Trialanderror

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Tom Segal Tips
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Pricewise Challenge


Our new tipster

After Day 1 FORM-PRO up £625 and PRICEWISE is minus £200

Form-Pro

is taking on Pricewise.

Details to follow.

DAY TWO BETS

In the 3.05 at Ascot, Zacinto looks a dodgepot to me, his run behind Goldikova shows what he can do, first time up may be the best time to catch him but he goofs far too often to trust.  Eton Forever may develop into a goodun but he beat nothing of quality last time out in a field where those drawn low had no chance.Critical Moment is decent but took a couple of runs to hit form last year. I like  KING OF DIXIE. He has won here and was 3rd in the 2009 Victoria Cup,has won after a break 4 times now, maybe today will be number 5.  Another is the top weight ST MORITZ. He also likes it here being third in the Hunt Cup, This season he beat Kings Gambit who has won a group 3 subsequently. He may well drift to a good price as he carries a penalty. Side Glance is nice, he took an age getting going over 7f on his last run but this distance and the climb to the line will help him. He’s a course lover but is being backed this morning so I prefer my two at longer odds. 1 point to win on each.

Take Betfair SP.

3.40 Ascot. THE BETCHWORTH KID has beaten Free Agent twice yet is more than double the odds. I got the feeling its all mind games with this horse but he flew past the Queen’s horse near the line so could do it again. RAJIK improved no end over his last 4 races last term. I’m not keen on horses from small stables first time out for the season but if the odds are big enough its a calculated risk.

1 point to win on each betfair s/p

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Here are his first bets.

The Irish Grand National either goes to classy 3 milers like last years first two home Bluesea Cracker and Oscar Time or real stayers like Butlers Cabin and Nine De Sivola. I’ll take 3 each way, 5 places with 365, Boyle & Power. Fortune favours the brave so I’ll start with 33-1 shot A NEW STORY, ( 44 on betfair )PLACED @25/1 13 years old only he doesn’t seem to know it. Age blunts speed but not stamina. I’ll take a 12 year old in the Grand National but 13 too old. This horse is the exception that proves the rule, he loves it here and good ground is right up his street. Next is WESTERN CHARMER 20-1 2ND @16/1. ( 28 on betfair ) A classy type who has been finishing well over 3 miles. Second last time up to course specialist Mr Cracker at Limerick. The ground is an unknown but a class horse with a low weight at 20-1 is worth taking a chance with. Finally WHATYOUTHINK 14-1 ( 20 on betfair ) another with class and stamina who once beat Forpadydeplasterer on good ground, was third in this last year and ran a race full of promise last time over too short a distance.

1 point each way on all 3.

Comments: 5  |  Post a Comment  |  Trackback URL

Walt | Apr 25, 2011 | Reply
I go with The Last Derby 1 pt ew 18/1 and Cain Hill 1 pt ew 25/1 5 places.


Deadhead | Apr 25, 2011 | Reply
Well done FORM PRO. Good start.


K2 | Apr 25, 2011 | Reply
Excellent!!!


Jimbob | Apr 26, 2011 | Reply
Anything for today?


TF | Apr 26, 2011 | Reply
No bet, had a look and didn’t fancy anything strongly enough. He says he is a bit concerned about the O Brien stable form and will be watching their next 10 entries at the Irish meeting this week closely.