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Weather and Going Updates

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Replies: 235
By:
tommycockles
When: 21 Feb 14 20:01
Thanks for the update Mr Eboue, much appreciated.
By:
Mister Westsound
When: 22 Feb 14 10:56

Feb 21, 2014 -- 7:52PM, Mr Eboue wrote:


Three days of very little rain. The odd shower but nothing serious.Daffodils and Crocusts peaking through the grass at Pitville park.


Surprised the bulbs just starting to show down there as up here the crocuses have been flowering for about 2 weeks and the first daffs are out this week. That is very early for West of Scotland but usually the Pitville bulbs are well ahead of where we are in festival week.

By:
bonnie
When: 22 Feb 14 12:22
whatever nature throws at us it can't be a bloody cold as last year - a nice mild week bathed in spring sunshine isn't too much to hope for.

not much fun drinking cold cider, mid-morning in the guiness village if its freeeeeeeeeezing cold.
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 22 Feb 14 12:45
rain starts tomorrow!
By:
ACStafford
When: 22 Feb 14 12:50
Forecast looks very good for the next couple of days with a bit of rain after that, but all in all it looks like a good chance to dry out the ground. What happens in the week running up to the Festival is obviously pivotal, but I don't think I'd want to be betting against good to soft at the moment.
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 22 Feb 14 17:47
Take a look at the 10 day forecast.

http://uk.weather.com/weather/10day-UKXX0032:1:UK

Searchng it for Cheltenham it reads the following;

Monday    Tuesday    Wednesday     Friday       Saturday             Sunday           Monday    Tuesday
Showers   Showers    Cloudy        Showers    Scattered showers   Scattered showers   Cloudy    Cloudy

with the recent wet spells this will just keep the water table topped up with not much there to dry it up.  It does say it will be windy tomorrow which will help a little.  My lads football team were due to play on the pitches near to the course today but it was called off as the ground was unplayable....no standing water just too sodden.
By:
ImSoLuckyLucky!
When: 22 Feb 14 17:53
Thank heaven Thursday is a quiet day

Laugh
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 22 Feb 14 18:00
ooppps sorry...Thursday...guess what..yep, showers!
By:
bonnie
When: 22 Feb 14 19:55
according to bbc website even the best forecasters cannot accurately predict weather more than a few days in advance, which website does anyone else look at ??
By:
ACStafford
When: 22 Feb 14 20:01
Metoffice is the only one worth looking at. Their five day forecast is pretty good, or was when I looked earlier. It's no good looking any further than five days forward, it's too unpredictable.
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 22 Feb 14 20:02
the one I have posted is usually very accurate...sometimes the days change (i.e. the rain comes in a day earlier or later etc but in the main stays fairly static.)
By:
Ekbalco
When: 22 Feb 14 20:05
Good to Soft is a certainty.
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 22 Feb 14 20:15
The bottom line is here that the clerke of the course will keep saying everything is hunky dory as his brief is to ensure the ground is perfect to maximise entries.  The last thing Cheltenham want is scaring off some trainers/owners/horses who would prefer to wait for aintree and better ground...so they will tell you they are bang on course for desired ground.  And who knows it could be.......

However, last year we had heavy going on trials day in January and the ground at the festival was soft......this year the ground on trials day was heavy and since we have had much more rain than last year.

Conclusion it will be at least soft....possibly soft, good to soft in some places
By:
sc1883
When: 24 Feb 14 07:35
according to the weather outlook, the next 16 days looking pretty good. im hoping its accurate, wouldnt mind the opening day being sunny 14c while sipping my pint in the guiness village!! http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/uk/Cheltenham,Gloucestershire
By:
Fallen Angel
When: 24 Feb 14 11:33
The key forecast has got to be on the day when please can it be sunny so we don't to get drenched enjoying the line-up in the Supreme Cool
By:
unclepuncle
When: 24 Feb 14 13:19
Good-to-soft does look very likely now if the 14-16 days forecasts are correct - though it may be pretty chilly for the meeting.
Will be interesting to see the turftrax map when it first appears next week.
By:
shockster
When: 24 Feb 14 13:21
WHEN WILL THEY TURN THE TAPS ON?????
By:
unclepuncle
When: 24 Feb 14 13:26
That's why the turftrax map will be interesting - he may yet have to water.Cry
By:
ACStafford
When: 24 Feb 14 15:05
If there was a market for whether Claisse will water this year, how would you price it up?
By:
the istabraq years
When: 24 Feb 14 19:28
Good to soft is like finding money in the street...I damp street but no worse.
By:
ImSoLuckyLucky!
When: 24 Feb 14 19:34
Today in Cheltenham
It was DRY
Bloody forecasters

I waiting for a trademen who is also waiting for a dry day to carry out repairs
Whats the point of these useless forecasters

Cry
By:
unclepuncle
When: 26 Feb 14 10:20
Has there been any mention from Claisse or anyone else of what the official going currently is??
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 26 Feb 14 11:03
sporadic heavy showers (although not for long over the past 24hr-36hrs)...forecast some better days but interrupted again with the odd shower over next few
By:
sintonian
When: 26 Feb 14 14:31
Current going is Soft all over, with Heavy on the XC course. Claisse says they could get an inch (25mm) between now and next Friday. Soft ground for day 1 looks likely?
By:
unclepuncle
When: 27 Feb 14 06:58
sintonian
26 Feb 14 14:31
Claisse says they could get an inch (25mm) between now and next Friday. Soft ground for day 1 looks likely?


