautour rated a stone better over hurdles also.
By:
gutfeeling
When: 13 Jan 15 12:54
Score between them is 1-1 but only one of those has yet to put a foot wrong, Be foolish to dismiss his win as a fluke imo but you work away, Maybe you're onto something with all this fluke & fart talk.
By:
Wicketd
When: 13 Jan 15 12:58
in fairness to gemix when he came over here he clearly wasnt right, he drifted so badly in the betting and it suggested. un des sceaux has gone to his backyard and beaten him twice over trips that probably stretched him
By:
Wicketd
When: 13 Jan 15 12:58
and ran as it suggested*
By:
gutfeeling
When: 13 Jan 15 13:03
Gemix clearly didn't enjoy himself when he visited, I was merely pointing out how this horse has has beaten nothing has actually beaten a top class horse twice, Same horse smashed up Solwhit as well, If people think horses of his caliber are nothing then they are very hard  to please or just a bit simple.
By:
Wicketd
When: 13 Jan 15 13:06
no i am agreeing with you, my response was to thecollector
By:
gutfeeling
When: 13 Jan 15 13:08
I know, Sorry if you thought I was suggesting you didn't see my point, Funny that the man can easily give one horse the benefit of the doubt yet laugh at another, AP betting does cloud judgement eh Laugh
By:
TheCollector
When: 13 Jan 15 13:12
Gemix has won 8 out of 20 and you reckon he's top class? Each to their own.
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