Ive been trying a few ideas lately and this one is a really simple concept. So many times I place bets and then afterwards think 'I knew it, I knew I shouldnt have done that'. This is normally for a variety of reasons. Maybe its late and nothing to bet on, maybe im in a rush, maybe im tired. Whatever the reason theres normally an inner voice thats pointing out this is not a banker. Thats it its really simple if theres any reasonable doubt then the selection will become a lay.
So we start today with federer v gasquet.
There is a bit of doubt but no reasonable doubt. Anyway I look at tennis stats and see federer is 8-1 h2h. Hes been to semi-final of sony eriksson, quarter final of monte carlo and semi of madrid. Gasquet on the other hand has had a lot of 1st and 2nd round exits. Add to the fact federer is widely accepted as the best player ever to pick up a tennis racquet and this is a clear back.
federer to win
Lets take a look at Jarkko Nieminen vs Tomas Berdych
Now here is reasonable doubt. I have no idea from the off who will win. Looking at the stats im still not sure about either. For me thats value. Berdych at 1.19 is a lay.
Lay berdych
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