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Tonight's Dutching Round Up

14 Feb 11 22:21
Interesting evening trading on the Dutch and Italian 2nd division tonight, some nice dutching.  I use Fairbot as an API, and can honestly say in the nearly two years I've been using it, it's brilliant!  I got matched at current lay prices in both correct score markets on nearly all, leaving it in the queue unmatched about 3 hours before kick off, then knocking a few in. Greened up both markets around the middle of the second half.

Hindsight is a wonderful thing, so I wish I'd tipped them up now obviously, as they were both easy wins, but they just weren't as certain as the selections I put my on here, or on my website subscribe service. 

Finding games to dutch up like this is different than looking for good home win/draws. As in, you're looking for a particular score range to stay in for the right profit, but also the predicted outcome you feel it will be.  I'll be making some videos of a weeks dutching soon, sounds wrong somehow, lol, but if anybody is interested drop me a line.

I will hopefully have some selections tomorrow early afternoon for the evening matches.

Peace
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Today's Analysis

Real Sociedad beating Osasuna 1-0 for our free blog tip selection today, puts us 2 wins from 2. Great start, so I'll do my best to keep it going.  I hope you got on at low odds, as there was some real value before kick off.

I must admit this was a very even game which flowed from end to end in the second half, and I was delighted Sociedad got their noses in front, as one goal looked like it would settle it, and that proved to be the case.

I will have some midweek selections which may be posted later, if not I'll post some analysis tomorrow.

Cheers, thanks for following.
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Real Sociedad to Win or Draw against Osasuna.  Lay Osasuna @3.9 if possible.  No higher than odds of 6.

Spanish Primera League
Kick off 4pm GMT

Stake/Liability 5%

Analysis

I chose Osasuna last week, purely due to their impressive win against Real Madrid, combined with an equally impressive home record. Their away from home shows that they fall apart on the road, with a W0 D2 L9 record. So in my mind, this is good value, more so if the price remains below 4. They really struggle for goals with just 8 scored, that said, 7 came in their last 4 away games. The thing is, when they go on the attack they leak goals, conceding 11 goals in the same 4 games! For Real Sociedad this as a must win game to keep them in the top half of the table.

I've done well laying Real Sociedad's opposition this season, and think it will be the same this time. Home form reads W6 D0 L4, with all the defeats coming against the top teams.  They look a very strong team, and even when they lost 2-1 to Valencia they looked the stronger team. Against a weaker opposition like Osasuna they should win or draw at least.

Good Luck!

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Hi All,

Hull 1 Preston 0 WIN

This continues an amazing winning run, making it a great start to the year so far, and my first Betfair Blogger free tip gets a win.  Phew! 

You can check past results on my website, Facebook or Twitter.  My paid tips combined with free tips now make it 22 in a row, which is getting close to my record, and making me very nervous. :o)

Anyway, match analysis from today:

Hull extended their own unbeaten league run to seven matches, took a deserved lead through Gerrard's towering header on the stroke of half-time, and were troubled only in the closing stages by a Preston side bereft of confidence.

I expected more goals from Hull, but a comfortable victory nonetheless. 

Should have another tip posted later this evening, sometime near or just after midnight.



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Hi all,

I will be blogging my free football lay tips as a regular feature.  Only when I spot some value, which means it won't be everyday just for the sake of a punt.  Although I will post some match analysis and any other potential possibilities to keep an eye on.

Usually at least around 3 to 5 tips a week, posted either at midnight typically or the early hours like this one for weekend matches, but ready for you in the morning.  Weekday matches I will usually post by midday the same day, giving you lots of time to get on the evening action.  In fact all tips will be updated on Betfair, Facebook and Twitter approx 8-12 hrs before kick off GMT time.

For my staking plan I recommend you use 5% of bank on each, and never lay at odds of more than 6.

Analysis:

England
The Championship

Hull v Preston
Lay Preston at 5.8, no higher than 6. 

It's odds of 6 at the time of writing this, but looks like moving in slightly.

Hull Home Form:
W5D4L4
Preston Away Form:
W2D3L8

Preston have a lot of problems at the moment, and the home side are in form with 6 games since a loss to in form Leicester. Holding both QPR and Leeds to draws at home.

Hull are just 7 points from the play-off spots, and see this as a must win. New signings strikers Matty Fryatt and Aaron Mclean, already proved they will be a great force by scoring all five goals between them in the impressive 5-1 away win at Scunthorpe over weekend. Preston are rock-bottom, and haven't won in 7, confidence should be low and I'd be surprised to see them beat an in form Hull.  Which is why I fancy them to win or draw.

Good luck!
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I just wanted to start my first blog post really where I am in my life right now.  As in, by explaining that I'm a full time sports trader and punter.  I have my own trading/tipster website, and also bookmaker listing site for maximum free bets, live scores and oddmatching.

Is there anybody else on this forum also doing this or similar full time?

My experience comes from self taught systems and a desire to escape the rat race.  To make it work full time requires a definite discipline, but the rewards are obvious.  Not even referring to the financial benefits, just the free time as opposed to working for the man.

I'll add my free tips on here when I post them on my website and Facebook.  My success so far this year with paid tips on my website and free tips is 100%, at the time of writing this. With 19 tips given so far.  So if you're interested in following me, just drop me a line and I'll hook you up with how you can get my tips, with a no sign up free trial.  Or even point you in the direction of where to follow the free selections.

I'm really not trying to sell you anything here, just trying to make new connections with people interested in sports to the same fanatical level as me.  Totally adore discussing sports with like minded people, and will publish what Betfair let me on here regarding my selections.  Once I've got matched myself first that is. ;o)

Betfair is a phenomenal platform, and opened an unexpected direction for me to take with my life.  Much better than sitting in an office listening to smallville conversations.

Thanks for reading.

Peace

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