Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
christrinder
01 Jul 10 22:18
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Jan 02
| Topic/replies: 75 | Blogger: christrinder's blog
Call me crazy but this doesn't seem too bad a bet. Vittek (no more games) currently sharing top spot on 4 goals with 2 others. The 40/1 on the win part of the bet seems OK, but the 8/1 on the place part is what attracts me to this bet.

Any comments? Only 5 others are on 3 Goals (only 4 of which are still playing). I think it is unlikley (but possible) someone currently on 2 will get to 5.
Pause Switch to Standard View Vittek - Top Goal Scorer - 40/1 E/W...
Show More
Loading...
Report kincsem July 1, 2010 10:59 PM BST
I assume this is with a bookies.  And I assume you must back each-way, so 40/1 loss, and 8/1 win equals a 4/1 win.

If one other player gets to four goals you are ok, as Vittek is still top four.  If two or more other players get to top four you are in trouble.

3 players on 4 goals = 4/1 (present situation)
4 players on 4 goals = 4/1
5 players on 4 goals = 4/1 x 4/5 = 3.2/1
6 players on 4 goals = 4/1 x 4/6 = 2.7/1
7 players on 4 goals = 4/1 x 4/7 = 2.2/1

4 players on 5 goals = no return

3 players on 5 goals, 3 players on 4 goals = 4/1 x 1/3 = 1.3/1
3 players on 5 goals, 5 players on 4 goals = 4/1 x 1/5 = 0.8/1
Report Baz July 1, 2010 11:20 PM BST
Kincsem, the 4-1 over the 2 bets should be 7-2. Chris, given the topic header why is 8-1 being used not 10-1 for the place part?
Report kincsem July 1, 2010 11:37 PM BST
Mmmm.  I didn't read the header.  1/4 for 1,2,3.  I assumed it was for 1,2,3,4.  Possibly it is 1/5 odds.

If it is 1,2,3 then it is much more risky.  On Betfair it is 1,2,3,4.

Anyway I backed Vittek here at 7.55 and laid him at 2.2, small money but a profit.
Report CLYDEBANK29 July 1, 2010 11:38 PM BST
kinscem you are talking 4 places not 3 and you are talking 1/5 not 1/4 and 1/5 is 7/2 not 4/1.  There is only 3 places here and a world of difference between 4 places and 3 places with this bet

Jenningsbet were going 66/1 1/4 the other day.  I thought of getting in the car but decided it wasnt worth the effort.  40/1 borderline I think as there are so many top goalscorers chomping at the bit with games to play only 1 or 2 behind.  I think there prob isnt much difference between 9/2 top 3 and the 2.18 top 4 on here although you've always got an outside chance of a dead ht on the win section
Report kincsem July 1, 2010 11:42 PM BST
^Our posts crossed.  Not worth it if it is 1,2,3 imo.
Report AussiInUK July 2, 2010 1:09 PM BST
A suicidal bet, not worth it at all, you are looking at all games from here on in finishing 0-0 or 1-0, not a chance.
Report christrinder July 2, 2010 6:43 PM BST
That is a 'brave' call. I guess you are disappointed that you can;t lay this eventuality as there is "not a chance" of it happening. Good luck with your betting - not sure if you are new to gambling, given the 'join' date of your username of 06.05.10.
Report CLYDEBANK29 July 2, 2010 6:48 PM BST
result getting Fabiano out.
Report AussiInUK July 2, 2010 6:55 PM BST
So what are you up against, Klose, Forlan, Messi et al, Villa, Robben etc

Don't fancy your chances here at all, but good luck. And you can guarantee the 3rd/4th place game is high scoring, it usually is.
Report Rich W July 2, 2010 8:06 PM BST
I am on top 4 only at 7.6, but layed off at 2 when scored vs holland!
Report Baz July 2, 2010 8:08 PM BST
I'm uncertain whether this is Chris Trinder of the kickingbets blog assume it is) but if it is, laying his bets has not proved too profitable for the bookmakers. The guy merits respect.
Report CLYDEBANK29 July 2, 2010 10:22 PM BST
Suarez sent off and Gyan missed the pen... looking better by the game this one
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com