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Cheltenham Festival

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Ekbalco
30 Jan 11 08:28
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Date Joined: 30 Jan 03
| Topic/replies: 7,304 | Blogger: Ekbalco's blog
I was there yesterday and after reviewing the tapes last night I confirm my initial impression that we witnessed yesterday not only ,comfortably ,the best staying hurdle perfomance of the season ,but the best staying performance in my memory.
The beast was awesome,pulled double all the way,and could have won by a distance with any urgency from the saddle.With the same conditions in March and in the same form he will be the new wearer of the Staying Crown.
His improvement this season has been phenomenal and shows no sign of abating - has the most beautiful head, with those big lop ears that often signify the most genuine of beasts.
Quite literally a breath-taking performance.

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Replies: 77
By:
GI MAC
When: 30 Jan 11 09:59
Quite a compliment Ekbalco, considering the stayers we have had around in the past few years.

I must admit he was hugely impressive, they way he just galloped away from the field was breathtaking, who knows how much more is to come.

The Stayers was not looking much of a race up until yesterday, now it is one to look forward too. Big Bucks has a very plausible challenger. I thought Nicholls was a bit flipant with his remarks on Grand Cru, he has got to be worried.
By:
Autocue
When: 30 Jan 11 10:28
Certainly a brilliant performance Ekbalco. I think the chink in Big Buck's armour is that he shapes like a very high class chaser who prefers little fences (in the form of hurdles). Grands Crus looks an out and out hurdler and I'm convinced he has the ability to give Big Buck's the biggest fright of his life. There is no doubt in my mind he can get him out of his comfort zone. Grands Crus is like lighting over the flights and he has that determined low head carriage you look for in a stayer as it increases the efficiency of their breathing. Let's hope they both get there fit and well as the World Hurdle was lit up yesterday.
By:
cryoftruth
When: 30 Jan 11 10:36
I fancy Grand Crus to beat Big Bucks, in fact it may be Big Bucks, like everything else this season, will struggle to get Grand Crus off the bit.

Each time Grand Crus goes to the races he canters around without any apparent effort and wins in very facile fashion. if he is not a champion, he is giving a pretty decent impersonation of one.
By:
Autocue
When: 30 Jan 11 11:20
The way he was sawing on the bit so far out reminded me of Dorans Pride who was one of the easiest winners of the stayers' hurdle you would ever see.
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 30 Jan 11 11:29
In an era of Baracouda, Iris' gift, inglis drever and Big bucks...

One comfortable win and suddenly he's the best stayer of all time?
By:
abbott
When: 30 Jan 11 12:03
Not the best stayer of all time but he was extremly impressive yesterday. Whilst the race of the week has looked like being teh Champion Hurdle this really looks like one of the most exciting match races. Since Baracouda and Iris Gift.
I for one cant wait!!
By:
wellchief
When: 30 Jan 11 12:14
He did look mightily impressive but you do have to question what he beat.

None of the principle World Hurdle market leaders were there, like Big Bucks, Mourad, possibly Oscar Whisky, Punchestowns, Khyber Kim, Karabak etc.

I think it looked more impressive than anything Big Bucks has done, but Big Bucks only ever does enough to win; and I can see that happening in the World Hurdle - not beating Grands Crus by much but enough to get the job done.
By:
worcesterwilly
When: 30 Jan 11 12:19
There is a very interesting line of form between Big Bucks and Grand Crus through Fair Along.

BB beat Fair Along by 37 and 34 lengths respectively in their last 2 Cheltenham Festival meetings and by a very similar margin at Newbury.Fair Along is as tough and consistent as they come and therefore a useful yardstick to assess form.

On strict reading of yesterdays race - where GC beat FA by a very similar margin - you'd have to say GC was within 3-4 lbs of BB on the form book.

Now,the style of running of BB may negate some of the logic however in a 3 mile race I believe actual form reading to be preference to sectional or other timings as the style of the race can vary so much.

My reading of GC is that if he can travel as well as he did yesterday h could be away and gone IF BB hits one of those flat spots that have become a part of his make up.

