Following yesterdays defeat with federer falling at the hands of gasquet Ive finally realised that you cant win by betting based on ablility. All things being equal the person or team with greatest ability should always beat their opponent. They should only lose to someone of lesser ability or skill. The fastest 100m runner should always beat the person who runs slower and so on. However this assumes that the person will perform to their maximum ability and this can not be guranteed. That is the problem with sports betting because you have no idea how someone will perform on the day. Will they perform above or at their potential, lower then their potenital or will their opponent perform above their potential. There is no way to predict this which is why tottenham lost at blackpool and federer lost to gasquet. So I feel that it really is a coinflip. If im taking coinflips I want even money 50/50. For that reason I will from this point only be betting on even money odds 2.0 or greater.