Cheltenham Festival
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Just A Par - RSA.
Just A Par - RSA.
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Was impressed with how Wonderful Charm stayed on at Wincanton. Taken a bit of 16/1 RSA !!
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Wonderful Charm will not be RSA bound. This market will only be shaken up when African Gold puts them all to the sword next weekend.
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Glossy - why are you so clear Wonderful Charm wont run in the RSA. He ran in the World Hurdle in March as a 5 YO and his first two runs over fences have been 2m6 and 2m5. Looks all ends up like an RSA campaign to me. And yes that is my pocket taking hence my interest in your statement.
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Only reason he won't go to Cheltenham Festival is if they wish to keep him to flat tracks. His next race is the Feltham at Kempton. They could also opt for the Jewson which is now a Grade 1 chase this year. Tbh, i've backed him as a saver more than anything else.
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Think we saw a good RSA candidate in Ireland yesterday,and available at much bigger odds!!
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No inside info. Just a strong hunch he may be Jewson bound. I could be completely wide of the mark of course!
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For example, Nicholls has said that his ideal trip is 2m5f at a flat track. That being the case, I'd be surprised if he thinks he could get any benefit from being upped in trip at a testing track like Cheltenham.
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Thanks for feedback. I like the horse a lot and based on this I am going to get on him for Jewson too and switch my RSA focus to Don Cossack.......please dont tell me Gordon Elliot thinks he would be best at 2m4 going right handed on a flat track !
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Haha. Don Cossack is an impressive horse but I've already nailed my colours to the post with African Gold for the RSA. Monster in the making IMO.
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All the best with both if them.
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*of
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Who, Budde?
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Road to Riches Sint,was thoroughly impressed with his jumping and will be better I feel over a tad further than the distance yesterday.
If you aint seen it mate,take a look,be interested in another opinion. Still available at 40 odd on here. |
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Ah yes see that one. I was impressed too. Trainer is a bit of negative for me as his horses tend to go off the boil after Xmas but he did say that horse needs to have breaks between his races and is best fresh.
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Noel Meade's Road To Riches (11/4) made a decent impression when doing it from the front in the Naas Annual Membership Beginners Chase.
Meade said: "I was worried after the way he finished up last season and we've changed things a bit. The main thing is I'm trying to keep him fresh and you probably won't see him too often. |
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umm,maybe next race at 3m, and then the RSA??
i'd settle for that. Glad you were impressed as well Sint,thought he jumped lovely and that's the main thing with these novices,confidence gained jumping well is so important. |
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Entered for the Grade2 at Newbury next weekend. It actually looks quite a weak race, 7 entries, by usual standards.
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getting a little concerned he may not go 3m this season,his next entries are 2 and a half, may need to cover with the Jewson nrfb.
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if victor decide to price him up
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Bobsworth won the same race Budde before winning the RSA. I think Denman did too. Basically, many RSA horses run/win over 20f during their season.
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very true my friend,i do worry though.
I shall calm down a tad mate |
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Newbury race is 3miles .. you must have been referring to Road To riches.
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yey,sorry mate,Road to Riches entered next over 2m4 in the Drimore chase.
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Runs tomorrow, should win by 10 lengths + if he is as good as trainer says.
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Game back on
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Yep, get those vouchers out of the bin!
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yep, very impressed with that, strangely he actually travelled better on his first run but badly blew up, he looks a right old galloper, just a question as to whether he's classy enough I suppose.
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worrying from nicholls, talking about rock creekesque hennessy run next season, won't want to be blowing the handicap mark by performing well in an RSA
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Never going better than at the end of the race. Green as grass still. Third Intention a fair yardstick. Some cause for optimism for RSA punters there.
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If he targets the race, when asked he sais maybe and then started going on about the hennessy last year, he's got a strong hand in the staying novice chaser division too.
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hennessy next season even
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Basically, anything that ran on the Chepstow card back in October trained by PFN was effectively schooling in public. Easter Day, who I backed that day, went out like a light. Today he hacked up in the Novice handicap and to quote the commentator at the end of the race ''He looks like he has improved and has been well backed to do so''.
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Just A Par opened his account over fences with an ultimately facile success in the RSA Worcester Novices' Chase.
RSA Chase Antepost: Just A Par 20/1 Just A Par leads Third Intention over the final fence Related ContentLive horse racing resultsRacecards and formLatest non-runnersLatest video formFree £5 bet every week Runner-up behind At Fishers Cross in a Grade One novice hurdle at Aintree in the spring, the Paul Nicholls-trained Just A Par was beaten into second by Shotgun Paddy when odds-on for his chasing debut at Chepstow in late October. Sent off the 5/4 favourite to go one place better in this Grade Two contest, the six-year-old disputed the running from the start under Daryl Jacob but was briefly headed by Ardkilly Witness exiting the back straight. He was soon back on terms, however, and there were virtually four in line jumping the first fence in the home straight. Profiles P F Nicholls Just A Par (IRE) Third Intention emerged as the only serious threat to Just A Par between the final two fences, but was eventually shaken off, with the market-leader coming home 14 lengths clear, as Nicholls continued his domination of this event. Sky Bet cut the winner from 20/1 to 14/1 for the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival in March. Nicholls said: "He's still as green as grass and you'd hope in a year's time he might be back here for the Hennessy. "He did get beaten at Chepstow, but he had a clear round and got that in the bank. "I don't think he's a Feltham horse, I could see him coming back here on Aon Chase day, and you'd definitely be thinking about the RSA because he was bought to be a nice staying chaser - next year's Hennessy is already half in my mind." |
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Duffy, re avoiding the RSA to save his handicap mark.. the handicapper ain't stupid or lenient. Rocky Creek for example is only rated 3lb lower than this years RSA winner, and the RSA is actually a good pointer to the race anyway.
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Yep, I knew that sounded bonkers as soon as I wrote it
 as usual |
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Lot better,still very green but no doubt an improver that will keep improving as the season goes.
Might be a tad concerned as a backer that they are talking next season already which tells me they are thinking he may not reach top novice level this season,especially after hearing what Nicholls said after. Still nowt wrong with having him at decent odds for the RSA imo. |
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Sticking my RSA 25/1 betting slip back together with tape as we speak. Loved how he got back on the bridle and looked classy in patches, more to come.
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Always makes sense to give these novices another chance,and this one certainly deserved another go, very green again today,and at some point hes gonna make a real goodun imo. Not sure when though!! |
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He'll be 7 next March which is usually a good age for an RSA horse. But you can see he still needs to mature.
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20/1 for the RSA after yesterday's performance looks like very good value to me.
He looks a big baby, you'd think there'd be loads of improvement to come on what is already a very decent level of form. With the trainer already talking in terms of AON, RSA & Hennessey I've had to include him in my Festival 'portfolio' - which is a lot fuller than it usually is at this stage of the season.  RSA Chase : Just A Par 2pts @ 20/1 Good luck backers! |