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Does Sayif read so very differently from Hellvelyn, whom we are all watching with interest?
I think if there is an appetite for Stimulation (same stud) and an appetite for Hellvelyn, at the upcoming foal sales, then Sayif inches a little closer to consideration perhaps. Obviously his fee would need to move as there is competition as Wily suggests. However this is the 1st season game we are talking about and by its very nature there is only ever a limited ammount of competition! Prima, I take your point about a Harbour Watch Filly - and believe me I am going to try and avoid using him, but is there any scenario that confirms your calculations as ever avoidable? ![]() |
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how does Foxwedge at £7.5k interest you PotM? Showcasing at 4.5k has put me off phoning.
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PD - I cant really argue your point about filly returns but I'm struggling to see why HW would be any different to any other sire in this bracket. I've a mare produced a lovely acclamation colt, I dont want to spend 35k so say I pick the 'safest' bet in Dark Angel - his fillies have NEVER produced a fillies median sale price above your 14k. Name some names.
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truehoncho, I would imagine there must be movement aplenty in Showcasing's fee - unless ofcourse there are about to be 20 odd beauties skipping around Park Paddocks shortly, which somehow I doubt.
Any horse standing under 10k interests me! It is hard to place the 3 times raced crock against a proven Gp1 horse who raced often and consistently but I suppose that is what we get to do as at least we are starting with the same fee. My F.R. reservations are pitted agaist plenty of Harbour Watch ones. My guess is that Foxwedge could do a Really commercial looker. I think if you are happy with Fastnet and a reverse shuttler and a slightly 'workmanlike' pedigree then there is room for a punt with Foxy. |
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I just read that Showcasing got more mares in his second season than his first which may explain the price.
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Oops pressed reply a bit quick!!
was going to say that having 230+ foals in 2 seasons must give him a chance. |
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Spoke to an Auzzie friend of mine the other day who thought Foxwedge should be 10k-12k +, so guess he could be considered an interesting punt.
looks like there will be plenty of competition at that "commercial" 7-10 level which is a nice change. |
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I was tickled by the fee asessment for Foxwedge from your Aussie chum. Is he particularly well qualified to be followed when it comes to evaluating the fee structures of our stallion industry up here?
I know I am not remotely qualified when it comes to the prices they chose to levy in the Antipodes ![]() |
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Bye the Bye. My Juddmonte invitation for Dec Sales viewing appeared yesterday and there appeared to be a lack of Observatory and Three Valleys on their roster.
But why oh why was there an ad for Dylan Thomas in yesterdays EBN? Surely he is off on his travels? |
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Was just trying to start a first draft of matings for my mares and wondered if anyone has kept a list of all the new 2013 sires going to stud and their newly released fees?
There are some that spark my interest...(BBreath, Power, Foxwdege) And there are some that dont float my boat...(Dragon Pulse, Sir Pracelott, Elzaam) But if anyone has a fairly complete list for GB and IRE it would be a big help! Thanks |
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Not a complete list Wily, but I think most of the new ones are here:
Sepoy £15,000 Helmet € 10,000 Casamento € 5,000 Bated Breath £8,000 Frankel £125,000 Harbour Watch £7,500 Mayson £8,000 Excelebration € 22,500 Power € 12,500 Requinto € 5,000 Caspar Netscher € 7,500 Nathaniel £20,000 Foxwedge £7,500 Dragon Pulse € 6,000 Famous Name € 4,000 Born To Sea € 10,000 There's also the likes of Debussy, Sayif, Delegator, Elzaam and probably a few others |
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Thanks JohnnyM, that's a help. Is it me, or does Excelebration seem really good value at that? especially since they've put Exceed and Excel up in price.
Just had a look at the Foxwedge video clip. Looks interesting. |
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Been a looking today in Newmarket.
Anyone seen any of them too? |
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yeap seen a few in newmarket
mayson -liked him alot harbour watch - leggy and all over the place.very poor conformation not a great example . nathanial- light condition ,nice horse ,taller than u would think frankel - super star -looks the business ,again like nathanial taller than you think b breath -again bad walker and poor conformation -disappointing |
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Well sammy, we are quite close I think!
Mayson, my fave but oh so dodgy off fore. Harbour Watch, Not preposessing very typical Acclamation no walk but not horrendous conformation just a bit ord. Nathaniel. Correct, really walks, loads of quality, slightly plain head and obviously no place to go with a backward mare. Frankel, off games so not seen. Not an isolated case I gather! Bated Breath. Distant View knees but not dreadful. Looked a bit like the late maturer he is. Possiblity to get a nice foal I think but certainly not nailed on to do so. Any more for any more? |
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PM, can you elaborate Distant View knees please, you may or may not guess why, ta
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proxy, this is perhaps Mr and Mrs Donna territory really as they have seen more horses than me over the years.
