thehappysnapper

Just the one for me today and have to wait till the last race at Folkestone where Marahaba looks well worth chancing at 15/2 and 6/4 a place for the usual 2pts by 8pts.

She ran a good race first time out 2 at newmarket to finish 7th trying to make all up the centre of the track and was caught out racing alone. There are mixed messages about the form of the race but that is nearly always the case if you look back at maidens run a long time ago, there will always be a few that go backwards but with the frist 3 home all well above average the form can't be too bad. Obviously had her problems so taking a bit of risk but is normally a positive sign when high profile connections persevere till late in the season.

I think the other 3 in single figures are worth taking on. Kid Charlemagne back in trip doesnt really appeal and not sure of the strength of his last run at the course anyway.

This might sound harsh but Raahin is trained by Stoute who has had a terrible season by his own admission with only 3 winners this month from 47 runners and thats a big enough reason to look else where. Weakened in the closing stages at kempton last time, that was his first run for a while so it could just have been race fitness but he had no problem running a big race to finish 2nd first time out this year and that was after a much longer break. I think its more likely to be down the to yards poor form. Hills has decided to ride it over Varian's filly which is fair enough as he does have a couple of placed efforts to his name but its never an easy decision when weighing up the chances of two horses so lightly raced and from different yards. Raahin may have been reported to have been working very well but as the yard can barely send out a winner maybe hes been working better than sick horses? On the otherhand Marhaba may not have been able beat another horse at home on the gallops but then Varian has had more winners this week than Stoute has all month so who knows maybe hes been working with superstars.

Nothing negative to say about the favourite Kahraba who deserves to head to market but i do think it was a bit of funny race at Chester last time as they often are and form may not be that trustworthy.