Could be the race of the Festival imho!
By:
Steeplechasing
When: 30 Jan 11 12:27
Hugely impressive viaibly (assisted, subliminally at least, by his colour) and the WH cash for him midweek suggested the stable expected yesterday's performance.  My only reservation would concern the ground. I'd rather see him on a quicker surface before coming to a conclusion on his talent.
By:
bigben the horseman
When: 30 Jan 11 12:45
Grands Crus looked unbelievably good yesterday. i was there and it was a breathtaking performance. Like a poster on here has already said if he isn't a champion he is doing a good job of looking like one! I think this horse will win the World Hurdle. I no thats only my opinion and I really respect Big Bucks and what he has done when I say this. The main reason for my opinion is based on how quick and accurate the horse jumps. If Big Bucks jumps sloppily this fella will punish him. My one reservation is his ability to handle spring ground like he has the winter ground. If he does it could be the end of Big Bucks magnificent unbeaten record. Fantastic for the Staying Hurdle division and racing anyway! Roll on the festival.
By:
GI MAC
When: 30 Jan 11 13:24
Steeple, if I read your post correctly, you think were all being suckered into belieivng that was impressive because the horse is a grey?
By:
tomdeane
When: 30 Jan 11 13:51
He was majestic, wasn't he?

I agree with the original poster about it being the most impressive staying performance of recent times. He was tanking throughout the entire race and beat some really good horses without even coming out of second gear. I would imagine he probably could have run another half-mile without blowing, too, the way he came up the hill.

For me it was one of those moments that just screamed champion. In that sense it reminded me of the way Denman destroyed everything he faced in the season when he won his Gold Cup; he just appeared to be in a bulldozing league of his own. Horses make fools of us all the time, but I honestly don't see Big Buck's living with this fellow. Besides, if they are worried about him, I'd have though Scu can track him before pouncing late as he looks to have more instant speed to me.
By:
Steeplechasing
When: 30 Jan 11 14:07
GI Mac, it reads as it reads, it's how you interpret it, I suppose. Subliminally is the key word, I think.
By:
duffy
When: 30 Jan 11 14:11
After yesterday i actually think that 3/1 is still too big.....but will be much the same on the day, BB'S huge reputation and the fear factor he instills in plenty will hold his price up....any lesser horse than BB and i think grand crus would now be fav.he pulled for so long and visibly looked full of running at the end.....BB hasn't raced against a horse that is still going forward to that extent at the end of his races....as to what did he beat.....i'd say ...pretty much the same level of horse that big bucks does.I know the ground is a bit of a concern but you do get the impression that connections are ultra confident they've got the real deal.
By:
GI MAC
When: 30 Jan 11 14:37
Thats how I interpreted it Steeple, cannot believe I would be thinking any diferently if the horse wasn't grey.
By:
Ekbalco
When: 30 Jan 11 15:14
Interesting discussion chaps and it's flattering that many knowledgeable heads appear to share the same view as me.
He absolutely annialated a field of high 140/low 150 staying hurdlers yesterday and on that piece of form he looks unbeatable to me in the WH.
However,March is another day and the big issue for me is the ground - on Chelters good to firm I don't think he would run.The ground y'day was like cold porridge,very cold porridge - it will not be like that come March.
Nicholls post race comments were disrespectful and has, in a strange way, made me more pro-GC and I'm looking forward to him thumping BB.
By:
Autocue
When: 30 Jan 11 16:50
Pipe quoted today saying he's not worried about the ground as Cheltenham's policy nowadays is to ensure it is safe jumping ground.
As for Nicholls' disrespectful comments I don't know what he said, but I do know he was disrespectful to Imperial Commander after the 2009 Betfair chase. It could be fear masquerading as arrogance. I don't mean that disrespectfully. We're all human and express our emotions in different ways.
Everything depends on Grands Crus repeating the feat. If he does he surely wins and his last three runs give me confidence his performance trend is upwards.
By:
PeddlersCross
When: 30 Jan 11 17:41
It was visually very impressive but the horse has won 2 handicaps and a grade 2, BB has 2 world hurdles in the bag and will make Grand Crus look ordinary come March, not complaining with the better price now on BB tho
By:
flyingbolt
When: 30 Jan 11 18:08
There is a slight problem with that reasoning,Peddlers.

When Big Bucks went into his first World Hurdle he had won a handicap and......err, the Cleeve Hurdle.
By:
IlikeBIGBUCKSandicannotlie
When: 30 Jan 11 18:25
lol at best staying performance in memory, did you only start watching racing last week or something?
By:
Iris of mayfair
When: 30 Jan 11 18:29
Is Ekbalco, Philip Larkin or has he been fkud up by his parents?
By:
Steeplechasing
When: 30 Jan 11 19:08
GI Mac, I think it's a bit like watching football - if there's player with blond hair or a shaved head, he'd better be decent because he'll be noticed by everyone throughout the match.  I've no doubt whatever that GC is a proper horse when there's cut in the ground and would not be at all surprised to see him beat BB (though I think Khyber Kim, if he runs, could come late and do both of them).

