Cardle v One Direction opinions wanted please

leave it as it is - Matt will probably beat One Direction

I would rather have green on Cher than 1 direction

im in exactly the same position as you mate.. gonna wait till next week, see how things go..

if needs be can lay off some on the night of the final..

but for me matt wins... One D are 2nd and rebecca is 3rd

Cowell is adamant that One Direction will win it. So I expect he will put out all the stops and sneaky tricks to stop Cardle and boast his group's chance.

cheers for that, think i'll leave things alone for now. Knowing me i'll tinker around and end up with 5 big reds if I do anything

matt wins for me....and also for you too

matt won the show week's back, keep up lads.

hope your right larrence ortherwise you owe me some cash :)

Amazing

I'm big green on Matt but I'm trying to be as fair with you as possible.  I really think Matt will win this and that he's far clear of the others so I'd be reluctant to move any green away from him.  That said anyone could win it so perhaps 3/4 green Matt and 1/4 One D perhaps?  Obviously be aware though that Rebecca, Cher and Mary even are contenders too.

a good solution to this problem is to cover the possibilty of matt not winning with a simple insurance policy.

i thnk matt will definitely come in at least 2nd., he wont be 3rd..

I  just cant see rebecca winning, shes nailed on 3rd for me.. shes this years stacey solomon  !

so its either matt or one D to win. with cowell they are matts biggest danger

stick some of your matt winnings wonga on one direction 1st / Matt 2nd straight forecast.

slybet are offering 5-1 which is a good hedge imo

4.4 1d is one of the funniest prices in the history of specials

There's a few runners for that title, fll

erm 9.2 on wagner to win...surely fll

lol aa. I honestly think 1D's price is sillier.

but with cowell in their corner they are a big danger, are you guys saying they have no chance ?

bardo

I think they have a chance for sure.  That's heavily relient on the young girl vote though we're all surmising they're getting.  Talentwise they're the worst of the five acts left imo.

I get the feeling that Matt has started to pull well clear of the field - and I'm in Rebecca's camp! However,she is imo far more of a danger than 1D and for that matter than Stacey was last year, who was royally stitched up by that Michael Buble in the final!

That was my favourite Stacey performance
Infact the only one I liked and the only one she showed some personality in and actually smiled.

Total lack of chemistry, he couldn't give a damn[>o]

If that's your position hold tight.  Having been green on the front three since the start I'm continuing to top up Matt as I think he's home and hosed now.

I thought Buble was having a great time too.

Matt does look home and hosed. Only rebecca can produce a 'moment' to beat him.

With you on that Figgy my boy

4.0 Solomon last year was the funniest, 10s Wagner has to be the most bizarre.

stacey led the vote 3 weeks from the end

and was not disgraced in the final

how does that compare with wagner who couldn't even reach 4th in the 3rd last week?

There's been loads, I guess why we play these markets.

Someone laid me Ivana Trump odds against in her eviction :)

VinnieBigPotatoes to win CBB

Based on the fact she never stood a chance.

robster's two xf factor viewers' markets, especially the second one after being stung by the first (sorry rob!)

King Of The Castle Baldy's 30 million viewers+ for the royal wedding on the bbc

five leaves left 28 Nov 10 22:31
lol aa. I honestly think 1D's price is sillier.

But you have already been proved wrong there.

I'm not sure that's the case Benjy.

I've backed plenty of loses who I'm sure were value when I backed them. I'm not saying wagner was @ 9.4. He was shocking value, but not as bad value as 1D @ 3.65 imo or 4.4 as they are now.

I do believe his momentum was building and his vote was only going one way, and that was up. It just wasn't rising quick enough to overcome Cowell putting a spanner in the works.

1D are one of only three acts to not be in the bottom 2 yet. We have no real reason to believe there is massive amounts between these 3. Maybe you think 1D and Rebecca are the wrong way around and I might not disagree there. Any of the three being above about 5/1 though would be stupid though imo. I just fail to see how it is 'the funniest price in history' tbh.

Benjy

Yes you're right of course we have no proof.  All we know is that Matt's gone through nicely every week but as you point out so have One D and Rebecca.  I do think myself though that whilst we can all see Matt's obvious talent and Rebecca too can no doubt sing a good song and is very likeable, One D do seem a bit basic, just 5 kids each with a microphone, two sing well enough the others making up the numbers type thing. Little dancing and not much about them at all bar the screaming 14 year old girls.  I don't personally fancy them at all but heh what do we know.  You stick to your guns  .......... they may well win it you know.

I think O'Leary's reference to it being very close extended to the bottom 4 or 5. Add in Cowell's almost begging for votes for 1D on Extra Factor.."people think they are safe but they're not"..before covering himself by saying as we have seen tonight.

I'd say 1D are closer to the bottom than the top at the moment.

And I'd say he would be pretty foolish to say anything else.

'people think they are safe and they are' certainly isn't what I want to be hearing.

There's ways of saying things and there's ways of saying things. I think it was a slip.

Obviously wagner wasn't quite as high as the "leaks" would have people believe and was clearly outpolled by cher this week so suppose it is best to be careful about the relative ranking of the acts. It is interesting to speculate on who is where in the pecking order, Rebecca looked relieved this weekend and she must have been a little worried after Cher was in the bottom 2 last week.

I would assume Matt has consistently polled either one or two clearly has the most in the crowd behind him in the live venue. One direction weren't quite as good this week and at least two of the group are being carried by the others. Cowell could easily desert them once he has time to think a la Daniel last year. Think you will have plenty of opportunity to lay a lower price on Matt if you choose to hold on.

dump your green on 1 direction on to matt as he will win this hard held

HTH