U.S. Horse Racing
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AQU R1
4 at 5.0. Finished a disappointing 7th / 11 last time out in a sprint at the meet, but think the jockey made a mistake saving ground and was too far off the pace to bother launching a late bid for a place. Stretching out to 1m, this may well be the best horse over the distance. Think it could do with a faster pace to chase, but all things considered, 5.0 seems pretty fair.
4 at 5.0. Finished a disappointing 7th / 11 last time out in a sprint at the meet, but think the jockey made a mistake saving ground and was too far off the pace to bother launching a late bid for a place. Stretching out to 1m, this may well be the best horse over the distance. Think it could do with a faster pace to chase, but all things considered, 5.0 seems pretty fair.
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Also backed it to finish top 3 at 1.56.
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TAM R1
5 at 8.0+ 7 at 20.0+ 1 to finish top 3 at 1.3+ |
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AQU Res
3-4-1 |
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can't have you posting on your lonesome, i'll join for a few. making inroads into that £1m?
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laid 1 at tam, gl
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lol! Yes, mate, still on track. :D Made a small profit from the first race. Sorry for disappearing on Fri night without saying anything. Got a phonecall and was chatting for an hour. Glad to see you this evening. Good luck!
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BOOOOOOOOOOOOM
I might have to revise our projections. If we can achieve the £1m sooner, like by the summer for instance, we can adjust things. |
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that's ok, i fell asleep on my sofa, after a couple at delta/ penn, woke up at about 3 and crawled into bed
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Glad your lay came in. Well done.
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haha. Hope you awoke to a healthy account balance.
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yes, and was a bit disappointed as it was going quite well, so would have preferred to stay awake for more but was evidently exhausted. of course once i've made the £1m i can give up the day job and then that won't happen, lol
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I would have like to continue too if I hadn't been distracted because Delta is a goldmine. Did you see my bets in TAM R1?
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yes, wd on the 5, 1st time starter, interesting
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Yep. That horse was bought for $140,000 in an auction and trainer Arnaud Delacour has done quite well with his newcommers.
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AQU R2 Thoughts
I find 6 interesting at 10.0+. Negative barn change and you've got to wonder why it was bought for $14,000 and then put straight back up for sale at the same price, but if it wasn't for those two factors, you could almost argue this should favourite. Haven't bet yet. |
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you are very thorough, it's impressive. if the £1m falls through, just apply to sky to present on ATR - they could do with improvng their stateside offering
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laid the 7 at aq just now
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AQU R2
Backed 3 at 4.3. Fancy this to stalk the 7 and 2 before striking on the stretch. |
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hahahah thanks mate. Encouraging that you can envisage that!
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AQU R2
As well as backing the 3, I've also decided to lay the 7 at 5.5 like you. Big step up in class moving from Philadelphia to New York. Only danger is that it wires the field, but let's hope 2 duels with it. |
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you were right on the racing style but the 1 was better, funnily enough i would probably have backed the 1 but no regrets, i prefer to lay
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TAM R2
8 at 4.7. Good barn change. |
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I'm always pleased when I assess the pace setup correctly. Maybe I underestimated the significance of the class drop of the 1, but I just wasn't impressed with its higher grade efforts.
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laid the 1 tam, not got a great deal of reasoning for this but doesn't look great and the inside is not favoured here.
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yes, i suppose when i think about it the class of race is what i give the most weighting to. and after a few glasses of wine maybe the only weighting factor
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2 at tam, didn't see that
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TAM
2-1-7-8 I didn't know what to make of the 1. The way it closed in recent sprints, it looked like it might improve stepping up in class, but then every route in ran is has been very disappointing apart from today perhaps, although it still didn't win. Glad your lay came in. Now going to try and but some food and beers in time for the next races. BRB |
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Stepping up in TRIP I meant. Not class.
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glad your wallet eventually turned up
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can't really see past the 6 at aq but equally it's not really worth laying the others, in case there's an upset
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TAM R3
4 at 1 at 10.0+ |
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Unfortunately my wallet didn't turn up. :( Had to go to the bank to ask for a withdrawal. I just showed my ID and they were happy. I cancelled my debit cards. New cards will arrive on Thurs, so it's not all bad.
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laid the 3 when it was single figures, gl
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3 comfortably beat. Good call. Disappointed with Gulfstream Park shipper #1 and newcommer 4, but 10.0+ was a fair deal IMO.
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oh crap, that's major, i thought you were just larking about but you really lost it, if that happened to me i'd be seriously distracted from this racing business. but you kept a clear head and carried on picking winners, a sign of a true pro
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haha thanks mate. I just treated it as a losing bet! A gambler has to keep a level head and keep perspective.
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AQU R4
4 at 30.0+. Crazy price IMO. An Englehart newcommer in a mediocre field should never be this price in my book. |
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Newcomer*. I keep spelling that word wrong.
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thought you had your butler looking for it and sooner or later he'd come up with the goods - and then you'd have to fire him for losing it in the first place
laying the 3 at aq, short price in a maiden, lots of 1st time starters, hope it gets beat, gl |