thehappysnapper

One little bet for me on Malekat Jamel in the first at kempton 4pts place at 11/4 and 1 pt win at 12/1.

This races has been cause me some headaches to be honest as the form on offer just looks dreadful bar the favourite but i'm totally convinced with her either at such a short price.

I'm pretty there is a fair bit more to come from Simcocks filly who got caught wide last time over CD and just didnt have the pace to go with the leaders when quickening up. Nothing really got into the race from off the speed including the 2/1 favourite of Marco Botti's. Nicely drawn today and Spencer booked im hoping there is solid end to end gallop for him to aim at in the closing stages. She was also sent off a well backed 11/2 last time so is clearly doing something at home to suggest there is more to come.

i dont like the form of jack diamonds and young prince at all. Venetian ran well on turf last time over 5f's but is bred to be a sprinter and has failed badly over this trip at brighton.Philipstown ran in the same race at brighton and the first 3 home are probably all decent but after a promising run finishing 3rd at newmarket behind 2 useful horses he was sent off 10/1 and friendless in the market which has to set alarm bells.

Everything else in the race is 200/1 so if we do get a decent pace that 11/4 to place could look very generous.

Simcocks 2yo's were flying last month having 6 winners but from just about the same amount of runners this month is yet to trouble the judge. With that stable form in mind and the fact its taken me so long to find the bet i have decided to half stake it.