You got Hurricane Fly at 9/1? Didn't realise he got that big at any stage, seems crazy now. Was it just after he scrambled home first time out?

Nice looking bets on Faugheen Tory lets hope he goes for Neptune as race looks very winnable imo.

Thanks Stevo. Agree that the race looks very winnable - I don't like apache stronghold or his prep, not keen on ballyalton, hopefully the Tullow tank and Vautour both go supreme. Red Sherlock could be interesting.

Getting very very tempted to back the Tullow tank now for the supreme - if he was a Mullins horse he'd be half the price he is now

Have Vautour and Tullow backed in Supreme nr fb,back up to Irving Tory,think Tullow should go Supreme IMO maybe find out in few weeks at Leopardstown? Best way re Tullow is nr fb with Vic.

Boston Bob would have more chance if it was a non-runner. Can't jump, never ran over fences this season.

Faugheen 12/1 Neptune
Silviniaco Conti 8/1 Gold Cup
MTOY Xmas Hurdle won 11/10
Cue Card 3/1 Ryanair
£10 acca

Pity Cue Card is going for Gold Cup
Still don't understand why he is going in a race he probably won't even get placed in instead of a race he wold surely win
A day out for the owner I guess

I caved in and backed The Tullow Tank for the supreme @ 10/1 NRFB. Think it could be a monster

Congratulations Bally.  You've made it onto the Aftertimings thread.

Actually...had a further look at the World Hurdle and I could be wrong about Boston Bob. Very wrong. He is actually quite interesting

Had a small nibble at quevega, sprinter, bucks treble at 9/1 with BV. Last two are NRNB and that could look big come march

Should be....would piss in

Couple of cracking races at Leopardstown today, hoping for big run from Felix Yonger,and The Fly.

Think Mullins has winner still, but will he both run, dont see Felix Yonger over further myself?

Same here matey,not sure Felix needs step up tbh but will see who knows with Mullins. But do think winner is coming from Ireland.

Triumph Hurdle bet for me...

Pearl Castle 20/1 ew

Nice

Would you not be worried that Marito hasn't ran over fences this year and fell over fences in the Jewson last year?

Duh so he did!lol

Well...approximately 6 weeks to go and some nice bets being held by people on here. Looking at my own position leaves me with the following thoughts. Also put further detail into the bets. Most of these have been taken NRFB with the view to perhaps steaming in once NRNB opens up.

Supreme Novices

West Wizard 8/1 and 16/1

Only had one run so far and it was a disappointing debut. However, connections hold him in high regard and should be back out once the ground becomes firmer. Not a complete lost cause but at this stage I have written him off from there being any return. Also there is no NRFB concession held to this so if he wasn't to line up it's cash gone.

Arkle

Felix Yonger 10-1 NRFB
Mozoltov ew 25-1 NRFB
Caid Du Berlais 25-1 NRFB

The latter 2 will definitely not run and I would be surprised if Felix turned up. Soundly beaten last time and although there was an excuse about the ground he has won on soft/heavy before. You wonder why Mullins ran him if he was that anxious. Personally this race is wide open. Reading on other threads you would think that if Champagne Fever is "the chosen one" he's won it at declaration stage. I don't buy that and he is a very poor price based on what he has actually done over fences. Remember he was available at 11-1 ew top 5 the day before the Supreme with Hills and now he is 4-1 having clouted one at speed and won an egg and spoon over 2.5m. Also was clearly regarded as an inferior prospect for this race to Felix Yonger and given the way he has went that is disconcerting. However, it could well be that he blows away the field next time out at which case I'll take a re-look but at the moment has he got the quality required to be a hat trick Cheltenham Festival winner in 3 different races? The race doesn't have very many appealing horses though. Don't like Dodging Bullets, Hinterland, Grandouet (should run at Crufts) and Rock On Ruby is too old and going there with a single chase run.

Champion Hurdle

The New One 7-1 NRFB
My Tent Or Yours ew 7-1 NRFB

Happy with these two. Not much between them as we know and having seen all the trials, the only one that worries me is Hurricane Fly and it is now a decision whether to save on him. I strongly fancy Tent to be in the top 3 and the doubt I have with The New One is not the horse's ability (and his jumping) but the jockey who tends to get too nervous too soon and panics. Goes to the front on a lot of horses too early and would be there to be picked off if he chose to do this in the big one.

