Cheltenham Festival
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Quevega
Quevega
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BJG
Thanks for the update  |
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http://www.irishexaminer.com/news/ruby-tips-bob-for-festival-glory-184479.html#.T0Pe2WRZAzc.twitter
Forgot the link   |
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 Just the sort of thing to cheer you up on a Tuesday night  |
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Thanks very much for that BJG - a fantastic watch and I would have never have seen it if you had not put it up.
I am sure Ruby is smirking a little bit talking about H Fly and Quevega Anyone think Ruby is value for festival jocket at 1.7 - only really BG to take him on isnt there ? |
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Cheers BJG - only 20 days until we fingers crossed get to see her on the track again
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Big Bucks - Hurricane Fly - Quevega look nailed on - that would go close to winnin it for him on their own
Another 20 odd rides on top of that with the pick of WPM's and PN's and 1.7 looks very fair |
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Ruby possibly is value at that price but I would not dream of backing a leading jockey before the morning of the first day.
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Walsh must be penciled in for a minimum of two / three winners with all the combinations of short prices. Some of them will get turned over but some of them wont. There is the possibility that Quevega could be the shortest one of the lot. He will have competitive rides in the handicaps plus a live chance in the gold cup. 1.7 looked good value but agree with the comments that I would rather back on the day.
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1.7 is a gift from the Gods, he should be 1.4.
No way on Earth does Quevega or Bucks get beat, Hurricane Fly a marginally less confident pick but that's only because until he's cantering to the start I alwasy think he won't show, so there's 3 certianties, chuck in the best Mullins and Nicholls has as others have said and he's a shoo in for 5 winners, that should be enough..... |
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He's got good chances with those above, Boston Bob, Kauto Star, Join Together & Al Ferof before we get to the handicaps, bumper, Triumph and any outside rides. But I echo the others about when to back.
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Willie Mullins reports Quevega to be firing on all cylinders as she bids to land the OLBG Mares Hurdle (for the David Nicholson Trophy)for the fourth successive time at Cheltenham next month.
The eight-year-old will again be making her seasonal reappearance at the Festival, and is pleasing her handler again after a brief scare. "She's in great form. She was in terrific form, ready to run, about three weeks ago then just went out of sorts a little bit so I gave her ten days easy. Now she's back good and strong again," Mullins told At The Races. "I wasn't going to run her - I had her ready so I had nothing to do coming up to Cheltenham other than keep her ticking over. I like to get them ready then if something happens you can give them a bit of a break before building then up totally for the Festival." Mullins admits heading straight to Cheltenham suits Quevega. "I remember two years ago I ran her in a schooling hurdle and she came back lame on the same leg that had her out the previous year and I got such a fright I said I'd never run her again before the Festival and it seems to work. She takes her training well that way and I'm very pleased with her," he added. "The breeder told me years ago the family keep improving with age and I can't disagree with him. She's certainly as good as she was anyhow." The more u put on the more u get back |
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BJG I like your last sentence
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Ok, assuming VLV isn't going for the Mares, who do we think will be best of the rest behind Quevega?
Market suggests it will be one of: Our Girl Salley Kentford Grey Lady violin Davis Alasi The collateral form between OGS, KGL and VD is hard to work out. I was initially thinking Violin Davis but she benefitted from a good Ruby ride, who will obviously be on Quevega. Alasi has twiced it twice and failed (8th and 4th) Any thoughts? |
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OGS for me. The race at Ascot was odd - half a mile further than the mares hrd at the Festival but turned in to a sprint. Conditions would not have suited OGS but she was still best at the weights iirc. That said, I don't think there's a lot between them.
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KGL 2nd and OGS 3rd imo - think they will fill the places
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Obviously we are all huge Quevega fans but I am really surprised her price has held around 1.69 level on here. Now that Unaccompanied and VDV are not running I make Quevega about 10 pounds ahead of anything else in the race and potentially more than that. If this was any other race we would already be looking at 4/7 at best or shorter.
