U.S. Horse Racing
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AQU R1
4 at 5.0. Finished a disappointing 7th / 11 last time out in a sprint at the meet, but think the jockey made a mistake saving ground and was too far off the pace to bother launching a late bid for a place. Stretching out to 1m, this may well be the best horse over the distance. Think it could do with a faster pace to chase, but all things considered, 5.0 seems pretty fair.
4 at 5.0. Finished a disappointing 7th / 11 last time out in a sprint at the meet, but think the jockey made a mistake saving ground and was too far off the pace to bother launching a late bid for a place. Stretching out to 1m, this may well be the best horse over the distance. Think it could do with a faster pace to chase, but all things considered, 5.0 seems pretty fair.
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Good luck. I'll be pleased if 2 and 7 factor in the race.
Disappointing race for me. You read the 3 very well. Personally, I thought it looked dangerous on paper, but wasn't at all in the race.
up in class from $12,500 MC, not much more than that when first looked through but there was money coming for it
Yes, that was the key to the 3 getting beat. I just thought with it being a Jamie Ness horse that's just won its maiden in style, I thought 7.0 was maybe a bit big, but to be fair, it was nailed and maybe I should downgrade Ness's horses stepping up in class. I think it's his class droppers that offer the value.
i have an aversion to the inside draw on the very short races.. just a pet theory, we'll see
Well done. 1 well beat. Trainer % is terrible. :( I overlooked that to be honest.
laid 11 at aq 6, even scaramouche won't be able to overcome the outside draw at 6f there, maximum lay, gl
of course he did, served me right getting too confident, grr
Bugger. 11 ius a very difficult draw over 6f at AQU, so it made sense.
onwards and upwards, that's put me £1m back a month or 2 but never mind 
Indeed! I've had a poor night tonight, but I still know we're on track for the £1m. We know what we're doing. :)
laid the 3, hope he doesn't scupper my £1m again, lol
TAM
7 at 3.0. Very weak field. This newcomer should win this IMO.
7 at 3.0. Very weak field. This newcomer should win this IMO.
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
GET IIIN THEEEEEERRRRRREEE EPIC RACE
GET IIIN THEEEEEERRRRRREEE EPIC RACE
Think I'm still down, but it's gone from being a shocker, to being a mediocre / slightly bad night. Would love this 7 at TAM to hack up. I feel good about it.
favourite at the track so you have a good chance
Well done with the lay of the 3. As soon as it folded, I knew I was well in with a chance.
7's trainer E Loza Jr has an unreal record with newcomers and the Gulfstream Park workouts made a great value bet for me at 3.0 against a very weak field.
Still slightly down after that winner, but I feel like I'm flying after that recovery! hahaha
was making steady profit, until i got greedy at aq, now down but it's retirevable
i withdrew some after friday, as i know i am prone to the odd chase and didn't want to give it all back
You've made some very good calls tonight. Most of your lays have been absolutely nailed. Perhaps you overstaked on that Carmouche 11 horse, but I fully appreciated youre reasoning.
Get in there 9 at SUN! That puts me ahead for the night. Hat-trick of winners.
clawing it back, always takes ages when you take a big hit on the lays but still been a good few weeks for me
You've been making some very good calls. Outwitted me quite a few times to be fair.
AQU
6 at 6.4. Think the morning line odds compiler got this completely wrong pricing it at 10/1 and has probably influenced the market.
6 at 6.4. Think the morning line odds compiler got this completely wrong pricing it at 10/1 and has probably influenced the market.
6 did a good bullet workout this month and looks ready. Don't get the pricing at all. Don't get me wrong. Something will probably beat it, but I wouldn't price it at 6.0+
6 was poor to be fair. Glad the 2 got beat for you. Well done.
TAM
5 to finish top 3 at 1.4. Big bet. Looks well overpriced to me, but we'll see!
5 to finish top 3 at 1.4. Big bet. Looks well overpriced to me, but we'll see!
laid 1 at tam but this is a dicey one, being off the turf
Good lay! Very comfy. My top 3 finish was tighter than I expected, but I got it!
Objection by 9 against the 5. Let's hope I survive this. I'm down for the night if I lose the place.
AQU
5 at 5.8. Recent 5f workouts suggest this is ready.
5 at 5.8. Recent 5f workouts suggest this is ready.
still not recovered from that carmouche lay but much closer now..
Glad to hear that. As I say, you've making some very sound calls. Your lays are getting well beat generally speaking.
Good lay. 5 was completely unfit unfortunately. I trusted the workouts, but wasn't to be.
TAM
Backed 7 at about 9.0 or something. Think the market underestimates this on the basis of its race on mud at Laurel Park last time. Return to a fast track should largely improve it.
Backed 7 at about 9.0 or something. Think the market underestimates this on the basis of its race on mud at Laurel Park last time. Return to a fast track should largely improve it.
TAM
backed 7 again at 14.0. Don't understand the price.
backed 7 again at 14.0. Don't understand the price.
TAM
backed 7 again at 14.0. Don't understand the price.
backed 7 again at 14.0. Don't understand the price.
laid 7 at sun at 9 something, about 10m ago, gl
Glad you're still here. Pleased with my winners at TAM and SUN. :) Well done with your lays.
just about into the black now, took a while to recover from that aq lay. will do one or two more then have to knock it on the head for tonight
SUN
8 at 8.5. Dangerous class dropper imo. Think the market underestimates this.
8 at 8.5. Dangerous class dropper imo. Think the market underestimates this.
very annoying as i'd be massively up without it but that's the way it goes sometimes
Glad you're back in the black. You're reading things well by the look of it. It's turned into a very good night for me. Glad you're sticking around for 2 races.
Well, you chose to stake heavily because of the wide draw. The statistics prove that the 11 draw is savage over 6f at AQU. The 11 horse didn't have an amazing history, so really, you probably didn't even make a bad bet. It only narrowly won.
SUN
Backed 8 again at 9.8. Amazing night if this comes in.
Backed 8 again at 9.8. Amazing night if this comes in.
Disappointing finish for you. Can't believe how poor 6 was on turf.
SUN
Laying 9 at 5.7. Class dropper, but think this will struggle.
Laying 9 at 5.7. Class dropper, but think this will struggle.
SUN
Layed 7 at 5.6. Had a shocker last time out. Hoping it doesn't rekindle its back form.
Layed 7 at 5.6. Had a shocker last time out. Hoping it doesn't rekindle its back form.
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