zerohype

Another good win yesterday with Benfica finishing off a woeful Stuttgart.  Great value as a LAY bet if you left it until the end, but as always I trade off when the profit is good enough.

I may have another selection this afternoon for a game I'm looking at this evening, but I will definitely have one or two for the weekend, which I will post before bed later.

Thanks for following!

Trade off now for a nice profit!

Layed at 2.98, backed at 9.00.

Hope you all get matched.

Check back tomorrow for another selection.

Cheers

Hi,

Europa League 24th Feb 2011

VfB Stuttgart v Benfica

Kick Off 8:05pm

Stake 5% of bank

Lay VfB Stuttgart @2.98, no higher than 3.50

Trade off for 60 to 75% profit if Benfica go ahead at any point.

Analysis:

Well I virtually never lay a home team, and especially not in Champions or Europa league, so I hope this doesn't come back to bite me on the ass, but VFB Stuttgart @2.98 looks irresistible.

They are 3rd from bottom in the domestic league, whereas Benfica are 2nd from top in their's.  Stuttgart's last 5 game home form reads W2D0L3, with 10 scored but 11 conceded, as opposed to Benfica's last 5 away form of W5D0L0, scored 11, conceded 1. 

Benfica won 2-1 against VfB Stuttgart which was their first 2010-2011 Europa League home game, as they entered from the Champions League, so I predict they will be keen to put this to bed, kill off that away goal, and progress past Stuttgart.

This looks like today's value football lay, Benfica to Win or Draw.

If Benfica go ahead at any point, trade off for anywhere around 60 to 75% expected profit on your lay bet.

Good Luck!

Another great result. Leeds 3 Barnsley 3  My predicted outcome was Leeds to Win or Draw so Lay Barnsley under 6's, and then trade out if Leeds go ahead.

At 2-1 I traded out for about 70% expected profit had I left it until the end.  With a very close match given Leeds went down to 10 men, I was pleased I got off safely before the red card was shown though.  If I'd have left the bet in play until the end, I would have still won.  So for anyone that layed it and left it, nice!

7 out of 7 winners for the Betfair blog so far!

I may have another tip later this afternoon. 

Thanks for following!

I'm off now at 2-1 Leeds with 70% expected profit.  Layed at 5.4, backed at 19.00, WOW!

I advise you all to do the same.

:o)

Hi All,

Apologies tonight's selection is a little late, but it's been one of those days.  Sitting down looking at the form and value I've decided to go with two games tonight.  One for my members, and a free Betfair blog tip.

English Championship

Kick Off: 7.45pm GMT

Leeds v Barnsley

Lay Barnsley @5.5 if possible.  Looking like it's moving in now so get in the queue.  Don't take any higher than 6's.

Analysis:

Leeds manager Simon Grayson is expected to name an unchanged side for the third game running against Barnsley.

Grayson has no new injury or suspension problems following Saturday's 2-2 draw with Norwich, as his promotion-chasing side look to make it 20 league games with just one defeat.

Leeds have an impressive home record of W8D4L4, whereas Barnsley are without their player of the year, the Argentinian Hugo Colace for this midweek clash with Yorkshire rivals, which I think will have an affect on their game, with an away record of W3D3L10.  They really do not travel well, The Tykes have a few other minor injury problems, but to be fair nothing too bad to be honest.

Barnsley are yet to record an away win over a team in the top half of the Championship, and bearing in mind what happened in this fixture at Oakwell with the 5-2 win going to Barnsley, they maybe in for a backlash tonight.

Leeds matches certainly give us goals. They play their own game and discard their opponents which has resulted in loads of goals. Leeds have scored in every game this year so far, and add to that the fact that Barnsley have conceded more goals away from home than any other Championship side this year, with 14 scored but 32 conceded...  Leeds should Win or Draw this one.

My advice is, trade off if Leeds go ahead, you should get close to around 75% of expected profit.

Good Luck!

Hi All,

I hope you had a great weekend. I decided against a free tip in the FA cup yesterday, and it proved wise as Bolton beat Fulham. I really wasn't expecting that so pleased we avoided it.

There is a single game in Spain tonight I was tempted by, but with a full round of championship football playing on Tuesday I think there are some better options for us to consider.

I'll post again tomorrow with a selection, assuming team news is OK.

Hi,

No selection for Sunday, the Spanish games all look very tight, should have a possible selection Monday. 

If you're having a punt today good luck!

Another win today, makes it 6 from 6!

Reading v Watford Predicted Reading Win or Draw so LAY Watford.  WIN

The price drifted and Watford went ahead, but Reading are hard to beat like I said in the analysis, so I'm happy with the draw.

I should have another on posted later this evening for tomorrow, so check back later or in the morning.

Thanks for following.

Hi,

The LAY price is now 5.1, but I still think the price will move in under 5's.  So be patient if you're not matched, but go for around 4.8/4.9 to be sure.  It may fly in, but it could also just drift all the way out to 6.00 which is still doable, but not as appealing.

If Reading score first, I'd look to hedge off for between 60 to 75% expected profit.

Good luck getting backed and matched.