Fame Game 3.5 in my market Henry, barring bad luck and a wet track it won't surprise if he wins with a leg in the air.
He's by far and away the best international horse to ever contest the cup.
Could easily have him shorter than that but was deliberately trying to be conservative, Almoonqith and Our Ivanhowe have a sense of timing about their prep and respect Criterion's class but he has to break every rule in the book to win, horses that win Black Opal's as a 2yo and run sixth in the Golden Slipper don;t win Melbourne Cups, ran 4th in The VRC derby as a spring 3yo and then won the AJC Derby again against his own age as a 3yo and hasn't been over 2400m or further since, has to be very big distance query and is poorly weighted given the distance query. Although the same queries were posed about saintly this horse isn't in the same breath as Saintly yet and also saintly raced against a far inferior quality field back then as the type of quality stayer contesting this event.
Max Dynamite impressive last start but on a slow 7 (probably heavy 9 or 10 here) and a disappointing second the start before on a dry track  although was coming off a break that day runs up to his last run and he's a definite place chance.
Bondi Beach doesn't go past horses either, judging by his replays he looms up and then won't go past them so can't win for mine. The United States is impossible, Moreira is a freak but he can't carry them, same goes for snow sky he's impossible plenty of deadwood in this cup with virtually no winning hope.
Preferment if you put the cox out of your mind which you have to based upon the way the track played is the logical second pick and respect red cadeaux because he's done it year in year out and dunlop knows what he's on about. Fame game wins, good chances to preferment, Our Ivanhowe, almoonqith and Trip To Paris, Criterion a silly chance think Hokko Brave can run a race as well was ok at caulfield and will improve red cadeaux the best roughie and Barman a silly chance again likes flemington adn Caulfield effort was ok.

lets.... terravista was fatter than two pigs first up, will need one more at least .... surprisingly no excalamations from jimmy about this ..... would have been 32.69 percent fit i reckon.
Cant help myself........ heres all the sewerage from biased track ratings incorporated


10   6.4/1
3    7.3/1
15   7.9/1
12  15.0/1
23  16.2/1

hmmm ... lol

I got 'em ... 6/1 the field ... in this order on a toss up over the rarely raced 3200m event .. (sorry to jinx you Very )


$7.00  15, 10, 3   (preferment, trip to paris, fame game) ...


and putting in #9 Red Cadeaux for some cup prizemoney again too (do they still pay out to 10th or something)

what a freak Red Cad ... hope he brings it again for one more cup race ... would be a great lifetime achievement if finishes in the first 4

The Melbourne Cup  ... its a raffle, a lottery & a novelty race - but I love it   

in the 2m position

cheers Lets appreciated ..

TB , on the ball.

It's Raffle Day!!!

Not sure how I got $180s USA on Friday? but... played dejavu with my raffle choices.

USA and Almonquith started their preps catching my eye in the same race at The Valley a couple of months ago,

the sexy Criterion rarely goes around without me and The Offer was my hope last year.

Be more dejavuing , with me each way funning on Tashbee and Prompt Return  ....that is all.

Gamble Responsibly

BJT....... melbourne race 1   you beauty!

Hi fellas

What's your Cup tips Joel? Melbourne Cup.

12 & 13 at Flemington

Perfect day for the cup. First beer didnt touch the sides of the throat. Track talk im hearing is who shot the barman.

21.00 SP a good start to the day.  The rest run for free.  Luckily too, haven't gone close since.  Four Carat very unlucky as didn't get a look in and was dragged back by a group of 4 in front of it.  Hard to make a case he wins, but might as well have not even gone around.

careful of sarajevo in hte second last.... McDonald riding overs all day.

spyvspy27
 
01 Nov 15 08:47 
Joined:   29 Jul 12      | Topic/replies: 4,537  | Blogger: spyvspy27's blog   



I'm in the heart of Flemington atm and its been bucketing down for last few hours

you must have had a cloud following you personally.. I was at a stables having a BBQ. overcast and a few minutes of light rain...Flemington had 3.9 ml for the 24 hours sunday

hope you have a great day cup day.

Jockey intros a bit over the top.
A more disturbing looking group of individuals you'd struggle to find.

Tend to agree Henry.  Wouldn't touch it at 12s...

The day the cup lost its luster

Clear run and Gust wins that.

good on her .. terrific gal 

(where was aiden and his pacemakers though .. what a disappointment he is in oz )

I can see a movie script here.