I think it is perhaps more correct to term tham Irish River knees, well Seven Springs certainly. She was an horrendously offset creature and Distant View was bad and got plenty in the same mould. A horse with knees that are set on with the joint plates off the horizontal I suppose is the best way of describing it to the layman - which I am sure you are not - Often the limb will then deviate along the same line and you will have knock knees and a non verticle cannon/shin below. Often the knees just seem to be crooked in isolation and the forward movement appears nice and clean. I would say that Bated Breath gets quite close to acceptably offset in my opinion, but it is another nail in his coffin for me perhaps. |
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So where does all this leave us with the firstseasoners for next year? Will anybody be getting involved at all?
Has anybody had the chance to see Delegator or Foxwedge yet? |
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Thanks for all the comments on the sires which I always find very informative
Foxwedge still on Oz but will parade at the Feb sale. Already jumped and booked him for my mare as he seems by a long way to have the biggest upside relative to price for a blue collar breeder like me. |
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perry, i think you talk a lot of sense. It is getting more and more likely that Foxwedge is the way forward.
Does his fee move atall? |
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I dont want to say on public forum but am sure you can guess from 7500 advertised fee
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Thanks PM, sounds like legs the opposite different direction to the 'Was there really nothing else that may have held your foal back' out of a distant view mare
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Gosh Proxy, that is a bit cryptic! I am not sure quite what you mean by 'opposite direction' other than perhaps you weren't deviating out through the knee, but in.
Forgive me for speaking out of turn, but I think your pedigree theories are probably very well researched. If you are not as confident on 'make and shape' however, you probably should keep it all to a level you can afford to retain and race - or take lots of advice. The sales are no place for the crooked but well pedigreed. It's a beauty parade out there and you know what a cat fight they are! Forgive me please if I am speaking out of turn. ![]() But then when do I do anything else. . . |
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perry, ofcourse I didn't want you to discuss figures on here. I get our drift though
![]() I wonder how he is going. |
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PotM quotes:
"The sales are no place for the crooked but well pedigreed." but there is no formula, as far as I can see, to prevent faults so the only thing you can affect is pedigree. |
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so truehonch, do you give no thought to your mares conformation or the stallions' for that matter?
It makes you sound as if you just trust all of that to luck? |
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i hoped you would respond PotM.
I do but so often the ones I like are uncommercial. Also, its difficult to get to see all the stallions and you are sometimes relying on a picture or other peoples experience. It would be really good if this forum could discuss stallions conformation faults more often and in more detail. It would really help me. For instance my Kheleyf foal seemed a bit narrow chested to me, his dam is certainly not. I would like to rule out any stallion which may repeat this. Is it possible to get this type of technical info or is it too much for this forum? |
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imo we should all be trying to breed racehorses first and hope they are good sales horses in the long run if we breed perfect sale toppers that cannot run the market will swerve us
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now I am a bit confused, are well conformed horses not the best race horses? this really isn't a smart arsed comment, I am still not clear on the balance of pedigree and confirmation, particulaly at the value end of the business (my end).
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I am not the greatest judge truehoncho. Let's get that out of the way straight away!
I don't have a fabulously retentive mind - I think Prima Donna aces that one - and whilst I think being around long enough has taught me plenty, I know several people who are just 'naturals' which I don't think I ever will be. If I have a mare with a specific problem - and let's face it this is a position of weakness to start out from - then I will give plenty of thought to try not to repeat the fault with the stallion. What I really try to do when I am viewing a stallion though is to try and highlight the glaring faults but mainly to assess 'type' and quality. If you turn up at the sales with a truely smart horse then contrary to popular belief, faults will be overlooked. I don't know which Kheleyf foal was yours truehonch so I don't know who you consigned with. Did no one give you feedback on your 'bit narrow chested'? as I must say that on the face of it, if it was just 'a bit' then I wouldn't expect too many problems. I would hope really that if my mare wasn't mighty nice then she would throw pretty much comprehensively to the stallion. Tweaking individual faults perhaps isn't necessarily a reliable recipe for success. Kheleyf is quite a smart looking horse, he might be a bit narrow, I don't know, but I would think that your mare has in effect pulled him down so perhaps just looking for a stallion that can really stamp over her is the point to start. Please don't take offence there, most mares (and stallions) don't do what we really want of them! ![]() Perfect sales toppers always get a bad rap because they have monster high profiles which simply builds them up for a spectacular fall. Of course a well put together and balanced horse is going to stand most chance of fulfilling both the job in the sale ring and on the track. The paddock before The Derby will have a lot more to admire than the one before a twilight seller on a saturday night at Wolves. |
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im not trying to be a smart arse either