I know until she walks out on the day there will be still be slight worries about her fitness but looks the weakest races of the meeting. |
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Unaccompanied entered
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Form Horse Age Owner Trainer
43133(1) A LITTLE SWIFTER (IRE) 6 Dr Clive Layton & Ken Lawrence Neil King 0111U1 ALASI 8 Shully Liebermann Paul Webber 1134-12 BABY SHINE (IRE) 6 P A Philipps, T S & Mrs L Redman Lucy Wadham 1P2233 BELLE DE FONTENAY (FR) 7 George Baker & Partners George Baker 143111 BLAZING TEMPO (IRE) 8 Susannah Ricci Willie Mullins IRE 215153 CANDELITA 5 Pedro Rosas Jo Hughes 14-5245 CLOUDY SPIRIT 7 Norma Harris Reg Hollinshead 3-31533 DARE TO DOUBT 8 Jim Ennis Willie Mullins IRE 2146F4 DORABELLE (IRE) 7 Brendan Richardson Donald McCain 3F1444 GOLDEN SUNBIRD (IRE) 8 Jim Mernagh Paul Nolan IRE 22P33(3) HIMAYNA 8 The Futures Bright Partnership Frank Sheridan 116231 IXORA (IRE) 6 The Ixora Racing Partnership Jamie Snowden 30-3241 KELLS BELLE (IRE) 6 Brian,Gwen,Terri & Kelly Griffiths Nicky Henderson 0-53112 KENTFORD GREY LADY 6 Ian Bare Emma Lavelle 11-U143 LIFESTYLE 6 The Turf Club & David Ford Nicky Henderson 633211 LUCIA BAY 7 Drew & Ailsa Russell Lucinda Russell 660313 OUR GIRL SALLEY (IRE) 7 Mrs A O'Neill Prunella Dobbs IRE 3011/1-1 QUEVEGA (FR) 8 Hammer & Trowel Syndicate Willie Mullins IRE 31300-6 SANTERA (IRE) 8 Jason Tucker Tony Carroll 314142 SHOP DJ (IRE) 7 Arthur Craigie Peter Fahey IRE 1-21113 SWINCOMBE FLAME 6 Yeo Racing Partnership Nick Williams 41-3412 TEMPEST RIVER (IRE) 6 Fly Like The Wind Partnership Ben Case F TERRE DU VENT (FR) 6 Simon Clarke Tom George 26656(0) THE STRAWBERRY ONE 7 Kykie Allsopp David Arbuthnot 12-4114 UNACCOMPANIED (IRE) 5 Moyglare Stud Farms Ltd Dermot Weld IRE 4/611-45 VEILED 6 Pump & Plant Services Ltd Nicky Henderson 23-1331 VIOLIN DAVIS (FR) 6 Andrew Polson Paul Nicholls 501-030 WHAT A CHARM (IRE) 5 Chris Jones Arthur Moore IRE 28 entries 8 Irish-trained |
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Unaccompanied is only likely to line up in the OLBG Mares' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival if Quevega does not take part.
Dermot Weld's Grade One-winning five-year-old was the surprise name among the 28 entries for the race better known as the David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle. The Willie Mullins-trained Quevega has ruled the roost in the Grade Two for the past three years and despite her unusual preparation of heading to Cheltenham without the aid of a prior run, is currently odds-on favourite to make it four in a row. Unaccompanied would at least give her something different to think about but Stan Cosgrave, racing manager for the owners, Moyglare Stud, said: "Dermot put her in just in case something happened to Willie Mullins' good mare. "It's doubtful she'll run, but if the good filly doesn't run then she would. "It's just a safety valve. It's unlikely, but you never know." A total of 28 mares are entered, with last year's Fred Winter winner What A Charm, Lanzarote Hurdle winner Swincombe Flame and Our Girl Salley engaged. Alasi, Kentford Grey Lady and Violin Davis are also entered. |
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Supposing they run Unaccompanied and she beats Quevega. That would be a really popular one.
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Cowardly attitude IMO. Weld ran scared of Dunguib 2 years ago and his horse ran instead in what turned out to be the stronger race. Not that I care, it's only the Mares race and I have yet to have a bet in it and am very unlikely to change that in the near future.
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Unaccompanied is very short considering that she may not run in the DN mares hurdle. She is effectively 2nd favourite at the prices, but will only run if Quevega doesn't (according to the above quote). The prices look like something fishy to me, the race is only 10 days away now
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