But when a short-priced favourite is also a grey and of a pretty striking build too, everyone's eye is drawn(much more easily than if he were bay or brown)to how he travels through a race and to his jumping - two of the factors consistently mentioned about yesterday.

Anyway, we can do with all the superstars we can get, so I hope he'd capable of striding out with the same purpose and rhythm on good ground.  Going by his action, I have a slight suspicion that he will always be at his best with cut, but we will see.
By:
pantom
When: 30 Jan 11 19:10
Other than punchestowns name me a genuine 160+ horse that big bucks has beaten? Truth is we will find out how good Big Bucks is now. I personally think Grands Crus will beat him, but then again ive always doubted what Big Bucks has achieved simply due to a lack of credible opponents, and thats why i backed Grand Crus e/w at 16s a month ago.

If he was the best horse in training...why was it an afterthought to send him back over hurdles? I doubt you would see binocular put over fences....
By:
TD_Gunner
When: 30 Jan 11 19:12
Will be dissapointed if this beast doesn't beat Big Buck's, he was just so impressive on Saturday, don't think Big Buck's will be able to handle him.
By:
GI MAC
When: 30 Jan 11 19:43
Aye, I know what you mean Steeple. Saying that I think we'd still all be impressed if GC was a bay or a chestnut.

I agree on the ground issue, he does have some knee action, but we'll never know until he's tried on decent spring ground. They said the same about MDH if I recall.
By:
penzance
When: 30 Jan 11 19:47
185+,183p their TFRs.
By:
paulo47
When: 30 Jan 11 19:58
And errr...how many years was it that BB ran at the start of his jumping career with at least a  'soft' in the going ??? Amazingly 2 , with 18 races !  and given their hurdling styles which horse might be more comfortable on better ground , and more importantly fresh ground that can be watered after the start of the Festival. As MP says ' as long as its safe ground '.
By:
Howdi
When: 30 Jan 11 22:05
lets have evens the bucks then gents Love
By:
buddeliea
When: 31 Jan 11 17:42
rather have 3's on GC
By:
tweedledumbtweedletwat
When: 31 Jan 11 18:51
evs now
By:
flushgordon
When: 31 Jan 11 19:06
this is tremendous the banker of the meeting at evens ,keep betting grand cru chaps if big bucks comes of the bridle i will be surprised.
By:
Joist
When: 31 Jan 11 19:33
Where does people's Big Buck's confidence come from?

I'm not financially invested in either Grand Crus or BB, but it's undeniable that Grand Crus put in a top drawer performance Saturday, which is backed up on the ratings and gives him, with expected improvement, a real crack at Big Buck's. He beat some really solid yardsticks on Saturday, the ability of which is very similar to that of the horse which Big Buck's has been turning over time and time again.

So have I missed something? I must admit I think the prices are about right, based mainly on the fact that BB has been there, done it, and is a proven unbeaten champion. But I for one do not think him unbeatable in the slightest, I think he's made hay out of a weak division and has never faced a horse of Grand Crus' ability.
By:
buddeliea
When: 31 Jan 11 19:37
no bankers at Cheltenham
By:
PFtrader
When: 31 Jan 11 19:41
Well if they repeat the tactics on Grands Crus the last twice he has ran at Cheltenham, when he has powered on down the hill I suspect they will definitely get Big Buck's off the bridle. The injection of pace he has shown at that stage of his races has been impressive, and I believe it will catch BB out if they repeat these tactics, although at the same time I do wonder whether that might ultimately play into the hands of BB on the long run from the second last to the last.

A cracking contest in store nevertheless.
By:
cammy glasgow
When: 31 Jan 11 19:43
back the 2 of them large SIMPLES ??? its a match and as we all know as budd says cheltenham is a graveyard for shorties , so just back the 2 ov em ?????Cool
By:
buddeliea
When: 31 Jan 11 19:44
mourad?? CG?
By:
Autocue
When: 31 Jan 11 19:45
Bit of a cop out when Grands Crus will win.
By:
cammy glasgow
When: 31 Jan 11 19:48
i personally will stick with BUCKS and no one but no one will talk me off him evs CHARRGEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
but sensible for some to save on the grey but not me @ this moment in timeLaugh
By:
CVByrne
When: 31 Jan 11 19:52
I'll do a forecast Grand Crus - Big Buck's just to cover.
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