Neptune

The Tullow Tank ew 14-1 ew 11-1 both NRFB
Apache Stronghold ew 16-1 NRFB
Faugheen 11.5

I don't like Apache will turn up and hope he doesn't so I get the refund. Good horse but a very interrupted prep. Happy with Faugheen at the odds but wouldn't touch him at the current odds as he has yet to really race much over hurdles. I often see the 20l demolition of Josses Hill being quoted but there were no hurdles in that race. He needs to race against something decent next month for current odds to be justified. The Tullow Tank is the one I love for this race as he will definitely (in my opinion) be more suited to a smaller run Neptune than a ferocious Supreme where he would be taken off his feet then it might be too late to grind out the finish. I still expect him to run in this once connections have viewed the 2m 2f Deloitte.

RSA Chase

Shutthefrontdoor 25/1 and 16/1
Ballycasey 10/1 NRFB
Morning Assembly 16/1

Don't expect a result here at present. The former won't run, Ballycasey has only been seen once so who knows? and Morning Assembly is apparently heading straight there. If so, he'd have to become the first horse in 50 years to defy such an absence and that isn't happening especially coming off a defeat to Carlingford Lough who has only won 2 out of 12 chases. This race is wide-open at the moment and the Moriarty next month will reveal a lot more. Not keen on the British challengers.

Ryanair

Hidden Cyclone 33-1
Al Ferof 7-1 NRNB
Beneficient 8-1 NRFB
Baily Green 20-1 ew NRNB
Marito 10-1 ew NRNB

Don't think Hidden Cyclone will turn up in this but he should as he has no chance in a Champion Chase so could be cash going west. Al Ferof is the likely winner of this but probably goes to run in the Gold Cup when he should run here. NRNB so no risk. If ran here would start around 5-2/3-1. Benefficient again a doubt as to whether he runs in this but the way he won the Jewson would do me for this. No risk with the NRNB. The latter 2 were add ons in case the aforementioned 3 dont turn up. Baily Green was 2nd in the Arkle which is good form and overpriced and Marito was coming to be placed in the Jewson when he hit the deck. Race could cut up badly so I want these on my side.

World Hurdle

Salubrious ew 25-1
Annie Power 6-1 NRFB

Salubrious is overpriced on his Long Walk form plus he's been in top 3 of each Cheltenham run including a Festival romp last year. Going under the radar for this but prior to 2 out in the Long Walk he was swinging away after only a 7 day rest. Annie Power would win this for me if she ran here and I would be surprised if she didn't. Hasn't had the necessary test of speed experience for a Champion Hurdle and this race is easier. Better horse than Voler La Vedette who was on bridle 1f out when Big Bucks was at his peak and got outstayed and beaten by better horse - the best staying hurdler I have ever seen. He isn't anymore and this time Annie would be on bridle and move on past the old boy. If she doesn't run in this money back as promo again.

Triumph Hurdle

Pearl Castle ew 20-1 NRFB

Liked the turn of foot the other day at Doncaster, rated over 80 on the flat, has ran over a mile and a half and the trainer has won this. Good chance.


Albert Bartlett

Faugheen 8-1 NRFB
Oscar Rock ew 25-1 NRFB

I think Faugheen will run in the Neptune with Briar Hill running in this. Oscar Rock wants this trip and the trainer knows his onions when he comes to the Festival. Has a good horse called Urban Hymn but when pressed on where he was off to he mentioned Oscar Rock so that was nice to hear given I have been on for a couple of weeks now. Runs over 3m at Haydock next which will tell us more.   

Gold Cup

First Lieutenant 20-1 and e/w 12-1 NRNB
Harry Topper ew 33-1 NRFB
Lord Windermere ew 25-1 NRFB
Silviniaco Conti 40-1 for the KG/GC...treble stake laid off at 4-1 on here
Bobs Worth 7-2
Rocky Creek ew 50-1 NRFB
Al Ferof ew 14-1 NRNB

Became a trading race for me and the bets have been placed in this order. First Lieutenant I think holds a serious chance with his Cheltenham record and wants this trip but is he quite good enough? Harry Topper will stay all day but can't jump. Lord Windermere I thought would win the Hennessey and shorten but hasn't been as good as I thought. Silvinaico Conti has a big chance but I think will be placed rather than win as I think Bobs Worth will win again. Stay on up that hill to pip Silvi. Hopefully not though. Rocky Creek wont run so dosh back. Al Ferof...I must admit just put him in here "in case" as I backed him at 20-1 for Neptune and he went and won Supreme beating my Spririt Son.

Few more trials to go and a lot could change....couple more races/horses to get involved with as well on my mind

Great: Irving (Supreme Novices) at 32/1, Rock On Ruby (Arkle) 16/1.

Debateable: Benefficient (Champion Chase) 27/1.

Clingin on in there: Harry Topper (Gold Cup) 80/1.

Gone T1ts Up: Boston Bob (Gold Cup) 28/1