thehappysnapper

I hate it when pundits say that every time there is a half decent maiden, no one even has video recorders any more.

Anyway if you havent realised already the vast majority of my bets will be in maidens, in fact currently its all of them, and again today i intend to play in three, one at each track.

I will kickoff with my strongest at the prices which comes in the sandown 2.55 in the shape of Alshmemi, anything around 9/1 (365) win and 2/1 place looks cracking value and im expecting a big run. This nicely bred colt was just far too keen first time up and didnt stand a chance of seeing his race out but ridden with cover last time he raced far more professionally and had clearly learnt plenty. I expect to see him take another big step forward from that form today, altho a reproduction of it would surely see him in the mix anyway, with the drying conditions likely to be a massive boost. To a small sample size Bernardini has a 35% strike rate on good ground.

Greek War is just far far too short at 2/1 and has to be taken on. His fourth last time is in a good enough newmarket maiden but was no means the strongest run at the track this year. Theres loads of interesting contenders in this race including loads of newcomers from big yards i really think anyone taking 2/1 needs their head read.

Free House ran well enough in a newmarket race thats working out very well but that form has now been well and truely exposed and the market has taken no chances at around 5/1 on the fair. Everything that finished in front of him has won next time i have been lucky enough to back a couple of them but to put this in perspective i got 9/2 a few weeks back about Travelling who finished in front of him to win a bad wolverhampton maiden now Meehans horse is as short as 4/1 with 365 to win a hot race like this. A chance but the cat is well and truely out the bag regards the form and even 5/1 doesnt offer that much value.

I cant comment on all the interesting newcomers, there are 7 in total from big yards all i will say is PLEASE PLEASE REMEMBER TO SET YOUR VHS RECORDER.


two more bets to follow....