In writing these blogs, I have tried to encourage a sceptical, or even mildly contrarian, viewpoint in my reader(s).
It is not so much a case of "if you say white, then I will say black" as "if you say white, then I feel compelled to point out that white is in fact several other colours combined into one" (thanks go to Isaac Newton for that particular insight).
Therefore, if you have been paying attention, you should have little difficulty in answering the following question: "is Camelot a good bet at around 1.75 for The Derby at Epsom?". A clue: the answer is not "yes".
It is almost certainly true that Camelot is the likeliest winner of racing's Blue Riband. He is an unbeaten classic winner, likely to be suited by the longer trip of Saturday's race, and his 11 rivals include four...
[u]Derby v Coventry[/u]
I'd pretty much decided I wouldn't be suggesting backing Derby in this one, given I thought their price would be too short. What a pleasant surprise to find them available to back at 1.94 then: I really did expect to find them trading at a far skinnier mark. Why? Well the Rams have been in excellent form lately. Including last weekend's FA Cup success against Crystal Palace, Nigel Clough's side have won their last four games and conceded just one goal in the process.
County really have emerged well from a dreadful run of five straight defeats during November, and have won their last three home games - including beating West Ham in their most recent Pride Park league outing.
To their credit, Coventry have shown a glimmer of improvement recently, winning a...
[u]Bristol City v Hull[/u]
Sometimes a statistical nugget needs digging out and that is definitely the case with Hull City. The Tigers' record last season was pretty average (they finished 11th) and this season they are equally middling, having started with four wins from seven games and they currently sit in 8th. However, their away form is very, very good. In fact last season they had the fourth best away stats in the division, and with two out of three won on the road this season, their record in their last 15 on their travels is nine wins, four draws and just two defeats.
Ironically, one of those two losses was at Bristol City, but that was on the last day of the season when often anything goes. The Robins have not won or even scored at home so far in three attempts, and have ...