My fingers are firmly crossed Sint.Grin
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Feb 14 07:37
Mine too Uncle.
A lot of My Tuesday bets will be suited by soft.
By:
marychain1
When: 27 Feb 14 08:24
I have a hunch Claisse will be getting his hose out at some point
By:
shockster
When: 27 Feb 14 09:23
Soft with good/soft patches.  XCountry soft with Heavy patches.   On Sky racing News this morning

Drying out!!!!!
By:
shockster
When: 27 Feb 14 09:51
Simon Claisse, clerk of the course at Cheltenham Racecourse talks about the ground ahead of the Festival:

"We've had our fair share of rainfall here, but interestingly when you compare September to now, this year and last year, the rainfall has been about the same over that period. This year, though, it's all come in the last six or seven weeks.

"It's looking in great order, particularly all the ground that we save from year to year to use only at the Festival, which we haven't set foot on since this time last year. If people are concerned about the damage done on the track on our [two] days in January, rest assured that there is no issue.

"If I was giving an assessment for racing today I'd probably call it soft, good-to-soft in places. Up until this morning there were some pretty strong signals for a drier period of weather [but] the latest update from our private forecaster John Kettley is that we are now likely to get up to an inch between now and the Friday of next week."
By:
unclepuncle
When: 27 Feb 14 10:06
CHELTENHAM basked in glorious sunshine on Wednesday, but clerk of the course Simon Claisse believes the ground is not measurably quicker than it was at the same time last week.

He said: "We haven't had a great deal of rain in the last seven to ten days, and if we were racing today I would call it "soft, good to soft in places" on both main courses, and "soft, heavy in places" on the cross-country course.

If it is still soft now after a week or more of mainly very mild, sunny and windy weather then with the constant bands of rain and scattered showers that are forecast for the next few days (did they get much overnight) I can't see it drying out appreciably. Be amazed if they water put it that way.
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 27 Feb 14 10:46
Shockster/unclepuncle.....where did you see that quote from Claisse. On the race course website it states he said it was soft and soft/heavy in places on the x-contry course.

Racecourse website;

Cheltenham's clerk of the course Simon Claisse is on guard against further rain with the track shaping up nicely ahead of the Festival in just under two weeks.

Like the rest of the country, Prestbury Park was hit by the foul weather over the last month or so but was bathed in glorious spring sunshine on Wednesday.

"Over the last 10 days we've not had a great deal of rain," said Claisse.

"It's looking in great order, particularly the seven to nine yards we save all year for the Festival.

"If I was assessing it today, I'd say it was officially soft on both courses, while the cross country is soft, heavy in places.

"You are warned by the Met Office not to look further than five or six days, as the weather can be so volatile. However, (forecaster) John Kettley has been in touch and he said there could be up to an inch of rain between now and Friday next week."


As for the fact did they get any rain over night......I was driving through Cheltenham at about 3am and it was windy and raining, lots of surface water on the roads.  With the water table so high at the moment it won't take much to sodden the ground again. It simply will not have the conditions to dry out a massive it amount...it drains well there as you know but that will just stop it getting heavy...  I think it will go the same as last year definately soft on the first day..perhaps drying as the week goes on, but if there is further rain during the festival it could get a bit softer.  With the new ground saved for the last day I dont think it will be heavy though.
By:
tommycockles
When: 27 Feb 14 10:55
Turftrax map from yesterday 2pm

.

http://maps.turftrax.co.uk/latestgoingreport.asp?course=Cheltenham
By:
bonnie
When: 27 Feb 14 11:21
looks promising on accuweather.com, "abundant sunshine" !!!, although this far away its guesswork rather than accurate forecasting !!!!
By:
shockster
When: 27 Feb 14 11:48
Sheriff mine came from a link on Twitter.
By:
shockster
When: 27 Feb 14 11:48
Sheriff mine came from a link on Twitter.
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 27 Feb 14 12:20
tommycockles.....thanks, that settles it.....soft!
By:
ACStafford
When: 27 Feb 14 12:21
That quote from Claisse (the good to soft in places one) is in the Racing Post today.
By:
unclepuncle
When: 27 Feb 14 12:48
The forecasts mainly suggest sunshine and showers with the odd heavier band between now and next weekend and then drier conditions. It looks certain be 'good to soft' or 'soft' and I'll be staggered if he waters before the Supreme.

I've lumped on 'soft' as it was the bigger price (9/4-4/1) and stakes saved on 'good to soft' and 4/5-8/11).
If it's 'good' or 'heavy' I'll be remortgaging.Cry
By:
marychain1
When: 27 Feb 14 13:00
I still think they'll be watering.

think about it. We've had the most ludicrous, ridiculous, stupid amount of rain imaginable - and yet after a couple of dry days there is already patches of good to soft?!

That's a measure of how quick Cheltenham drains.
By:
Shakepseare's Sheriff
When: 27 Feb 14 13:39
Turftrax state the going stick clicked at 5.9 on the old course and 5.4 on the new course (Heavy being 1-15 hard)....to my reckoning it is officially soft but just under good to soft. A bit more drying....if it gets the chance...will be good to soft perhaps some soft patches.
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