zerohype

Hi,

Europa League 24th Feb 2011

VfB Stuttgart v Benfica

Kick Off 8:05pm

Stake 5% of bank

Lay VfB Stuttgart @2.98, no higher than 3.50

Trade off for 60 to 75% profit if Benfica go ahead at any point.

Analysis:

Well I virtually never lay a home team, and especially not in Champions or Europa league, so I hope this doesn't come back to bite me on the ass, but VFB Stuttgart @2.98 looks irresistible.

They are 3rd from bottom in the domestic league, whereas Benfica are 2nd from top in their's.  Stuttgart's last 5 game home form reads W2D0L3, with 10 scored but 11 conceded, as opposed to Benfica's last 5 away form of W5D0L0, scored 11, conceded 1. 

Benfica won 2-1 against VfB Stuttgart which was their first 2010-2011 Europa League home game, as they entered from the Champions League, so I predict they will be keen to put this to bed, kill off that away goal, and progress past Stuttgart.

This looks like today's value football lay, Benfica to Win or Draw.

If Benfica go ahead at any point, trade off for anywhere around 60 to 75% expected profit on your lay bet.

Good Luck!