im a very much a novice breeder and like the discussion on here, I find the sales very much a fashion statement re looks/ which stallions are in vogue, Mark Johnston previous to the arab involvement had good success buying big pages with plenty of faults for smallish money |
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Hi PM,
It took me 25 years to afford to have a horse in training, it will be an accident if I do so again so will be looking to sell what low grade stock I may produce. You were correct about the badly written last post of mine; 'weak of knee' was a description for him and I was wondering if this had come thru the mare to the offspring I bought in utero so I could be wary of it in the future. The other mare whose third strike was to have a Bushranger which barely broke even, has now been moved on. Nice enough pedigree but I became obsessed rather than objective about her conformational faults yet still couldn't avoid them. I would love to breed to the positives but at my level I need to avoid the negatives. It would be great to be able to be full time (a risk I shouldn't take, yet...), and spend as much time as possible compiling a mental database of who throws what, as it must reduce the chances of a poor result. I need to become as good a judge of foals as I can since this is the likely selling point for me,(though its not the age I've been used to in the past). This is why some of us must pick the brains of the likes of yourself, I hate making mistakes, I hate being wrong. I hope I still learn quicker than I forget. As a nerd stats give me chance to focus on a smaller pool of stallions, that's my starting point as I can spend plenty of time on that stage. I can then hopefully be more thorough with the conformation faults and potential commerciality of them, while feeling there was a logic to it. I suspect it will take 5-10 years to know if that is wrong for me, hopefully the funds wont have run out by then. |
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I used to pinhook proxy, indeed it's a way a lot of people start isn't it, and I miss it hugely as a means of evaluating a stallion.
I remember so clearly the little Show hacks that were the River Falls'. The functional looking Mujadils that all wound the same limb and the Danehill Dancers that shouldn't have been nice but inexplicably were. Now I sometimes talk to a trustworthy agent about market opinion but even he will have his little pecadillos that it doesn't always pay to listen to. I use 1st season horses so I have to be my own judge there and as I always say you can accept plenty if you really believe there is a great looking first crop a probability. But from there I tend towards the thoroughly proven so even I can glean an idea of what to expect. The market will ofcourse tell you so much because sires don't get on a roll and fashion doesn't pick them up unless there is plenty to like about the make and shape of their offspring. If a sire has plenty of potential to get ugly foals then the market will look lopsided for them and they are to be treated with caution. I would love to breed to the positives but at my level I need to avoid the negatives That statement is still a little scarey to me. You need so many positives in this game. Aiming to breed a beauty that can buck fashion is a small pot to be pitching at and looking to iron out all the faults can leave you woefully short of style. Correct and ordinary is never where the money is. If your mare has done a bad set of knees then you are right to be wary. The majority of soundness issues come from the knees and buyers are wary for sure. Most people trust Compton Place to give the best shot at a good front leg. Great if it works, but you can't go there every year and it does help if you can trust the mare to do the job with a little more regularity! |
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Don't disagree with any of the above.
As you will have worked out I haven't served the apprenticeship of pinhooking, don't want to be a dealer of mares and would like to see the benefits of long term continuity. I've seen 2 of the mares 4 offspring as foals and a third as a yearling, they were all different. The knee issue might be due to a lateish, overdue yet immature foal, that I needed to sell as a foal; who wasn't pushed but didn't make it anyway. I didn't want to overlook any inherited element while taking most of the blame myself, (covered on foal heat to compound it). I'd be happy to send her to many stallions but nothing too light long necked or with quirks ie Montjeus need not apply. This is an example of me avoiding the negatives rather than breeding to the positives. Without satisfactory racecourse representation I've still got to go with proven sires of which Compton Place does come on the radar. Back to thread subject, as regards new sires I've seen none of them but have a view on most of them. In previous years I've liked Bushranger and Hellvelyn (before hearing what anyone else thought) so can't believe I'm swimming against the tide. At some point in the future I may even get to use a first seasoner. I am fascinated to see what happens this year. It will be interesting to see how thinly mares will be spread and who will miss out on a 'full' book. Will scarcity value then come in to play or will large books still outweigh? |
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I know he didn't light many candles on here but has anyone seen Caspar Netscher to give me an idea of physique etc, thanks
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It's all gone a bit post Dec sales on here hasn't it proxy.
I'd like to add Born to Sea to the 'Anyone seen him?' column. |
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Seen a few first seasoner's in last few months;
Casper Netscher - correct but a little small, quite liked him for a big mare Nathaniel - Big, great walk, flat knees (gave me a classy old fashioned feel) Mayson - Long pasterns, not correct in front (a bit dissapointing) Would like to see; Born to Sea & Foxwedge - both look the business on their website photos, but never the same as in the flesh |
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thanks Wily, I can take Mayson off my list.
How do people think Hellvelyns first lot will do? |
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thanks Wily,
was worrying I had killed the thread |
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PD or others, have you seen Power yet? He looks a sizeable sort but someone on the team gave me reason to query. Thanks
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