thehappysnapper

Well luckily I have managed to find a couple of bets I like in today’s maidens so don’t have to go cold turkey this evening without a punt haha. Will using the usual staking plan of 2pts win and 8pts place on the first.

They are both pretty obvious selections and unfortunately their prices reflect that, but in the first at Newmarket Gathering has to be in with a serious chance and 4/1 win 10/11 place looks a bit of a steal. Ran really solid race first time out travelling smoothly at the head of affairs for much of the race and sticking on well enough once headed. May have just done a little too much early which held her back from finishing her race off as well as a couple of others but I’m pretty sure she will have learnt plenty for the experience and a more professional performance today is highly likely, I’m pretty sure Havlin will try and find her some cover too. I think it’s also important to note she was sent off 7/2 first time out in what was a strong race which isn’t always the case with John Gosden’s newcomers.

I would be just as happy to back her if kept to 7f but will bow to JG’s better judgement, he I think he is a class trainer and does especially well with his fillies so I’m sure he knows the best trip and a mile isn’t a problem on breeding. The 2 months off could be a slight concern but I think he may have just been taking his time with her and waiting for some good to firm ground instead of there being any problems. The form of her first run is also looking above average with the winner running well again to finish 2nd in a better race and maiden winners have come from further down the field.

There isn’t that many in here that we need to concentrate on, the market normally proves a pretty good guide on the stoute horses and they are both big enough prices already. The other newcomer is clearly thought a bit of but then that’s nearly always the case this cecil’s fillies so can sometimes be difficult to read.
Of the others with runs under their belts Bana Wu is the most interesting finishing 6th in a decent maiden over 7f on good to soft ground but the fast ground will definitely be against her and altho this is over a furlong further, could get out paced. 3 ½ lengths behind lyric of light certainly reads very well but I did think they all finished in a bit of a heap and there were some pretty average ones not too far behind her including valiant runner who has since been well beaten in a handicap off 64.

The one worth a mention is hannon’s but I don’t think form will stack up in a Newmarket maiden even tho the extra furlong will help. Pat Dobbs may try and force a really strong gallop which could be the best chance he has of winning it otherwise they may not go too fast.

more to follow.....

Was hoping to play this next one win and place as well but the price has crashed at just the wrong time. Still worth a small win only of 4pts at 9/4.

The favourite and 3rd fav come out of the same race and would expect glamorous angel to uphold the form altho this quick track and better draw of johnstons may make it close. The horse to finish 5th in the race has been out since and didn’t frank the form altho he was a little way back so may not be that relevant but it did take a while for glamorous to get going up the hill and isn’t going to have that luxury on this much sharper track that favours speed and a low draw.

Indego Blues has looked very sharp in both his races but just seems to have been a bit of a slow learner regards the stalls. He was definitely better away  last time than on debut so that’s encouraging and the mid race speed he has demonstrated has been impressive so if he can just step up again today and get away nicely from the low draw he will be very hard to beat on a track that should play to all his strengths.